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2024 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2024 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Garrison Rippa 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior−23.1Home team on offense−5.7Score differential−2.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:23: Tyler Huff run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +4.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:08: Tre Stewart run for 9 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +5.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:49: Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +7.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:56: Tyler Huff run for 14 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +9.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:14: Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +9.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:54KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:57KENN 4th & 5 at JXST 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:43JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13KENN 4th & 21 at KENN 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:37JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:47JXST 4th & 1 at KENN 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:59KENN 4th & 15 at KENN 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00JXST 4th & 11 at KENN 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:15JXST 4th & 1 at KENN 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−2.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:51KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:53KENN 4th & 4 at JXST 45, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2JXST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:54JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:23JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:08JXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:49KENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:56JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:14JXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:23JXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:08JXST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:29KENN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:28JXST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:22JXST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2813% → 14%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
13.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
13.2%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+5
13.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Connor Finer for 5 yds to the KENN 29Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+10
13.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 40 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 10 yds to the JVST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5286% → 86%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
13.8%
Tre Stewart run for 25 yds to the KENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
13.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 35Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
14.1%
Tyler Huff run for 8 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+10
14.4%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the KENN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
14.4%
Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the KENN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.8%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:1714% → 18%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
14.3%
Tykeem Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 29Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
14.4%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+31
14.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 31 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
14.9%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
15.1%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+11
15.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 11 yds to the JVST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
15.7%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
15.9%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the JVST 20Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
15.9%
Qua Ashley run for 8 yds to the JVST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
16.4%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the JVST 10Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
16.6%
Preston Daniels run for no gain to the JVST 10Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+3
16.6%
Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the JVST 7Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
17.6%
Austin Welch 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4183% → 81%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.5%
Demarcus Lacey run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
17.7%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (Cam Jones) to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
17.8%
run for no gain to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
18.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 6 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
18.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:2518% → 18%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
18.3%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the KENN 32Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-15
18.5%
(01:04) ASHLEY, Qua rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the KSU37 (BROWN, Dylan;HUGHES, Reginald), clock 01:30. PENALTY KSU Personal Foul on KETTELS, Jacob enforced 15 yards from the KSU32 to the KSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 24
OWN 17
+3
18.5%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 21
OWN 20
0
18.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
18.2%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 39 yds, downed at the JVST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3682% → 81%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
18.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
18.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 14:37
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
19.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
18.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7INT
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:5920% → 20%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
20.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-15
20.3%
(14:30) BENEFIELD, Michael rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the JSU43 (DELOACH, Dajwon;CARTER, Derek), clock 13:51. PENALTY KSU Personal Foul on WALLACE, Tykeem enforced 15 yards from the JSU48 to the KSU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 25
OWN 37
0
19.6%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Zechariah Poyser return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:1481% → 85%
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
50
+9
19.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 9 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
50
0
18.8%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
50
0
19.0%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+6
19.6%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
18.7%
(12:28) STEWART, Tre rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, STEWART, Tre fumbled at KSU34 forced by SCARVER, Amir, recovered by KSU JONES, Milon at the KSU38, returned 0 yards to the KSU38, End of Play, clock 12:56. PENALTY KSU Face mask enforced 15 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
18.9%
Tyler Huff run for 6 yds to the KENN 14Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+6
18.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 6 yds to the KENN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
18.9%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the KENN 6Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
14.9%
Tyler Huff run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5216% → 15%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.2%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 36Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
16.3%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 36Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-6
15.9%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENN 30Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
15.4%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:4684% → 91%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
16.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 10 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
15.9%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+14
16.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
50
+26
15.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 26 yds to the KENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
15.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 15 yds to the KENN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
9.4%
Tre Stewart run for 9 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:0383% → 84%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.7%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
16.5%
Michael Pettway run for 7 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
16.3%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+27
16.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 27 yds Michael Pettway fumbled, recovered by KENN Milon Jones M. Jones return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:3717% → 27%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
17.0%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
17.7%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Talan Carter) to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
18.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
18.1%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+12
17.7%
Michael Benefield run for 12 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
19.0%
Qua Ashley run for 11 yds to the JVST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
19.1%
Qua Ashley run for 14 yds to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
19.3%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the JVST 9Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
25.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
26.7%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the JVST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13MISSED FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 1:4978% → 78%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
22.4%
Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
21.0%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-10
21.9%
(01:04) HUFF, Tyler scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards, HUFF, Tyler fumbled at KSU49 , recovered by JSU O'STEEN, Will at the KSU49, returned 0 yards to the KSU49, End of Play, clock 00:57. PENALTY JSU Holding on HARLEY, Daveion enforced 10 yards from the JSU43 to the JSU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+15
24.0%
(00:57) HUFF, Tyler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VAUGHN, Cam thrown to the KSU25, clock 00:49. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on BILLINGSLEY, Que enforced 15 yards to the JSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
21.4%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
20.4%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+13
18.8%
Tyler Huff run for 13 yds to the KENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
20.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
18.8%
pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 4 yds to the KENN 16Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
20.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 15 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
18.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
19.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 16
-5
21.9%
RIPPA, Garrison field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at KSU24], score nullified by penalty, clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, JSU False Start enforced 5 yards from the KSU16 to the KSU21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
22.3%
Garrison Rippa 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2976% → 85%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.4%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
25.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 13 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
23.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 5 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
23.3%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
23.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 19 yds to the KENN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
22.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
22.5%
Michael Pettway run for 5 yds to the KENN 17Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
23.5%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the KENN 17Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
25.0%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the KENN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
15.2%
Tyler Huff run for 14 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4316% → 17%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
15.6%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the KENN 18Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
15.5%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 17Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+26
14.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 26 yds to the KENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
16.8%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
17.4%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
16.9%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
17.3%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Zechariah Poyser return for no gain to the JVST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3787% → 95%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+46
13.5%
Tyler Huff run for 46 yds to the KENN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
14.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Personal Foul (Juandarion Silas) to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.2%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:508% → 8%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
8.4%
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
8.8%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-4
8.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 29Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+2
7.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 41 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 2 yds to the JVST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:2695% → 99%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
5.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 7 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+7
4.4%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
4.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to P.J. Wells for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 6
50
+1
4.1%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the KENN 49Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+20
4.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 20 yds to the KENN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.5%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
3.4%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+5
3.4%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the KENN 19 Tre Stewart fumbled, recovered by JVST Tre Stewart T. Stewart return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.6%
Tyler Huff run for 19 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:521% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.6%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 18Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
0.6%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-30
0.3%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted Jabari Mack return for 30 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+59
0.3%
Michael Benefield run for 59 yds to the JVST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.4%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the JVST 5Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.3%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the JVST 1Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2899% → 100%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
0.5%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
0.5%
Tyler Huff run for 6 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.4%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+15
0.4%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Amir Scarver) to the KENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.3%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
0.3%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the KENN 42Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+41
0.3%
Tyler Huff run for 41 yds to the KENN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.1%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 5 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
0.1%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.1%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the JVST 45Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-13
0.1%
Khalib Johnson sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the KENN 42 Khalib Johnson fumbled, recovered by JVST J-Rock Swain , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
0.1%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the KENN 39Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
0.1%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+5
0.1%
Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the KENN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
0.1%
Mike Franklin run for 9 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
0.1%
Mike Franklin run for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Michael Benefield run for 7 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
0.0%
Destun Thomas run for 14 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
0.0%
DJ Scott run for 7 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
0.0%
DJ Scott run for 2 yds to the JVST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:56
Tyler Huff run for 14 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 6:14
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 1:49
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com