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KENN

Kennesaw State 16 at UTSA 28

UTSA
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.6UTSA 91.1%Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 21 · Q3 2:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:06 · Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+16.6Home team on offense+13.0Score differential+6.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Time remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:13: Owen McCown run for 5 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:40: Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:06: Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +1.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:23: Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 25 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +25.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:52: Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8KENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 6:12KENN 4th & 9 at UTSA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:17UTSA 4th & 2 at KENN 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00KENN 4th & 12 at KENN 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:18KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:00UTSA 4th & 20 at UTSA 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59KENN 4th & 13 at UTSA 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02UTSA 4th & 7 at KENN 27, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:04KENN 4th & 6 at KENN 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:36UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:06KENN 4th & 6 at UTSA 14, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 33, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:43KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:36UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:48UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−2.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:32KENN 4th & 15 at KENN 32, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46UTSA 4th & 14 at KENN 31, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22KENN 4th & 13 at UTSA 19, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:00UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:13UTSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:40UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:23KENN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:52UTSA Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:5594% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the KENN 49Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
93.5%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 46Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+12
93.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
93.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
93.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 16 yds to the KENN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
93.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 18 yds to the KENN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the KENN 4Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the KENN 2Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.2%
Devin McCuin 2 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:487% → 8%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.1%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the KENN 20Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
93.1%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.0%
Davis Bryson run for 9 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.9%
Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
92.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 4 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
92.6%
UTSA Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.5%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the UTSA 43Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
92.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 6 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
92.3%
Preston Daniels run for 5 yds to the UTSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
92.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
92.1%
Davis Bryson run for 3 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-5
92.2%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Carson Kent) to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+3
92.2%
Davis Bryson run for 3 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
91.6%
Austin Welch 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5892% → 92%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.6%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
91.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 10 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
91.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 1
50
+3
91.5%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
91.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen for 29 yds to the KENN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
91.4%
(03:50) MCCOWN, Owen pass to the right complete for 5 yards to ALLEN, DJ caught at the KSU20 and advanced to the KSU13 (PAUL, Isaac), out of bounds, clock 03:44. PENALTY TSA Holding on WILSON, Jace enforced 10 yards from the KSU18 to the KSU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+6
91.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 14
OPP 22
0
91.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+12
90.9%
Owen McCown run for 12 yds to the KENN 10Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+6
90.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the KENN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
90.9%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 5Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.2%
Owen McCown run for 5 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:138% → 8%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
91.8%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 22Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
91.9%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the KENN 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
92.0%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:1092% → 95%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 2 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
91.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 7 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
91.5%
Owen McCown run for 1 yd to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
92.0%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
91.9%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 26Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+7
91.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+61
91.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 61 yds to the KENN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
92.2%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the KENN 4Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:226% → 6%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.2%
Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the KENN 26Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
94.2%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.0%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1194% → 93%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 18Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+13
94.1%
Owen McCown run for 13 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
94.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
93.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-14
93.6%
Owen McCown sacked by Donelius Johnson for a loss of 14 yards to the UTSA 21Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
92.7%
Caile Hogan punt for 41 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for no gain to the KENN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:487% → 6%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
93.4%
Davis Bryson sacked by Martavius French for a loss of 10 yards to the KENN 28Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
93.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+10
93.9%
Qua Ashley run for 10 yds to the KENN 38 Qua Ashley fumbled, recovered by KENN Qua Ashley Q. Ashley return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
93.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 59 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for no gain to the UTSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:1393% → 94%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
93.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 6 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+45
93.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 45 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
94.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 8 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-10
94.0%
(03:49) MCCOWN, Owen pass to the right complete for 7 yards to MCCUIN, Devin caught at the KSU40 and advanced to the KSU31 (TAYLOR, RJ), clock 03:44. PENALTY TSA Holding on THOMAS, Houston enforced 10 yards from the KSU38 to the KSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-1
94.1%
Bryson Donnell run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 49Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+13
93.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 13 yds Kevorian Barnes fumbled, recovered by KENN Garland Benyard G. Benyard return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:416% → 7%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.6%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 36Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
93.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+51
94.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 51 yds to the UTSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
92.2%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 18Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+6
92.8%
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-4
92.9%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 16Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
92.8%
Austin Welch 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:5795% → 93%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+35
94.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 35 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.7%
Owen McCown sacked for 0 yards to the KENN 30 Owen McCown fumbled, recovered by UTSA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
93.6%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
93.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+43
93.0%
Chase Allen 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
93.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by BRYSON, Davis at KSU24 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:567% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Davis Bryson run for no gain to the KENN 25Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.1%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 24Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
93.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 5 yds to the KENN 29Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
93.2%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 49 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 2 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:1894% → 94%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
93.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
93.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 4 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
93.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 2 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
94.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 8 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
94.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 42Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+4
94.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jace Wilson for 4 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
94.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+1
93.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 43 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 1 yd to the KENN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 7:207% → 9%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+22
93.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 22 yds to the KENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.7%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
92.6%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
92.7%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
92.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 24 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
92.2%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-2
92.0%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 31Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+13
93.2%
Davis Bryson run for 13 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
92.1%
Davis Bryson run for 4 yds to the UTSA 14Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
92.1%
Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-3
92.7%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 14Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
91.1%
Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0193% → 93%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
93.1%
(02:01) MCCOWN, Owen pass up the middle complete for 65 yards to HENDERSON III, Will caught at the TSA34 and advanced to the KSU0, TOUCHDOWN TSA, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:50 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY TSA Holding on CARDENAS, Oscar enforced 10 yards from the TSA35 to the TSA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 19
OWN 26
-10
93.1%
Owen McCown sacked by Jordan Miles for a loss of 10 yards to the UTSA 16Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 29
OWN 16
+17
92.8%
Robert Henry run for 17 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
92.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:078% → 8%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
91.9%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 18Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
92.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 2 yds to the KENN 20 Kennesaw State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
92.4%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 56 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for no gain to the UTSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5793% → 93%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
92.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+7
92.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 21Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
93.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:0610% → 33%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
90.9%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-5
91.2%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Ethan Newman) to the KENN 41Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+15
93.0%
UTSA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tai Leonard) to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.4%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+14
92.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 14 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
67.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 25 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2883% → 84%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
83.1%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-2
84.4%
Owen McCown sacked by Juandarion Silas for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+2
82.8%
Will Henderson III run for 2 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
84.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
74.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 9 yds Gabriel Benyard fumbled, recovered by UTSA Syrus Dumas S. Dumas return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22TD
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:4489% → 97%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+16
88.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 16 yds to the KENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
89.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 6 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
89.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the KENN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
89.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the KENN 15Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
89.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+8
89.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds to the KENN 7Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+4
88.8%
(05:08) QB Keeper MCCOWN, Owen rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the KSU6 (WATKINS, Adam;WALKER, Pooda), clock 05:02. PENALTY Before the snap, KSU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the KSU7 to the KSU3 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.4%
Bryson Donnell run for no gain to the KENN 3Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:205% → 4%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.7%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Carson Kent) to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
95.7%
Davis Bryson run for 6 yds to the KENN 26Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
95.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 11 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
95.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-5
95.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Kettels) to the KENN 32Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 15
OWN 32
-5
95.9%
Davis Bryson sacked by James Walley Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:3998% → 99%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
98.3%
Will Henderson III run for no gain to the KENN 23Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-8
98.9%
Owen McCown sacked by Donelius Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the KENN 31Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+48
98.6%
Chase Allen 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:445% → 6%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
95.4%
Davis Bryson run for 13 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.9%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 9 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+15
94.3%
(01:06) BRYSON, Davis pass to the right incomplete intended for MOSS, Christian thrown to the TSA35, clock 01:04. PENALTY TSA Pass Interference on MORRIS, Zach enforced 15 yards to the TSA32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-9
93.8%
Davis Bryson sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the UTSA 41Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 19
OPP 41
+10
94.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 10 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+15
94.3%
(00:54) BRYSON, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOSS, Christian thrown to the TSA10, clock 00:00. PENALTY TSA Roughing the Passer on TRIPLETTE, Ronald enforced 15 yards from the TSA31 to the TSA16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-13
93.8%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the UTSA 29 fumbled, recovered by KENN Davis Bryson D. Bryson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
94.4%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 13
OPP 19
0
94.9%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 23
OPP 29
+10
94.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 10 yds to the UTSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.1%
[NH] Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:23
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 25 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)
-25
TD · Q4 3:52
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 10:40
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com