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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 21 at Louisiana Tech 48

LT
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2024 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:27 · Grant Chadwick punt for 49 yds , Solo Lewis returns for 23 yds to the LT 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+32.7Score differential+29.6Garbage-time factor+8.9Blowout margin+14.2Pregame prior+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:34: Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 16 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +3.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:26: Evan Bullock pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 20 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +7.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:16: Evan Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +13.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:06: Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 75 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +5.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:09: Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 14:12MTSU 4th & 18 at MTSU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:12MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:17MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:28LT 4th & 7 at MTSU 7, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:27MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:08LT 4th & 14 at LT 43, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:49MTSU 4th & 4 at LT 4, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:46LT 4th & 9 at LT 20, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:54MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 12, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:41LT 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:25MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:42LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:35MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:36LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:34LT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:26LT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:16LT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:06LT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:09MTSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:14LT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3440% → 41%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 4 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
60.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 11 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
60.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 7 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+35
60.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 35 yds to the LT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
59.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 18 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2960% → 61%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
59.6%
Omiri Wiggins run for 5 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
59.6%
Evan Bullock run for no gain to the MTSU 31Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+19
59.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 19 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
59.4%
(10:37) BULLOCK, Evan pass up the middle incomplete intended for JACKSON, Marlion thrown to the MTSU2, clock 10:33. PENALTY MTSU Pass Interference on SHELLMAN, James enforced 10 yards to the MTSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
59.4%
Evan Bullock sacked by Brandon Buckner for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 5Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 5 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0740% → 44%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 8 yds to the MTSU 33Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
59.7%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
59.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 10 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
59.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
59.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the LT 35Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+16
59.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 16 yds to the LT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
58.9%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LT 24Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
59.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+24
55.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 24 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5757% → 60%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 5 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
56.8%
Jimmy Holiday run for 4 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
56.6%
Jack Turner run for 1 yd to the LT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
56.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 7 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+15
56.9%
Dakota Williams run for 15 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
57.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 28 yds to the MTSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
57.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
57.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
60.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 15 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:3441% → 42%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds to the MTSU 33Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
57.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 18 yds Omari Kelly fumbled, recovered by LT Roderick Roberson R. Roberson return for 7 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1061% → 65%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
60.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 31 yds to the MTSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
60.9%
Omiri Wiggins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 16Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
60.9%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+16
64.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 16 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1837% → 36%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MTSU 25Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
63.3%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Jayden Gray for a loss of 8 yards to the MTSU 17Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
64.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
64.5%
Grant Chadwick punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:4166% → 74%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
65.8%
Jay Wilkerson run for 15 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
66.5%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+29
65.8%
Jimmy Holiday run for 29 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
73.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 20 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1230% → 28%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for no gain to the MTSU 25Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.9%
Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 23Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
71.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Taharin Sudderth for 8 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
71.8%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (Grant Chadwick) to the MTSU 26Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+54
72.3%
Grant Chadwick punt for 54 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for no gain to the LT 22 , returns for no gain to the LT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4431% → 30%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
69.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the LT 18Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-23
69.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Isaiah Mcelvane return for 23 yds to the LT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:5274% → 90%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 8 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
75.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Fred Robertson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
50
+16
75.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 16 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
76.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Ja'Marion Kennedy) to the MTSU 45Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+14
76.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 14 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+24
76.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 24 yds to the MTSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
77.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 5 yds to the MTSU 2Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the MTSU 1Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.1%
Evan Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5412% → 11%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 2 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
88.6%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 22Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
88.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+1
88.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds , Solo Lewis returns for 1 yd to the LT 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 2:4792% → 91%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
92.1%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the LT 44Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
92.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 1
50
+3
92.5%
Evan Bullock run for 3 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.0%
Omiri Wiggins run for 2 yds to the MTSU 45Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
91.5%
Jimmy Holiday run for no gain to the MTSU 45Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+17
91.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 17 yds to the MTSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
92.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 4 yds to the MTSU 24Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+14
91.9%
Omiri Wiggins run for 14 yds to the MTSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
91.8%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the MTSU 7Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.1%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
91.3%
Buck Buchanan 24 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2010% → 10%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 25Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
90.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-14
90.0%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Jayden Gray for a loss of 14 yards to the MTSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5092% → 98%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LT 25Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 75 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:545% → 8%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
94.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 5 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
95.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 41Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+16
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 16 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 16 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 19 yds to the LT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:4695% → 99%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
94.7%
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
94.6%
Dakota Williams run for 3 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
94.7%
Fred Robertson run for 20 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
95.3%
Fred Robertson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 48Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+8
95.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 8 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+20
95.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Solo Lewis for 20 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.9%
Solo Lewis run for 5 yds to the MTSU 19Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
99.4%
Marquis Crosby pass complete to Solo Lewis for 19 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:471% → 0%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Terry Wilkins run for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.5%
Terry Wilkins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 37Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+23
99.6%
Grant Chadwick punt for 49 yds , Solo Lewis returns for 23 yds to the LT 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.5%
Fred Robertson run for 4 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Fred Robertson run for 4 yds to the LT 45Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
99.6%
Evan Bullock run for 2 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Dakota Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
50
0
99.7%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 7
50
-7
99.7%
Evan Bullock sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 43Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Patrick Rea punt for 49 yds, downed at the MTSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 87 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
99.8%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mekhi Mason) to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MTSU 36Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 7 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 4 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 8 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 7 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+31
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 31 yds to the LT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.8%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Josh Evans) to the LT 10Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 6 yds to the LT 4Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-10
99.8%
Amani Givins run for 10 yds to LT 15. Facemask on Louisiana Tech enforced half the distance from the end of the play LT 15 to LT 8.Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
99.8%
Amani Givins run for 11 yds to the LT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
99.8%
Evan Bullock sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 12 Evan Bullock fumbled, recovered by LT , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 1 yd to the LT 13Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
Jimmy Holiday run for 7 yds to the LT 20Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Patrick Rea punt for 64 yds, downed at the MTSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
99.9%
(06:32) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass short to the right complete for 40 yards to CREDLE, Jaiden caught at the MTSU20 and advanced to the LATECH44, out of bounds, clock 06:28. PENALTY MTSU Holding on WILSON, Simon enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the MTSU16 to the MTSU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MTSU 8Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 4 yds to the MTSU 12Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Solo Lewis at the LT 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 26 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Amani Givins run for 3 yds to the LT 45Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Jack Turner run for 1 yd to the LT 46Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Kendrick Rucker for 11 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Amani Givins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 42Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Amani Givins run for 5 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-2
100.0%
Amani Givins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 39Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Solo Lewis for 9 yds to the MTSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
(01:20) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at MTSU31 (team loss of 1), clock 01:05.Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-1
100.0%
(00:33) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at MTSU32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:16
Evan Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)
+13.7
TD · Q2 12:26
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 20 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q3 10:09
Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com