Try the model
LIB

Liberty 24 at Kennesaw State 27

KENN
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 23, 2024 · Fifth Third Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kaidon Salter pass complete to Julian Gray for 3 yds Julian Gray fumbled, recovered by LIB Julian Gray J. Gray return for 0 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:21: Michael Benefield run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +3.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +10.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:02: Qua Ashley run for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +16.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:43: Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +13.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:49: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 17 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +29.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:41KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:26LIB 4th & 1 at KENN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:57LIB 4th & 5 at KENN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:52LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:57KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:31KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:15LIB 4th & 1 at KENN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−1.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:01LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:05LIB 4th & 12 at KENN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:43KENN 4th & 8 at LIB 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−18.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:27LIB 4th & 11 at KENN 34, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:13KENN 4th & 5 at LIB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:06KENN 4th & 1 at LIB 35, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%−3.8
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−5.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:43LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:49KENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:21KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:48LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:02KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:49LIB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 4:194% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 21 fumbled, recovered by KENN Davis Bryson D. Bryson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
4.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 4 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
4.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 12 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
4.7%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 35Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+10
4.9%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 10 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
5.1%
Preston Daniels run for no gain to the KENN 45Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-5
5.1%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Davis Bryson) to the KENN 40Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+14
5.3%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 47 yds , Brylan Green returns for 14 yds to the LIB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:4895% → 94%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
5.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
5.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
50
+8
5.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 8 yds to the KENN 42Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
5.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the KENN 41Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
5.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 6 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
5.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+15
6.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 15 yds to the KENN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
6.2%
(06:55) SALTER, Kaidon pass up the middle complete for 2 yards to GRAY, Julian caught at the KSU20 and advanced to the KSU15 (PORTER, Sidney), out of bounds, clock 07:04. PENALTY LIB Holding on HANSHAW, Bentley enforced 10 yards from the KSU17 to the KSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 20
OPP 27
0
6.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+7
6.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 7 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+5
6.6%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Offsides (Jamar Rucks) to the KENN 15Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
5.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 15 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:216% → 9%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.2%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the KENN 26Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
6.3%
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
6.6%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
6.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 1 yd to the KENN 37Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+22
6.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 22 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
8.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 41 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:1592% → 90%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.2%
(02:12) QB Keeper SALTER, Kaidon rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the LIB33, End of Play, clock 02:41. PENALTY LIB Holding on WHITE, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the LIB25 to the LIB15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
8.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 7 yds to the LIB 22Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+20
8.5%
Billy Lucas run for 20 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
8.4%
Billy Lucas run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 2
50
+1
8.5%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the KENN 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
8.7%
Billy Lucas run for no gain to the KENN 49Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
9.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
9.2%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 48Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+10
9.7%
Billy Lucas run for 10 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-2
9.7%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 40Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
10.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 2:0411% → 17%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+41
11.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 41 yds to the LIB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
12.8%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the LIB 16Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+15
13.2%
Davis Bryson run for 15 yds to the LIB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.7%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5384% → 82%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.0%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
17.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
17.7%
Max Morgan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5117% → 19%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
17.4%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the KENN 35Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
18.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 2 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-1
19.2%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 36Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
19.1%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:1281% → 79%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 29Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
19.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
20.3%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the LIB 34Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
21.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.4%
Kaidon Salter pass intercepted Tyler Hallum return for no gain to the KENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5323% → 24%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
23.1%
Qua Ashley run for 9 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
24.6%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
23.5%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
24.9%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Michael Benefield for no gain to the KENN 30Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
25.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
24.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
23.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
18 plays · 81 yds · 2:0075% → 85%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
24.8%
Vaughn Blue run for 7 yds to the LIB 26Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
25.0%
Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
25.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
25.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
24.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for no gain to the KENN 26Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+32
28.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 32 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+4
26.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the KENN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
25.0%
(01:03) LUCAS, Billy rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the KSU33 (PORTER, Sidney;JONES, Milon), clock 00:56. PENALTY Before the snap, KSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 5
OPP 30
0
24.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
25.0%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the KENN 26Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
15.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
14.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 7 yds to the KENN 15Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
14.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2222% → 21%
Q2 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
22.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+9
21.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 9 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
22.8%
Davis Bryson sacked by TJ Bush Jr. and Eliyt Nairne for a loss of 7 yards to the KENN 47Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
21.5%
Michael Benefield run for 7 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 47
-4
21.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2182% → 79%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
18.3%
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 17Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+6
19.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 6 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
20.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
21.0%
Max Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 5:3123% → 48%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
23.0%
Michael Benefield run for 22 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
25.2%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 39Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-2
25.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 41Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+3
24.5%
Davis Bryson run for 3 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
27.7%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the LIB 23Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+15
24.1%
(10:20) BRYSON, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BOHANNON, Blake thrown to the LIB22, clock 10:51. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on OLIVER, Alex enforced 15 yards to the LIB23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
29.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 12 yds to the LIB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
30.3%
Davis Bryson run for 3 yds to the LIB 8Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
31.2%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the LIB 6Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
47.5%
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:4859% → 64%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+21
40.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 21 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
38.6%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+16
38.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 16 yds to the KENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-2
38.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 29Similar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
39.5%
Colin Karhu 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
36.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:4742% → 73%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 1 yd to the KENN 26Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
42.4%
Qua Ashley run for 15 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
46.9%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
48.4%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 1
50
+7
48.1%
Michael Benefield run for 7 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
50.6%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (Mason Bowers) to the LIB 48Similar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
50.4%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+4
51.2%
Davis Bryson run for 4 yds to the LIB 42Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+15
51.5%
(00:27) BRYSON, Davis pass short up the middle incomplete intended for DEAN, Navelle broken up by BUSH, TJ at the LIB40, clock 00:26. PENALTY LIB Roughing the Passer on BAZILE, JR., CJ enforced 15 yards from the LIB42 to the LIB27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
55.0%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
56.1%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the LIB 20Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+5
55.5%
Preston Daniels run for 5 yds to the LIB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
58.2%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 17Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+3
59.2%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the LIB 14Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+1
58.9%
Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the LIB 13Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
72.8%
Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:3232% → 22%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
68.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the LIB 25Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+8
67.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
68.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+15
66.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the KENN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
63.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the KENN 30Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+6
63.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 6 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-5
67.2%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (Jordan White) to the KENN 29Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
71.0%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
-5
73.8%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENN 34Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
78.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0683% → 92%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
83.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 15 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
86.4%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+25
87.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 25 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
89.4%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the LIB 26Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
91.9%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the LIB 25Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+1
91.0%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the LIB 24Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
92.4%
Austin Welch 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 2:067% → 34%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 9 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
94.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-15
94.7%
Liberty Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan White) to the LIB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
95.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 12 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
95.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 9 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+11
94.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 11 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
94.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 7 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
64.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 17 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+11
66.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 11 yds to the KENN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4090% → 96%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
89.5%
Tykeem Wallace run for 4 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
91.8%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the LIB 37Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
94.7%
Preston Daniels run for 2 yds to the LIB 35Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
96.1%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the LIB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0612% → 12%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Julian Gray for 3 yds Julian Gray fumbled, recovered by LIB Julian Gray J. Gray return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:49
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 17 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)
-29.6
TD · Q3 8:02
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)
+16.3
FG · Q4 11:43
Austin Welch 31 yd FG GOOD
+13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com