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UTEP

UTEP 10 at Liberty 28

LIB
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:48 · Buzz Flabiano 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+34.7Home team on offense+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:26: Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 60 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:10: (04:10) SALTER, Kaidon pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOBLEY, Tyson thrown to the TEP0, clock 04:04. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on ALLEN, Josiah enforced 15 yards to the TEP28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — LIB win probability +3.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:07: Billy Lucas run for 2 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:36: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 30 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST down — LIB win probability +6.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:51: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 13 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:11LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40UTEP 4th & 8 at LIB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:36LIB 4th & 7 at UTEP 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:48UTEP 4th & 10 at LIB 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:00UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50UTEP 4th & 6 at LIB 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26LIB 4th & 2 at UTEP 44, up 11
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:06LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:19UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, down 4
    Close callPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:14LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:26UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:10UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40UTEP 4th & 3 at LIB 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:52UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:34LIB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:35LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:26UTEP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:07LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:51LIB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4295% → 94%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
94.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 21Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
94.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 2 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+1
94.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the LIB 24Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Max Morgan punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:256% → 7%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
94.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
94.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
93.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+17
93.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the LIB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
93.5%
Skyler Locklear run for 2 yds to the LIB 4Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
93.4%
Skyler Locklear sacked by TJ Bush Jr. and Joseph Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 8Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.2%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
93.2%
Buzz Flabiano 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:5893% → 93%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
93.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 18Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
93.0%
Darius Copeland run for 7 yds to the LIB 25Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
92.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
92.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 36Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
92.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
92.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 28 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
92.3%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+15
92.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 15 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
92.7%
Billy Lucas run for 12 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:538% → 9%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Skyler Locklear for 1 yd to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+10
92.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 10 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
91.9%
(03:27) LOCKLEAR, Skyler pass short up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Jaden thrown to the TEP36; QB hurried by BUSH, TJ, clock 03:23. PENALTY TEP Holding on WRIGHT, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the TEP33 to the TEP23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+7
92.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 7 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+16
91.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 16 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-43
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass intercepted Christian Bodnar return for 43 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3892% → 91%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
92.1%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-5
91.9%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (Jack Tucker) to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
91.8%
Billy Lucas run for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+3
91.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
91.2%
Max Morgan punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:319% → 9%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
91.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 15 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
91.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 3 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
91.0%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-3
91.1%
Skyler Locklear pass intercepted Dexter Ricks Jr. return for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:1292% → 93%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
91.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 23 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8MISSED FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 4:468% → 8%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.1%
Skyler Locklear run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
92.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
92.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
92.1%
(13:03) LOCKLEAR, Skyler pass up the middle intercepted by AUGUSTE, Elijah at the LU47 intended for SMITH, Jaden. Auguste return for 21 yards to the TEP32 (MATAMOROS, Luka), clock 12:54. PENALTY LU Roughing the Passer on BUSH, TJ enforced 15 yards from the TEP38 to the LU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
91.7%
Skyler Locklear run for 10 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
91.5%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 4 yds to the LIB 33Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
91.1%
Skyler Locklear run for no gain to the LIB 33Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+9
91.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 9 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.0%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
91.1%
Skyler Locklear run for no gain to the LIB 24Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
91.4%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
91.8%
Buzz Flabiano 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2494% → 94%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
94.4%
Vaughn Blue run for 4 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-6
94.2%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Kory Chapman for a loss of 6 yards to the LIB 22Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+18
93.8%
Max Morgan punt for 63 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 18 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:078% → 8%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
91.7%
Corey Wren run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
91.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
91.5%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+7
91.9%
Adam Jacklin punt for 37 yds , Brylan Green returns for 7 yds to the LIB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:3194% → 93%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
94.2%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the LIB 33Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+21
93.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 21 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
94.4%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 49 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by LIB Kaidon Salter K. Salter return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+2
94.0%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-4
93.4%
Kaidon Salter sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 45 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by UTEP Xavier Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:159% → 7%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
91.4%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
92.1%
Skyler Locklear run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+21
92.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 21 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 1 yd to the LIB 34Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+3
92.6%
Skyler Locklear run for 3 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
92.8%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:2194% → 94%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
94.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 17 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.5%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
94.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
94.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 4 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
94.1%
Max Morgan punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:017% → 7%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
93.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 8 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
93.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
93.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:328% → 8%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
91.7%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+1
91.7%
Shay Smith run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29 Shay Smith fumbled, recovered by LIB Bryce Dixon B. Dixon return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3393% → 93%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
92.6%
Vaughn Blue run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-6
92.5%
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 29 Vaughn Blue fumbled, recovered by UTEP Nate Dyman N. Dyman return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:099% → 16%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
91.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
91.5%
Skyler Locklear run for 6 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
83.7%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 60 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1885% → 85%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.0%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
84.5%
Billy Lucas run for 16 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
85.8%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the LIB 49Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-2
87.2%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 47Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
86.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
85.2%
Max Morgan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4016% → 14%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
84.5%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-2
84.7%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+11
85.0%
Skyler Locklear run for 11 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
86.2%
Adam Jacklin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5886% → 85%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.5%
Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
86.5%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
85.7%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the LIB 43Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
84.6%
Max Morgan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4016% → 15%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 4 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
83.5%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
84.6%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
85.3%
Adam Jacklin punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:1084% → 93%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 5 yds to the LIB 24Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
83.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+33
82.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 33 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
85.9%
(04:10) SALTER, Kaidon pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOBLEY, Tyson thrown to the TEP0, clock 04:04. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on ALLEN, Josiah enforced 15 yards to the TEP28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
86.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 3 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+19
86.1%
Billy Lucas run for 19 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
85.9%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 6:188% → 9%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
92.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+18
92.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 18 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
91.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
91.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 8 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
91.1%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
91.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
90.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 7 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+11
89.9%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 11 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.2%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
89.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 15 yds to the LIB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
89.0%
Skyler Locklear run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 23Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+9
90.5%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 9 yds to the LIB 14Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+1
90.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the LIB 13Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 13
0
90.8%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:4597% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+30
96.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 30 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.2%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
97.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 3
50
+22
97.6%
Kaidon Salter run for 22 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
97.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 14 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
97.7%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 13 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Emari White for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
97.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
97.7%
Skyler Locklear sacked by Brenton Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-4
98.4%
Skyler Locklear sacked by TJ Bush Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
98.4%
punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26END OF GAME
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.7%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
99.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+28
99.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 28 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
99.7%
Billy Lucas run for 11 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.7%
Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.5%
(01:13) [NHSG] Kneel down by LU at TEP2 (team loss of 1), clock 01:04.Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.5%
(00:30) [NHSG] Kneel down by LU at TEP3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:26
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 60 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q3 2:07
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)
+7.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:36
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 30 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST down
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com