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UTEP

UTEP 10 at Louisiana Tech 14

LT
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 22, 2024 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:51 · Adam Jacklin punt for 30 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense−5.0Garbage-time factor−1.6Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:49: Evan Bullock pass complete to Solo Lewis for 48 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +10.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:04: Amani Givens run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5 — LT win probability +6.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:28: Amani Givens run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +32.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:28: Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32 — UTEP win probability +11.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:40: Amani Givens run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46 — LT win probability +12.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9UTEP made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:40UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06LT 4th & 9 at UTEP 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:27UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:21LT 4th & 7 at UTEP 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:38UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:08LT 4th & 6 at UTEP 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:31UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:04LT 4th & 11 at LT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:51UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:20UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:57UTEP 4th & 3 at LT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:11UTEP 4th & 3 at LT 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−5.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:36LT 4th & 11 at UTEP 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:45LT 4th & 18 at UTEP 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−4.3
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−10.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:02UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−11.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:08LT 4th & 8 at LT 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:55UTEP 4th & 12 at LT 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:43UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%−8.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:38LT 4th & 8 at UTEP 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:49UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:59UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:49LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:28LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1833% → 33%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
67.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Skyler Locklear run for no gain to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Adam Jacklin punt for 21 yds, downed at the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2767% → 67%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
67.2%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
67.2%
Evan Bullock sacked by Kory Chapman for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+6
66.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 6 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
66.8%
Patrick Rea punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 3:0233% → 36%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
66.9%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 7 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+12
66.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 12 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
66.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
66.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
66.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
50
+3
66.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the LT 47Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
63.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 47 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:1965% → 64%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.9%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
64.8%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+8
64.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 8 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
64.7%
Evan Bullock sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+14
63.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 14 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-5
64.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (Hayden Christman) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+7
63.8%
Evan Bullock run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
63.6%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0237% → 38%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
62.6%
Kam Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 5 Kenny Odom fumbled, recovered by UTEP Skyler Locklear S. Locklear return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 26
OWN 5
+4
62.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+13
62.5%
Skyler Locklear run for 13 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
62.2%
Adam Jacklin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Solo Lewis at the LT 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0063% → 61%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
62.6%
Jimmy Holiday run for 8 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
63.0%
Jimmy Holiday run for 7 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
62.4%
Jimmy Holiday run for no gain to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-1
62.0%
Amani Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+4
60.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Amani Givens for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
60.5%
Patrick Rea punt for 33 yds, downed at the UTEP 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4240% → 40%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
60.2%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
60.1%
Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 8
OWN 5
-2
60.1%
Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 10
OWN 3
-2
60.2%
Adam Jacklin punt for 37 yds , Solo Lewis returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2361% → 59%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
60.9%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
60.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 6 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-2
60.4%
Evan Bullock sacked by Kyran Duhon for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
59.1%
Patrick Rea punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2941% → 42%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
58.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 14 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
57.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
57.7%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
57.9%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
58.3%
Adam Jacklin punt for 58 yds, downed at the LT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2058% → 55%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
57.5%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LT 24Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
56.6%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-1
55.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 23Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
55.1%
Patrick Rea punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1146% → 45%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
54.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-4
54.1%
Skyler Locklear sacked by David Blay for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
53.4%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
54.6%
Adam Jacklin punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:5455% → 67%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
54.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 16 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
55.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 8 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
56.8%
Jimmy Holiday run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+48
67.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Solo Lewis for 48 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13MISSED FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 4:3038% → 41%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
62.2%
Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
61.4%
Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+22
62.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 22 yds to the LT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
59.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
58.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the LT 39Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
58.7%
Skyler Locklear run for 2 yds to the LT 37Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+5
58.7%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the LT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
55.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 34Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+6
55.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+3
55.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
58.6%
Buzz Flabiano 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:2264% → 63%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Evan Bullock run for no gain to the LT 25Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.0%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 3 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
63.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 6 yds to the LT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 5:2463% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for no gain to the LT 25Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.1%
Jimmy Holiday run for 2 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
61.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 12 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
64.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 37Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+7
63.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 7 yds to the LT 44Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+5
64.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 5 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
65.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 10 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for no gain to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-12
65.7%
Omiri Wiggins run for a loss of 12 yards to the LT 47Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 22
OWN 47
+11
61.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 11 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
61.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4241% → 40%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-2
60.5%
Skyler Locklear run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:1967% → 61%
Q3 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
66.8%
Amani Givens run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
66.8%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
66.8%
Amani Givens run for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
65.3%
Evan Bullock sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+36
60.5%
Buck Buchanan 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:4042% → 53%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
58.3%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Targeting on ZIMOS, Zach enforced (Zach Zimos) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
50
+8
53.3%
JP Pickles run for 8 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
52.7%
JP Pickles run for 9 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
51.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the LT 32Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+5
51.6%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
52.5%
JP Pickles run for no gain to the LT 27Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
47.4%
Buzz Flabiano 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5153% → 49%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
52.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
54.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
50.8%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
49.0%
Patrick Rea punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 4:1456% → 55%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
44.4%
Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
45.7%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+12
47.1%
JP Pickles run for 12 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
42.9%
JP Pickles run for 10 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
42.6%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Xavier Smith) to the LT 44Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
43.3%
JP Pickles run for 3 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-2
42.1%
JP Pickles run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 43Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+2
44.8%
JP Pickles run for 2 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
44.7%
Adam Jacklin punt for 38 yds, downed at the LT 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 5:2346% → 86%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+32
46.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 32 yds to the LT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.6%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LT 35Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
46.2%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+17
44.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 17 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
49.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-4
49.6%
Omiri Wiggins run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 49Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+13
43.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
49.4%
Amani Givens run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+19
51.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Amani Givens for 19 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
53.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 12 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.5%
Amani Givens run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4526% → 24%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
70.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
71.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 8 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
70.9%
JP Pickles pass complete to Kam Thomas for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
73.6%
JP Pickles run for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
76.0%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0289% → 89%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
88.9%
Amani Givens run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
89.5%
Jimmy Holiday run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
89.1%
Jimmy Holiday pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 8
OPP 46
+19
88.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 34 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 19 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:4015% → 12%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
84.8%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kells Bush) to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
82.6%
JP Pickles run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
82.2%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
86.9%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+8
88.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 8 yds to the LT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1893% → 96%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
93.0%
(01:44) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LATECH44 (team loss of 1), clock 01:42.Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-1
95.1%
(00:59) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LATECH43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:56.Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-1
95.7%
(00:26) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LATECH42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:28
Amani Givens run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)
+32.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:40
Amani Givens run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46
+12.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:28
Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com