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UTM

UT Martin 24 at Kennesaw State 13

KENN
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:37 · Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the KENN 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−2.7Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:28: Kinkead Dent pass intercepted Jayven Williams return for 48 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +7.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Austin Welch 49 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +6.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:13: Davis Bryson pass intercepted Oshae Baker return for 63 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK) — UTM win probability +14.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:40: Patrick Smith run for 21 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK) — UTM win probability +17.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:13: pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 7 yds to the KENN 34 — KENN win probability +7.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12UTM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:06UTM 4th & 7 at KENN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:22UTM 4th & 2 at KENN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:12KENN 4th & 19 at KENN 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:46UTM 4th & 10 at UTM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37KENN 4th & 1 at KENN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.8%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:02KENN 4th & 11 at KENN 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:25UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:55KENN 4th & 2 at UTM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:59UTM 4th & 6 at KENN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00KENN 4th & 5 at UTM 31, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:45KENN 4th & 1 at UTM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%−5.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:27KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:18KENN 4th & 12 at UTM 47, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:07KENN 4th & 16 at UTM 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19UTM 4th & 7 at UTM 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:33KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 46, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:24UTM 4th & 18 at UTM 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:50UTM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:28KENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:13UTM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:40UTM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:4853% → 52%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
47.5%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the UTM 36Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
47.6%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the UTM 37Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
47.7%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Glover Cook III for 4 yds to the UTM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
47.8%
Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the UTM 49Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
47.7%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
47.8%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
47.8%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+17
47.8%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 17 yds to the KENN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
47.7%
Glover Cook III run for 3 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
47.8%
Glover Cook III run for no gain to the KENN 23Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
48.2%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
48.5%
Jaren Van Winkle 41 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4449% → 49%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
48.8%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 24Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
48.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 4 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-3
48.7%
Davis Bryson run for no gain to the KENN 25 Davis Bryson fumbled, recovered by KENN Davis BrysonSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+3
48.7%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 46 yds , Oshae Baker returns for 3 yds to the UTM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3TD
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:1551% → 58%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
48.9%
Kinkead Dent run for 3 yds to the UTM 35Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
49.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for no gain to the UTM 35Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+12
49.4%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Tyler Dostin for 12 yds to the UTM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
48.6%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
48.5%
Glover Cook III run for 8 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
48.4%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
48.8%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the KENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
48.5%
Trevonte Rucker run for 3 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
48.0%
Kinkead Dent run for 6 yds to the KENN 19Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-1
48.5%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 20Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+4
49.2%
Kinkead Dent run for 4 yds to the KENN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
48.0%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the KENN 15Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
48.1%
Kinkead Dent run for 1 yd to the KENN 14Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
48.6%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JeRico Washington Jr.) to the KENN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
42.5%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3245% → 44%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
45.0%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-7
44.9%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 7 yards to the KENN 17Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 17
OWN 17
-2
44.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 15Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
43.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 44 yds, downed at the UTM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2857% → 56%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.6%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
43.3%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
42.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+14
44.2%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 41 yds , Jayven Williams returns for 14 yds to the KENN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:3745% → 43%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
45.0%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
46.0%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 39Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
45.4%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
44.9%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the KENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
45.5%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 42Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
44.4%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
43.7%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
43.0%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 34 yds, downed at the UTM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:3058% → 51%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
42.2%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 19 yds to the UTM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-48
49.5%
Kinkead Dent pass intercepted Jayven Williams return for 48 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5949% → 47%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.4%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the UTM 30Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
49.9%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the UTM 31Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
51.7%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 29Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
53.3%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 38 yds, downed at the KENN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:2054% → 55%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
54.4%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 35Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
54.4%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+11
54.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Navelle Dean for 11 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.5%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 48Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
56.3%
Davis Bryson run for 12 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
57.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 9 yds to the UTM 31Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
58.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-1
57.4%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 32Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
55.4%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the UTM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 10FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:0150% → 57%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.0%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+58
50.5%
Patrick Smith run for 58 yds to the KENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
45.3%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Tyler Dostin for 8 yds to the KENN 2Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.4%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the KENN 1Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
47.6%
UT Martin Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Edwards) to the KENN 6Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
42.6%
Jaren Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:4948% → 56%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
48.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 8 yds to the KENN 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
50.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
49.6%
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
50.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
48.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 6 yds to the UTM 48Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+12
50.0%
Davis Bryson run for 12 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.6%
PENALTY KSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ROBINSON, Jaden UTM Unsportsmanlike Conduct on STEVENSON, Jacob , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.6%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
50.6%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
49.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 5 yds to the UTM 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+49
55.9%
Austin Welch 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12INT TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:3854% → 40%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.6%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
53.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Navelle Dean for 7 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
54.3%
Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
55.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 10 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.6%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
56.0%
Michael Benefield run for 7 yds to the UTM 46Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
56.6%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the UTM 44Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
55.3%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the UTM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-63
40.4%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Oshae Baker return for 63 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2736% → 34%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
36.3%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 21Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
36.0%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
34.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
33.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:4066% → 91%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
33.7%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the UTM 28Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
33.3%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 8 yds to the UTM 36Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
32.4%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
31.0%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the UTM 40Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
30.9%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Jeremiah Edwards for 18 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
29.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
28.7%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Anthony Carter for 5 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
27.9%
Glover Cook III run for 3 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
26.6%
Glover Cook III run for 5 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
26.1%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the KENN 21Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
9.1%
Patrick Smith run for 21 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:0617% → 18%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
16.8%
pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 7 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
17.2%
Tykeem Wallace run for 4 yds to the KENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
17.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 17 yds to the UTM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
18.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
18.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 6 yds to the UTM 39Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
18.1%
Tykeem Wallace run for 2 yds to the UTM 37Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-10
17.4%
(13:27) DANIELS, Preston rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UTM31 (PLEAS, Michael), clock 13:35. PENALTY KSU Holding on HINES, Seaburn enforced 10 yards from the UTM37 to the UTM47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 12
OPP 47
+32
15.7%
Jacob Ulrich pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 32 yds to the UTM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
18.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
18.3%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the UTM 13Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-3
17.2%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTM 16 Davis Bryson fumbled, recovered by KENN Davis Bryson D. Bryson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 11
OPP 16
-5
15.0%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Davis Bryson) to the UTM 21Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
18.3%
Austin Welch 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:3589% → 92%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.4%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the UTM 25Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
10.8%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Tyler Dostin for 21 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
9.1%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 45Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
8.7%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the UTM 47Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+2
8.1%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 2 yds to the UTM 49Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
8.0%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:3313% → 7%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
13.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 11 yds to the KENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
11.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
11.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 6 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
10.3%
Preston Daniels run for no gain to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+7
9.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 7 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
9.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
10.0%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+7
9.0%
Davis Bryson run for 7 yds to the UTM 49Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 3
OPP 49
-5
9.2%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Ethan Newman) to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
7.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:0696% → 96%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
4.3%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
4.2%
Kinkead Dent run for 1 yd to the KENN 45Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-4
4.2%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 49Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 13
OPP 49
-5
3.6%
UT Martin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kinkead Dent) to the UTM 46Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
3.7%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:264% → 3%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
3.7%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
3.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 5 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-2
2.7%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Chris Hunter Jr. return for 2 yds to the KENN 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:3698% → 98%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
2.3%
(01:40) Kneel down by DENT, Kinkead at KSU25 (team loss of 2), clock 01:37.Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-1
2.3%
(01:01) Kneel down by DENT, Kinkead at KSU26 (team loss of 1), clock 00:48.Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 13
OPP 26
-5
2.2%
(00:04) Kneel down by DENT, Kinkead at KSU31 (team loss of 5).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:40
Patrick Smith run for 21 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)
-17
TD · Q3 10:13
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Oshae Baker return for 63 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)
-14.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:13
pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 7 yds to the KENN 34
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com