Try the model
KENN

Kennesaw State 10 at San José State 31

SJSU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:20 · Jacob Ulrich punt for 54 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 22 yds to the KENN 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:30: Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:38: Kyler Halvorsen 28 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Nick Nash 3 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick) — SJSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:05: Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST down — SJSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:31: Justin Lockhart 35 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick) — KENN win probability +1.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:38KENN 4th & 4 at SJSU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22SJSU 4th & 11 at KENN 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:20KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:37KENN 4th & 27 at KENN 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27KENN 4th & 15 at KENN 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:38SJSU 4th & 9 at KENN 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:08KENN 4th & 5 at SJSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:44KENN 4th & 20 at KENN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:39KENN 4th & 6 at KENN 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:35SJSU 4th & 2 at KENN 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.9%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:42SJSU 4th & 2 at KENN 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:41KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:11SJSU 4th & 13 at KENN 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:53SJSU 4th & 12 at KENN 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:30SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:15SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:07SJSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:0489% → 89%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
88.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 30 yds Nick Nash fumbled, recovered by KENN Isaac Paul I. Paul return for 14 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2FG
15 plays · 27 yds · 6:0611% → 14%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
88.6%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the SJSU 49Similar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 18
OPP 49
+5
88.5%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+5
88.3%
San José State Penalty, Offsides (Quincy Likio) to the SJSU 39Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-1
88.2%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 40Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+9
88.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Michael Benefield for 9 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
87.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
87.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 36Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+12
87.9%
Davis Bryson run for 12 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
87.5%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
87.1%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 21Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+9
86.9%
Michael Benefield run for 9 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-5
86.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 17Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+3
86.7%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the SJSU 14Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
86.3%
Austin Welch 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:1586% → 86%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
86.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 34 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
86.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 42Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
85.7%
Dino Beslagic punt for 41 yds, downed at the KENN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5514% → 14%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.0%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the KENN 3Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
85.8%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the KENN 3Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
85.7%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the KENN 3Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+22
85.6%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 54 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 22 yds to the KENN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 2:3115% → 16%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
84.9%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENN 30Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+1
85.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 1 yd to the KENN 31Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-5
84.9%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Blake Bohannon) to the KENN 26Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+1
84.7%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the KENN 27Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 18
OWN 27
-10
84.6%
(03:39) BRYSON, Davis scrambles to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the KSU39, out of bounds, clock 03:32. PENALTY KSU Holding on NORCROSS, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the KSU27 to the KSU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 28
OWN 17
+1
84.5%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 18Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 27
OWN 18
0
84.2%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 50 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for no gain to the SJSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:5383% → 86%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
83.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.4%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
83.3%
(02:00) BROWN, Emmett scrambles up the middle for a gain of 28 yards to the KSU35, out of bounds, clock 01:54. PENALTY SJS Holding on LAPUAHO, Peseti enforced 10 yards from the SJS37 to the SJS27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
82.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+31
82.4%
Jabari Bates run for 31 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
83.6%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 45Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+8
82.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 8 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+13
83.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the KENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
85.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5516% → 15%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
84.1%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 33Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
84.1%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 28Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-5
84.5%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the KENN 33 Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Benefield) to the KENN 23Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+4
84.4%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
84.6%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 34 yds, downed at the SJSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:4084% → 86%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+49
84.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 49 yds to the KENN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
84.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 14Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
84.7%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the KENN 11Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
84.2%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
85.8%
Kyler Halvorsen 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 3:2715% → 15%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.4%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 23Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+37
85.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Navelle Dean for 37 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.1%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
84.0%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
84.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 3 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-2
84.7%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:3986% → 86%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.0%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
85.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 4 yds TreyShun Hurry fumbled, recovered by KENN JeRico Washington Jr. J. Washington Jr. return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3216% → 14%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
83.6%
Davis Bryson sacked by Quincy Likio for a loss of 7 yards to the KENN 49Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-5
84.7%
Khalib Johnson sacked by Jordan Pollard for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 44Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 22
OWN 44
+2
85.1%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+11
85.6%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 47 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 11 yds to the SJSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 4:1885% → 89%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
85.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
85.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+15
84.7%
(03:52) BROWN, Emmett pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the KSU35; QB hurried by MILES, Jordan, clock 03:46. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on HALLUM, Tyler enforced 15 yards to the SJS42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
86.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for 3 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+23
86.1%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 23 yds to the KENN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
86.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 15 yds to the KENN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.5%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
85.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds to the KENN 9Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+5
85.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 5 yds to the KENN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.8%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 2 yds to the KENN 2Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
85.8%
Emmett Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 3Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.8%
Nick Nash 3 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.6%
(00:12) [NHSG] Kneel down by KSU at KSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:06.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14TD
23 plays · 75 yds · 9:459% → 11%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.8%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
90.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 5 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.5%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
90.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 6 yds to the KENN 42Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
90.0%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 43Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
90.1%
Preston Daniels run for 5 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
90.3%
(11:46) BRYSON, Davis pass to the left complete for 8 yards to BENEFIELD, Michael caught at the SJS44 and advanced to the SJS44, out of bounds, clock 11:39. PENALTY KSU Holding on KETTELS, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the KSU48 to the KSU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 20
OWN 38
-6
91.1%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENN 32 fumbled, recovered by KENN Davis Bryson D. Bryson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 26
OWN 32
+6
91.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jackson Manning for 6 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+15
91.5%
(09:57) BRYSON, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BOHANNON, Blake broken up by DANSBY, Michael at the SJS34, clock 09:52. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on DANSBY, Michael enforced 15 yards to the SJS47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.2%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
90.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
90.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Connor Finer for 12 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.7%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
89.9%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 32Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+17
89.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 17 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
88.5%
(07:03) BRYSON, Davis pass to the left incomplete intended for FINER, Connor thrown to the SJS3, clock 06:59. PENALTY KSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FINER, Connor enforced 5 yards from the SJS15 to the SJS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+8
89.0%
Davis Bryson run for 8 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+6
89.2%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the SJSU 6Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+5
89.6%
Preston Daniels run for 5 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.8%
Preston Daniels 1 Yd Run (Austin Welch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:3495% → 94%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
94.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
93.7%
Justin Lockhart 35 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4710% → 8%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the KENN 30Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.5%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
90.9%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Navelle Dean for no gain to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
91.7%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 36 yds, downed at the SJSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:4695% → 96%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
95.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+4
94.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 4 yds to the KENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.7%
Emmett Brown run for 3 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+13
96.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 13 yds to the KENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
96.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 5 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+3
96.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 3 yds to the KENN 19Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 2
OPP 19
0
96.3%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:577% → 7%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
92.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 18Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-4
92.9%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 14Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+34
93.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 34 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
92.0%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
92.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 6:2397% → 98%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.8%
Jabari Bates run for 9 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
97.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
97.8%
Jabari Bates run for 8 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-3
97.9%
Emmett Brown sacked by Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 5
50
+10
97.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 10 yds to the KENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
98.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 7 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-4
98.1%
Emmett Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-6
98.5%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Dino Beslagic punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:366% → 4%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
94.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Michael Benefield for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 7Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
94.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
95.7%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Jordan Pollard return for no gain to the KENN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1299% → 100%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
98.7%
Jabari Bates run for 8 yds to the KENN 14Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
98.9%
Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the KENN 13Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
98.9%
Jabari Bates run for 4 yds to the KENN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Nick Nash 9 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.5%
Khalib Johnson run for 8 yds to the KENN 44 Khalib Johnson fumbled, recovered by SJSU Nate Lewis N. Lewis return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
99.8%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSU 49Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 5 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:110% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Khalib Johnson pass intercepted Jalen Bainer return for no gain to the SJSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.8%
(01:25) Kneel down by SJS at SJS37 (team loss of 2), clock 01:15.Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
(00:46) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:39.Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 14
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
(00:29) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:05
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST down
+6.1
TD · Q2 0:15
Nick Nash 3 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)
+4.4
TD · Q2 14:30
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com