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2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:13 · Jack Dawson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Pregame prior+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:12: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 36 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +6.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:48: Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +14.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:20: Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +12.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:19: Cole Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +17.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:11: Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +10.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 11:06CCU 4th & 8 at JXST 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50JXST 4th & 10 at CCU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:40JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:04JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37CCU 4th & 3 at JXST 49, up 21
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:50JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:35JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:57CCU 4th & 1 at JXST 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13CCU 4th & 10 at JXST 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:13JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:10JXST 4th & 6 at CCU 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:18CCU 4th & 9 at JXST 9, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 1:12CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:01CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:48CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:20CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:19JXST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:11CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:34CCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:03JXST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:18CCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:06JXST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:4542% → 42%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
58.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ethan Vasko) to the CCU 37Similar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+2
58.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+5
58.4%
CCU rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, fumbled at CCU33 , recovered by CCU VASKO, Ethan at the CCU36, returned 0 yards to the CCU36, End of Play. PENALTY JSU Offsides on PRATER, Darrell enforced 5 yards from the CCU39 to the CCU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
58.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 10 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
58.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
58.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 3 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
58.4%
VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete thrown to the JSU21. PENALTY JSU Offsides on YOUNG JR., Curley enforced 5 yards from the JSU39 to the JSU34 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
58.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 24 yds to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
58.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
58.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the JVST 8Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
58.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
58.1%
Kade Hensley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5358% → 58%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
58.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 1 yd to the JVST 27Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
57.9%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
57.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:5442% → 43%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
58.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 12 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
57.8%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the CCU 41Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
57.9%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 8 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
57.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 7 yds to the JVST 44 Ja'Vin Simpkins fumbled, recovered by JVST Zechariah Poyser Z. Poyser return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2958% → 59%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
58.4%
Logan Smothers run for 13 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
58.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+7
58.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 7 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
58.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
58.9%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-2
58.5%
Logan Smothers sacked by Ibrahim Diawara for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 31Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
58.5%
Garrison Rippa 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:3042% → 49%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
58.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
57.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
58.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
57.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
57.4%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the JVST 49Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
57.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+8
57.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 8 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
51.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 36 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
47.5%
Clev Lubin 17 Yd Fumble Return (Kade Hensley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:4248% → 48%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
47.8%
Tre Stewart run for 11 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-19
48.2%
Tyler Huff pass intercepted Matthew McDoom return for 19 yds to the JVST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4255% → 56%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
45.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+1
44.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
44.5%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Zechariah Poyser return for no gain to the JVST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3847% → 46%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
46.5%
Andrew Paul run for 5 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
47.0%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
46.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
45.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5256% → 71%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+59
43.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 59 yds to the JVST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
42.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 9 yds to the JVST 12Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+8
42.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the JVST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
28.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4434% → 32%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.8%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 12 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.4%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the JVST 37Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
34.0%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.8%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
32.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:2773% → 74%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
27.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 24 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
26.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
26.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
27.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
25.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds, downed at the JVST 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2830% → 28%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
29.5%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the JVST 5Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
29.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+3
29.2%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 8 Tyler Huff fumbled, recovered by JVST Tyler Huff T. Huff return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+7
28.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 47 yds , Tray Taylor returns for 7 yds to the JVST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:4977% → 89%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
23.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+13
23.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 13 yds to the JVST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
23.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
23.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the JVST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
23.0%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 22Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 13
OPP 22
0
23.3%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the JVST 22Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+6
23.7%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Face mask (6 yards) (Curley Young Jr.) to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
23.0%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 11Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
23.3%
VASKO, Ethan pass to the left incomplete intended for TUCKER, Jameson broken up by POYSER, Zechariah at the JSU0. PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on POYSER, Zechariah enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the JSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:0112% → 25%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
11.2%
SMOTHERS, Logan pass short to the right incomplete intended for RUDOLPH, Samario broken up by POWELL, Juan at the JSU35. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on POWELL, Juan enforced 15 yards to the JSU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
12.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Tre Stewart for 17 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
13.3%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
12.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 11 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
13.8%
Tre Stewart run for 9 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
13.0%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the CCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
13.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 14 yds to the CCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.7%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.2%
JSU rush up the middle for a loss of 9 yards, fumbled at CCU3 , recovered by JSU SMOTHERS, Logan at the CCU10, returned 0 yards to the CCU10, End of Play. PENALTY CCU Offsides on TEMONEY, Abraham enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the CCU1 to the CCU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.9%
Cole Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
14.0%
[NH] Kneel down by CCU at CCU20 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1021% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.1%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
21.3%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
21.8%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
20.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds , Tray Taylor returns for 1 yd to the CCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:3984% → 96%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
15.9%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 6 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+8
15.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 8 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
15.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 8 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
15.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
15.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
15.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+46
15.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Malick Meiga for 46 yds to the JVST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.4%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the JVST 2Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.4%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
4.3%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
4.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Jordan McCants for 1 yd fumbled, forced by AJ Williams, recovered by JVST Will O'Steen W. O'Steen return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
3.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 34Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
3.5%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Cameron Wright) to the CCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3896% → 97%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
3.7%
WASHINGTON, Christian rush up the middle for no gain to the CCU34 (HUGHES, Reginald;HALE, Laletia). PENALTY JSU Personal Foul on PAYTON HODGES, Shane enforced 15 yards from the CCU34 to the CCU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+2
3.5%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 46Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+7
3.5%
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
3.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cane Berrong for 5 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
3.1%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:314% → 3%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
3.5%
Tyler Huff sacked by Ibrahim Diawara and Tray Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 6Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 15
OWN 6
-1
3.1%
Tyler Huff pass intercepted Cristian Conyer return for 1 yd to the JVST 22Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
2.6%
SIMPKINS, Ja'Vin rush to the left for no gain to the JSU22 (CARTER II, Antonio). PENALTY CCU Holding on JOHNSON, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the JSU22 to the JSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:1397% → 97%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+6
2.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cane Berrong for 6 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+3
2.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 3 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+1
2.8%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the JVST 22Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
2.6%
Kade Hensley 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:032% → 1%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.8%
Tyler Huff run for 9 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
1.9%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.9%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 9 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
2.0%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+30
2.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 30 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
2.3%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 25 Andrew Paul fumbled, recovered by JVST Tyler Huff T. Huff return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+7
1.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 7 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
1.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 6 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
1.1%
Anwar Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
1.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+5
1.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 5 yds to the CCU 8Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
0.8%
Garrison Rippa 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3699% → 100%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.8%
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.8%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.8%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
0.8%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
0.7%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
0.8%
Darren Lloyd run for 13 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
0.8%
Darren Lloyd run for 3 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
0.8%
Darren Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 37Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+37
0.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 37 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
0.2%
HUFF, Tyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for LACEY, Demarcus thrown to the JSU14. PENALTY JSU Personal Foul on HUFF, Tyler enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the JSU15 to the JSU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+92
0.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 92 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:45100% → 100%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.4%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
0.4%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.4%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.4%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+53
0.4%
Darren Lloyd run for 53 yds to the JVST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
0.4%
Darren Lloyd run for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 13Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
0.4%
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the JVST 9Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the JVST 9Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Senika McKie for 9 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+24
0.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 24 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
0.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 8 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+38
0.1%
Tre Stewart run for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.1%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-2
0.1%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:19
Cole Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q2 11:48
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q2 2:20
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com