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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 24 at Florida International 35

FIU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.9FIU 83.1%Zeke Rankin 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 28 · Q2 0:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:26 · Zeke Rankin 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime per score still needed
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+12.1Home team on offense+6.6Score differential+3.7Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Time per score still needed+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:04: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 19 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +6.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:14: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:34: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:01: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 50 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +7.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:23: Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:04MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34FIU 4th & 7 at MTSU 44, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    75.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:51MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:00MTSU 4th & 16 at MTSU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:42FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:26MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.4
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:11MTSU 4th & 17 at MTSU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:21FIU 4th & 2 at MTSU 2, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−7.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:58FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:54MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:15FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:17MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:10MTSU 4th & 2 at FIU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:48FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:02FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:40MTSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:04FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:14FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:34MTSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:01FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:23MTSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:0773% → 74%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
73.4%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
73.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+19
73.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 19 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.3%
Amari Jones run for no gain to the FIU 48Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
73.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 18 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
73.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
73.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+23
73.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 23 yds to the MTSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
73.2%
Dean Patterson run for 6 yds to the MTSU 3Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
73.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.9%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the MTSU 1Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4026% → 26%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.8%
Jayce Gardner run for 8 yds to the MTSU 33Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
73.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
73.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
74.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 7:0174% → 78%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
74.1%
Devonte Lyons run for 2 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+8
74.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
74.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 3 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
74.6%
Amari Jones run for 4 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
74.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
74.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
74.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 5 yds to the MTSU 42Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-2
74.8%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 44Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+14
74.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the MTSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
75.3%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 31Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+1
75.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the MTSU 30Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+9
74.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 9 yds to the MTSU 21Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+21
78.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 21 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0423% → 22%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
77.2%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 28Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
77.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+7
77.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 7 yds to the MTSU 35Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
77.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+1
78.2%
Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 1 yd to the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:5779% → 80%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+26
78.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 26 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
79.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 11 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
79.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
79.7%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-5
79.8%
Florida International Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+1
80.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 1 yd to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
79.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 2:0821% → 28%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
78.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 4 yds to the MTSU 18Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+17
78.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 17 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
78.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+56
72.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 56 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:2875% → 82%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
74.5%
Devonte Lyons run for no gain to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+16
74.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 16 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
75.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+15
75.7%
(09:03) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the MTS30, clock 08:59. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on RABY, Tyrell enforced 15 yards to the MTS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
75.9%
(08:51) JNOPIERRE, C'Quan rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the MTS35 (HUGHES, Parker), out of bounds, clock 08:48. PENALTY Before the snap, MTS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MTS41 to the MTS36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+17
76.0%
Devonte Lyons run for 17 yds to the MTSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
82.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 19 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:5820% → 19%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.1%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 20Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
80.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
80.4%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 15Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+4
80.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 19Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
80.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+4
80.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 53 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 4 yds to the FIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:3886% → 94%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
85.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 30 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
93.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:3110% → 20%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
89.8%
Terry Wilkins run for 8 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
89.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
89.9%
(04:43) CREDLE, Jaiden rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the MTS44 (POTTS, Jamal), clock 04:42. PENALTY FIU Personal Foul on WALLS III, Eddie enforced 15 yards from the MTS44 to the FIU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
90.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
79.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4387% → 86%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
86.9%
Devonte Lyons run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
87.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
86.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 2:3618% → 15%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
82.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
82.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 9 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
81.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
81.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+13
83.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 13 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
82.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 12 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
81.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 9 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-2
81.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
85.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
83.1%
Zeke Rankin 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
85.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FIU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3719% → 17%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.1%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MTSU 35Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
81.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-9
81.6%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Jamarrion Solomon for a loss of 9 yards to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
83.1%
Grant Chadwick punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:5484% → 85%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
83.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
84.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 14 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
84.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the MTSU 35Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+17
84.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 17 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
84.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the MTSU 12Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+7
84.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the MTSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
85.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the MTSU 2Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the MTSU 1Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
85.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 2 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Dean Patterson D. Patterson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:1916% → 15%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
83.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 3 yds to the MTSU 5Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
84.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 9Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+12
84.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
83.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 22Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
84.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the MTSU 24Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+14
85.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 14 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 1 yd to the MTSU 39Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
84.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 2 yds to the MTSU 41Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
84.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Travion Barnes return for no gain to the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5287% → 87%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
87.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 8 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-5
87.7%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Naeer Jackson) to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
87.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 5 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-2
87.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 49 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone Jenkins K. Jenkins return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+11
87.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds , Mitchell Howell returns for 11 yds to the MTSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5114% → 13%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
86.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
84.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 34Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-2
85.6%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 32Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
87.1%
Grant Chadwick punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:4888% → 97%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
88.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
87.9%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+9
87.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 9 yds to the FIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
88.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 1 yd to the FIU 32 for a 1ST down Middle Tennessee Penalty, Roughing the Passer on STEWART, James enforced (Kellen Stewart) to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
89.5%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
50
+50
97.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 50 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:194% → 11%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
95.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 29 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
95.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 2 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+16
95.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 16 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
95.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 7 yds to the FIU 8Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
95.2%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamal Potts) to the FIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the FIU 1Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0293% → 94%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.6%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the FIU 33Similar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+14
92.9%
Devonte Lyons run for 14 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
93.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 6 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
94.3%
Devonte Lyons run for 3 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-2
94.2%
Devonte Lyons run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 46Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 3
OPP 46
-5
94.0%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 49Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21MISSED FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 3:207% → 8%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
93.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTSU 33Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
93.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
93.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 3 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+8
93.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
93.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 5 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
92.7%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Holden Willis) to the MTSU 48Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
93.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 8 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+11
93.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 11 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
91.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 7 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
91.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+36
92.1%
Zeke Rankin 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.7%
(00:38) Kneel down by TEAM at FIU25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:31.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at FIU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:34
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q2 6:14
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 38 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q4 11:01
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 50 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com