Try the model
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Fifth Third Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · (00:11) [NHSG] Kneel down by BRYSON, Davis at FIU48 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:54: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 18 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +11.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:18: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 20 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +15.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:00: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 42 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +12.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:59: Davis Bryson run for 19 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +36.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. FG · Q4 1:04: Austin Welch 19 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +34.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:13KENN 4th & 8 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:59FIU 4th & 6 at KENN 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07FIU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:36FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:45KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05KENN 4th & 10 at FIU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:23FIU 4th & 8 at KENN 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:10FIU 4th & 3 at KENN 16, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−8.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:57KENN 4th & 7 at FIU 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−1.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:46FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 19, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:46KENN 4th & 22 at KENN 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−4.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:10FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 20, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:19FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 39, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:25KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 37, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:11FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 25, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:37KENN 4th & 10 at FIU 26, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−9.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:20FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 20, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:04KENN 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−10.1
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    94% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−49.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 10:19KENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:54FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:48KENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:18FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:00FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:59KENN Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENNDrive 1FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:4025% → 27%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
24.9%
Gabriel Benyard run for 44 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
25.5%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 21Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
25.9%
Michael Benefield run for no gain to the FIU 21Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+3
26.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 3 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
26.6%
Austin Welch 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:5773% → 71%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
26.6%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jaiden Grimes and Garland Benyard for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+52
27.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 52 yds to the KENN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
26.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the KENN 12Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
27.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the KENN 10Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
27.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the KENN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
27.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the KENN 6Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
28.8%
Alejandro Prado 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:2629% → 31%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
29.0%
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
29.4%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 26Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
29.5%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the KENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
30.1%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the KENN 35Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+15
30.3%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the KENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-10
30.7%
(05:25) QB Keeper BRYSON, Davis rush to the left for a gain of 22 yards to the FIU43 (MASSES, Hezekiah), clock 05:28. PENALTY KSU Holding on RUCKS, Jamar enforced 10 yards from the KSU35 to the KSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
31.1%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
31.7%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
31.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
30.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:0769% → 67%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
31.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 9 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
31.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
32.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
32.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 5 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+13
32.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 13 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
32.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
32.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+1
32.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 4
50
0
33.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for no gain to the KENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:4134% → 44%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+27
33.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 27 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
34.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 7 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+5
35.5%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
36.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 1 yd to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
36.5%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+24
36.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 24 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
37.8%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the FIU 15Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+10
38.3%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 10 yds to the FIU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.0%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:1457% → 64%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 6 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
43.5%
(09:23) JENKINS, Keyone pass short to the left complete for 15 yards to RIVERS, Eric caught at the FIU34 and advanced to the FIU46 (BILLINGSLEY, Que), clock 09:30. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the FIU31 to the FIU26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
44.9%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
45.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+49
46.7%
Ross Fournet run for 49 yds to the KENN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
35.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 18 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0442% → 55%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
42.4%
Florida International Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Hezekiah Masses) to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
43.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 6 yds to the FIU 12Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
43.9%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
43.6%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the FIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
45.1%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
45.7%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.4%
Preston Daniels run for 3 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:0946% → 62%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
54.0%
Devonte Lyons run for 12 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+39
54.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 39 yds to the KENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
38.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 20 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3345% → 43%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.7%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
44.6%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 32Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
44.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+6
43.3%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 44 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 6 yds to the FIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:3657% → 71%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
43.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
41.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+20
41.9%
Kejon Owens run for 20 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
29.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 42 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:5533% → 30%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
33.3%
Davis Bryson run for 7 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
31.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
31.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for no gain to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
30.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 15 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
33.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
33.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
31.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
29.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
31.4%
[NH] Kneel down by JENKINS, Keyone at FIU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:2869% → 72%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
31.0%
Devonte Lyons run for 13 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
31.1%
Devonte Lyons run for 5 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+11
30.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 11 yds to the KENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+3
30.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
30.2%
(13:26) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the KSU0, clock 13:29. PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BURKE, Travis enforced 5 yards from the KSU20 to the KSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+8
30.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 8 yds to the KENN 14Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-4
31.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 18Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
27.7%
Robert Czeremcha 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5775% → 77%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
25.2%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Naeer Jackson) to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+7
25.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 7 yds to the KENN 26Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+6
25.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 6 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+4
25.9%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the KENN 16Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
22.9%
Robert Czeremcha 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5324% → 24%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+28
24.1%
Qua Ashley run for 28 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
25.1%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
24.1%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+15
23.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 15 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
26.8%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
26.9%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
26.3%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
23.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5777% → 76%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
23.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
23.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
23.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for no gain to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
24.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds , Jacob Norcross returns for no gain to the KENN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:4726% → 22%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
25.8%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
50
0
26.3%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 8
50
-14
24.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Lucas Scheerhorn) to the KENN 36Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 22
OWN 36
+9
21.5%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 53 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 9 yds to the FIU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:2478% → 78%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
22.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 6 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+4
21.4%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
20.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
20.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the FIU 20Similar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
21.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
21.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Gabriel Benyard at the KENN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
23.8%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 1 yd to the KENN 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
23.6%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass intercepted CJ Christian return for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3080% → 80%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
19.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
18.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
19.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
20.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5922% → 19%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
22.3%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 36Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
21.5%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
20.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for no gain to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
18.5%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 42 yds , Dean Patterson returns for no gain to the FIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0280% → 82%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
19.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
19.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+2
20.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+7
17.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 49 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 7 yds to the KENN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:4118% → 16%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
17.7%
Davis Bryson run for 7 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+15
19.1%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JoJo Evans) to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
20.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 19 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.8%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
21.2%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
19.0%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
15.9%
Austin Welch 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2187% → 86%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
13.2%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for no gain to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-6
13.6%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jordan Miles for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
13.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for no gain to the KENN 49Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 16
OWN 20
0
13.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:0116% → 53%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
16.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 8 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+24
16.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 24 yds to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
53.0%
Davis Bryson run for 19 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1166% → 75%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.3%
Devonte Lyons run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
30.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 2 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
27.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
25.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 33 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by KENN Tylon Dunlap , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 27FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:3449% → 81%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
48.8%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
49.4%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 9 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
48.2%
Davis Bryson run for 3 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+10
45.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 10 yds to the FIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
44.3%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
44.4%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
78.9%
Austin Welch 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.0%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the FIU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0834% → 33%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
67.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted JeRico Washington Jr. return for no gain to the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:2682% → 91%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
81.8%
(00:37) [NHSG] Kneel down by BRYSON, Davis at FIU45 (team loss of 2), clock 00:34.Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-3
91.4%
(00:11) [NHSG] Kneel down by BRYSON, Davis at FIU48 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:59
Davis Bryson run for 19 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)
+36.2
FG · Q4 1:04
Austin Welch 19 yd FG GOOD
+34.5
TD · Q2 2:18
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 20 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com