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JXST

Jacksonville State 17 at Western Kentucky 19

WKU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:03 · Cole Maynard punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Pregame prior+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:42: Tre Stewart run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +9.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:41: Lucas Carneiro 50 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +7.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WKU down 3 timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 11:37: Lucas Carneiro 35 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +9.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:44: Logan Smothers run for 17 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +31.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Lucas Carneiro 50 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +57.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13JXST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:26WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:28WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19JXST 4th & 8 at WKU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:10WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:48JXST 4th & 11 at JXST 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:52WKU 4th & 19 at WKU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:04JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:18JXST 4th & 8 at WKU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:03WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:41WKU 4th & 9 at JXST 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.4%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:38JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:31WKU 4th & 3 at JXST 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−13.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:13JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:56WKU 4th & 1 at JXST 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−4.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−4.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:13JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:37WKU 4th & 16 at JXST 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−5.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−16.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:52WKU 4th & 20 at WKU 11, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−7.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:52WKU 4th & 20 at WKU 11, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−7.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:34JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−3.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:35WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 49, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−2.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:53JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:03WKU 4th & 5 at JXST 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−20.9
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−36.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:48WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:42JXST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:44JXST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1952% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
51.8%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
51.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+6
51.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 6 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
51.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:5148% → 48%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
52.0%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
51.9%
Tre Stewart run for 14 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
51.8%
Tyler Huff run for 12 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
51.8%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
51.7%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
51.9%
Tyler Huff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:3352% → 56%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
52.3%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 25Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+19
52.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 19 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
52.9%
Elijah Young run for 9 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
53.2%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
53.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Noah Meyers for 24 yds to the JVST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
53.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to George Hart IIISimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
55.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 21 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1345% → 44%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.0%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
55.2%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
55.6%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 28Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for no gain to the WKU 26Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for no gain to the WKU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4456% → 56%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
55.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 21 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
56.4%
Easton Messer run for 2 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
56.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to George Hart III for 3 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
56.2%
Cole Maynard punt for 45 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for no gain to the JVST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5543% → 45%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+51
56.7%
Tyler Huff run for 51 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
55.4%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
55.4%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the WKU 21Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
56.0%
PENALTY JSU False Start 5 yards from WKU21 to WKU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-2
56.2%
Tyler Huff sacked by Devon Lynch for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
54.7%
Garrison Rippa 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:5155% → 54%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
55.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
54.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 9 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to K.D. HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
55.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
55.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
54.4%
Cole Maynard punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1345% → 43%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
55.5%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+5
55.9%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-5
56.3%
PENALTY JSU False Start (Vaughn,Cam) 5 yards from JSU18 to JSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
56.5%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
57.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for no gain to the JVST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:4557% → 55%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
57.1%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
57.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Noah MeyersSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-15
56.9%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass complete short right to Johnson,Kisean caught at JSU44, for 11 yards to the JSU34 (Young Jr.,Curley) PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Messer,Easton) 15 yards from JSU45 to WKU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 21
OWN 40
+2
55.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+7
54.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 7 yds to the JVST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3944% → 44%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
55.9%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the JVST 19 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Virgil Marshall) to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
55.3%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the JVST 35Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
55.5%
Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
54.5%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+1
55.7%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the JVST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1659% → 59%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
58.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 27 yds to the JVST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
59.2%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Johnson,Kisean) 5 yards from JSU16 to JSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+2
59.2%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the JVST 19Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+2
59.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-8
58.6%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Laletia Hale for a loss of 8 yards to the JVST 25 Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by JVST Jibreel Al-Amin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2243% → 43%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.6%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
55.8%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
55.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 10 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
54.5%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-1
54.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
55.4%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
57.2%
Jack Dawson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0659% → 57%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
58.6%
George Hart III run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 9Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
57.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+6
57.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 6 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
57.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:1745% → 56%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
54.9%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Jordan McCantsSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
55.2%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Andrew Paul) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+28
56.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 28 yds to the WKU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
53.6%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+9
53.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 9 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
44.1%
Tre Stewart run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 2:5048% → 53%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
48.1%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
48.1%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+13
47.2%
Elijah Young run for 13 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
48.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 14 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
51.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 16 yds to the JVST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
52.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+5
49.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
47.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 27
-5
45.9%
PENALTY WKU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from JSU27 to JSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
53.4%
Lucas Carneiro 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:3550% → 50%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
50.2%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
50.1%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:1648% → 49%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.9%
Tre Stewart run for 7 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
50.1%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
50.1%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
50.6%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
49.6%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
51.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 5:5156% → 63%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
55.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
55.7%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+15
53.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 15 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
56.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
57.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
55.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
50
+20
59.0%
Dalvin Smith pass complete to Noah Meyers for 20 yds to the JVST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
60.4%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the JVST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
60.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 8 yds to the JVST 12Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
60.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
59.3%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
60.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
60.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the JVST 6Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
59.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the JVST 3Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
63.4%
Lucas Carneiro 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0739% → 38%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.8%
Tyler Huff run for 6 yds to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
59.3%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 28Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
62.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 5 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
62.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0864% → 64%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
63.8%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete deep left to Mathison,Michael thrown to JSU39 PENALTY JSU Pass Interference (Mack,Jabari) 15 yards from WKU38 to JSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
66.5%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-5
66.7%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Leslie,Quantavious) 5 yards from JSU40 to JSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
66.7%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
66.0%
Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-1
64.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 39 Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by WKU Caden VeltkampSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3040% → 35%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.1%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the JVST 39Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
60.8%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+2
63.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Tre Stewart for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
64.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:2963% → 79%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
63.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+29
62.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 29 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
66.1%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
66.9%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
66.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
68.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+9
71.9%
Elijah Young run for 9 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
73.1%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the JVST 31Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+22
73.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Noah Meyers for 22 yds to the JVST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
73.6%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,L.T. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU07 (Young Jr.,Curley) PENALTY WKU Holding (Wilkins,Stacey) 10 yards from JSU09 to JSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+3
73.3%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the JVST 16Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
72.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Noah MeyersSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
69.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+35
79.3%
Lucas Carneiro 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3028% → 64%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
71.8%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Michael Pettway for 47 yds to the WKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
63.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 8 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
63.2%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
67.6%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
36.4%
Logan Smothers run for 17 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:3648% → 43%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
47.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 18Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
47.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 13
OWN 18
-9
45.1%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass complete deep left to Mathison,Michael caught at WKU43, for 32 yards to the WKU50 (Davis II,Fred) PENALTY WKU Holding (Leslie,Quantavious) 9 yards from WKU18 to WKU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+2
43.6%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 20
OWN 11
0
43.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 56 ydsSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 20
OWN 11
0
43.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1159% → 57%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
41.4%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
40.5%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
41.2%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
43.2%
Jack Dawson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4453% → 47%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
53.2%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
54.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the JVST 46Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
53.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the JVST 46Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-5
50.6%
(05:01) No Huddle Veltkamp,Caden pass complete short middle to Meyers,Noah caught at JSU29, for 22 yards to the JSU24, End Of Play PENALTY WKU Illegal Formation 5 yards from JSU46 to WKU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
47.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:2863% → 69%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
37.0%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 16Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+14
37.3%
Logan Smothers run for 14 yds to the JVST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
32.9%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 29Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
34.4%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+1
32.7%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 35Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
31.2%
Jack Dawson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 28FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 1:4437% → 89%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
37.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
34.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 5 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
34.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 7 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
35.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
50
-5
39.5%
PENALTY WKU False Start 5 yards from JSU50 to WKU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+13
31.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 13 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
36.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
30.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
28.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 5 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
31.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to K.D. HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+50
88.9%
Lucas Carneiro 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
76.2%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Jordan McCantsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Lucas Carneiro 50 yd FG GOOD
+57.4
TD · Q4 9:44
Logan Smothers run for 17 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-31.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com