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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 20 at Jacksonville State 42

JXST
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 23, 2024 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:07 · Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+31.0Score differential+23.6Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:59: Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +5.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:34: Tyler Huff run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +3.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:14: Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:33: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:11: Andrew Paul run for 26 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 5:38MTSU 4th & 2 at JXST 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:18JXST 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:14MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:24MTSU 4th & 6 at JXST 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:20MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:43JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:13MTSU 4th & 11 at JXST 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:52MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:33MTSU 4th & 3 at JXST 4, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:07MTSU 4th & 6 at JXST 7, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:50MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:58JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:02JXST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:59JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:34JXST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:14JXST Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:33MTSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:11JXST Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:0911% → 12%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
89.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 21Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
88.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 13 yds to the MTSU 34Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
88.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
88.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5288% → 88%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.0%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
87.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 11 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
87.7%
Tre Stewart run for 7 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
87.6%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.1%
Tyler Huff run for 49 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 5:1412% → 14%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
87.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 41Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
87.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
87.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 5 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
86.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 2 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+7
86.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 7 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
86.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
85.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
86.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+47
85.6%
Zeke Rankin 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3685% → 86%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 6 yds to the JVST 31Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
85.6%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
85.2%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
85.1%
Tyler Huff sacked by Damonte Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+10
84.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 10 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+21
84.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 21 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
85.1%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the MTSU 38Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
85.0%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
84.7%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+18
84.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 18 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
84.8%
Tyler Huff run for 10 yds to the MTSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.2%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4515% → 15%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
85.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
85.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 6
OWN 32
-5
85.6%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 27Similar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+5
85.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 5 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
85.1%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:1785% → 85%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
85.4%
Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
85.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
85.0%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
84.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:2015% → 17%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
85.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 15Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+11
84.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 11 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
84.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+21
84.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 21 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
83.5%
Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
82.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+2
83.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
83.5%
Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8FUMBLE
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:0184% → 84%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
83.8%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the JVST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
83.7%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+19
83.6%
Tre Stewart run for 19 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
84.4%
(10:01) HUFF, Tyler scrambles up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the JSU47 (WOODS, Shakai), clock 09:48. PENALTY Before the snap, JSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the JSU44 to the JSU39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+21
83.9%
Tre Stewart run for 21 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
84.6%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the MTSU 36Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
84.4%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
84.4%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the MTSU 26Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+12
84.7%
Tyler Huff run for 12 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
84.6%
Tre Stewart run for 8 yds to the MTSU 6Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
84.5%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the MTSU 5Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-3
83.8%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 8 Tre Stewart fumbled, recovered by MTSU Muaaz Byard M. Byard return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:4818% → 18%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
82.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 13Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-5
82.1%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 8Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
82.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 12Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+15
82.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 15 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
81.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 25Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+2
82.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 2 yds to the JVST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:2782% → 81%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
81.6%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+3
82.0%
Samario Rudolph run for 3 yds to the JVST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
81.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
81.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 6 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
81.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
82.9%
Tyler Huff sacked by Brandon Buckner for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+10
81.6%
Tyler Huff run for 10 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
81.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
80.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
80.4%
(00:32) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at MTSU9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:16.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4281% → 88%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
80.9%
Tre Stewart run for 65 yds to the MTSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
82.9%
Jordan McCants run for 3 yds to the MTSU 7Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
82.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:4612% → 15%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
87.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 38 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
86.4%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Reginald Hughes and Laletia Hale for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 39Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+9
86.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 9 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+8
86.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the JVST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
85.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-3
85.1%
Omari Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
86.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Taharin Sudderth for no gain to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+41
85.4%
Zeke Rankin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3986% → 93%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
86.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 37 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
87.8%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 43Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+3
87.3%
Demarcus Lacey run for 3 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+3
87.5%
Demarcus Lacey run for 3 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+22
87.2%
Tyler Huff run for 22 yds to the MTSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
88.1%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the MTSU 13Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
88.1%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the MTSU 6Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
88.5%
Demarcus Lacey run for 4 yds to the MTSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.2%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:428% → 7%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
(05:34) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LACY, Cam'ron thrown to the JSU40, clock 05:26. PENALTY JSU Offsides on DAVIS II, Fred MTSU Holding on ELLIS, Ethan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 25Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Ethan Crite for 6 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
92.1%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 26Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+17
92.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 44 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 17 yds to the JVST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:2495% → 99%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
94.8%
Tyler Huff run for 15 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
95.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 14 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
95.1%
Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
95.2%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the MTSU 14Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+13
95.2%
Tre Stewart run for 13 yds to the MTSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the MTSU 1Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:402% → 7%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 32 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
98.4%
(14:59) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIS, Holden broken up by PERRY, Fred at the JSU0, clock 14:53. PENALTY JSU Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the JSU43 to the JSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
98.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 6 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
98.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 11 yds to the JVST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.5%
Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the JVST 9Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
98.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the JVST 4Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
98.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the JVST 4Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
93.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 5:2297% → 100%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
97.6%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
97.8%
Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
98.0%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
98.0%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the MTSU 42Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
98.0%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
98.2%
Tre Stewart run for 11 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.7%
Andrew Paul run for 26 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:021% → 1%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 7 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 13 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 23 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
99.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the JVST 7Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 6
OPP 7
0
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.8%
Andrew Paul run for 6 yds to the JVST 13Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
99.8%
Andrew Paul run for 5 yds to the JVST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.7%
Andrew Paul run for 6 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
99.8%
(01:11) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at JSU23 (team loss of 1), clock 01:01.Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-1
99.8%
(00:29) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at JSU22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:59
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q4 11:33
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q3 5:34
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com