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SHSU

Sam Houston 11 at Jacksonville State 21

JXST
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:13 · Jack Dawson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Simeon Evans at the SHSU 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense+3.5Pregame prior+4.6Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:14: Tyler Huff run for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +8.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:16: Hunter Watson run for 21 yds for a TD (H. Watson Run For Two-point Conversion) — SHSU win probability +15.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:39: Jay Ducker run for no gain to the JVST 14 — SHSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. MISSED FG · Q3 2:52: Christian Pavon 37 Yard Field Goal Missed — JXST win probability +6.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:31: Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +12.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SHSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:53SHSU 4th & 12 at SHSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:06JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06SHSU 4th & 20 at SHSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10JXST 4th & 9 at SHSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:12SHSU 4th & 2 at JXST 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:30SHSU 4th & 2 at JXST 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:06SHSU 4th & 1 at JXST 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−2.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:13JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−3.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:06SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 34, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:52SHSU 4th & 16 at JXST 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−3.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−10.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:13SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.2%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:51SHSU 4th & 15 at JXST 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:26JXST 4th & 5 at SHSU 34, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%−0.4
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SHSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:45JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:14JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:16SHSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:31JXST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1463% → 65%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
62.7%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
62.7%
Tre Stewart run for 9 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
62.8%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
62.8%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
62.9%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
63.0%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+16
63.0%
Tyler Huff run for 16 yds to the SHSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
63.1%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
63.2%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+12
63.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 12 yds to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
63.3%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the SHSU 5Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
63.3%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the SHSU 3Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.9%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4436% → 35%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
64.2%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 28Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
64.6%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
64.8%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
65.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 34 yds, downed at the JVST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3765% → 65%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
65.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Samario Rudolph for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+2
64.9%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+7
64.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 7 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 30 yds, downed at the SHSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:5335% → 33%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
65.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for no gain to the SHSU 28Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
65.7%
Jay Ducker run for 13 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
65.1%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 1
50
+9
64.7%
Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.9%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
64.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Jay Ducker for 1 yd to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
65.1%
Hunter Watson sacked by Ky'won McCray and Jawaun Campbell for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 41Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 10
OPP 41
-5
66.3%
Sam Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (Hunter Watson) to the JVST 46Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 15
OPP 46
-5
66.7%
Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 49Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
66.7%
Jadon Cardell punt for 41 yds, downed at the JVST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4567% → 67%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
66.5%
Tre Stewart run for 7 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
66.4%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the JVST 17Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+8
66.0%
Tyler Huff run for 8 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
67.0%
Tyler Huff run for 13 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
67.7%
Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
68.1%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
68.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
67.9%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 9
OPP 40
-2
67.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Andrew Paul for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:5034% → 37%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
66.2%
Noah Smith run for 7 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+10
65.5%
Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
65.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+7
66.7%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+14
66.1%
Hunter Watson run for 14 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
64.9%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+1
65.2%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+9
66.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 9 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
62.6%
Christian Pavon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5864% → 75%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.0%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
63.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 5 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
65.3%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
66.6%
Tre Stewart run for 9 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
67.1%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the SHSU 46Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
66.7%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
67.3%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
67.3%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+38
75.3%
Tyler Huff run for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:4426% → 25%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Noah Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.7%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
75.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 9 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
74.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 17 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
73.8%
DJ McKinney run for 6 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
73.6%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
74.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 7 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
73.6%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Offsides (Jawaun Campbell) to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 5
OPP 27
0
73.3%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
73.4%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
74.0%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the JVST 24Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
75.2%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:2078% → 77%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
78.2%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+10
78.7%
Tyler Huff run for 10 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
79.4%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
79.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 6 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
77.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-14
76.8%
Tyler Huff sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 14 yards to the JVST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
74.7%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 6:3623% → 39%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
77.5%
Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+16
76.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 16 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
76.4%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
76.4%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
76.6%
Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
76.4%
Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
76.5%
Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+3
76.7%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
78.1%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the JVST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
76.0%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
76.2%
Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+21
60.7%
Hunter Watson run for 21 yds for a TD (H. Watson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5567% → 64%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
66.6%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 36Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
66.9%
Tyler Huff run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 33Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
64.8%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
64.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Simeon Evans at the SHSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5835% → 34%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.8%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
64.5%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ky'won McCray) to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
62.7%
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
64.1%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the SHSU 34Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
66.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 49 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4741% → 32%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
58.7%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the JVST 14Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
59.7%
Simeon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 15Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 11
OPP 15
-5
61.9%
Hunter Watson sacked by Fred Perry and Jawaun Campbell for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 20Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
67.9%
Christian Pavon 37 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:0766% → 88%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.3%
Tyler Huff run for 8 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
67.7%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
65.8%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the JVST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
66.7%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
66.6%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
67.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 4 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
69.1%
Tyler Huff run for 14 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
74.0%
Tyler Huff run for 8 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-1
74.1%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 38Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+22
73.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 22 yds to the SHSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
75.4%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 17Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+9
75.4%
Sam Houston Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Richard Outland Jr.) to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
75.6%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the SHSU 7Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.8%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 16MISSED FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 5:4014% → 7%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.8%
DJ McKinney run for 6 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
84.3%
Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 26Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
86.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 7 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
87.2%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the SHSU 34Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
88.8%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
87.4%
Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
87.0%
DJ McKinney run for 6 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
86.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 16 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
86.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 5 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
85.4%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
88.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 7 yds to the JVST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
86.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Sohn for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 25Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
89.1%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
91.5%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
93.1%
Christian Pavon 42 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:1792% → 97%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
93.0%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
93.2%
Tyler Huff run for 9 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.3%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 40Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
95.0%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+19
95.7%
Tyler Huff run for 19 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
96.5%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the SHSU 38Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
96.4%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+1
96.9%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the SHSU 34Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+1
97.2%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the SHSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:193% → 3%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
96.7%
Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
96.5%
Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.7%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.8%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:16
Hunter Watson run for 21 yds for a TD (H. Watson Run For Two-point Conversion)
-15.5
TD · Q4 11:31
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 5:14
Tyler Huff run for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com