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FIU

Florida International 31 at Jacksonville State 34

JXST
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:40 · Daton Montiel punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+18.2Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:45: Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +11.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:37: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +15.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:22: Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +24.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 39 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +31.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:55: Tre Stewart run for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +28.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:02FIU 4th & 10 at JXST 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:20JXST 4th & 6 at FIU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:40FIU 4th & 9 at JXST 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:32JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:04JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:16FIU 4th & 2 at JXST 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−1.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:21JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:27FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:17JXST 4th & 1 at FIU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−5.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:36JXST 4th & 18 at FIU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−3.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:58FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:21JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.3%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:55JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.7%−5.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:50FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:04JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:56FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:54FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:16JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:44JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:45FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:37FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:22JXST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:25FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:55JXST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:5823% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.9%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
76.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
76.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
76.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
76.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
76.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the JVST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
75.8%
Ross Fournet run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+10
75.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 10 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+2
75.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the JVST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
75.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
75.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for no gain to the JVST 18Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
75.1%
Alejandro Prado 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:4175% → 75%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.0%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
74.8%
Tre Stewart run for 17 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.2%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
75.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 12 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
75.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 8 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+3
75.3%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
75.2%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+14
74.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 14 yds to the FIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
74.7%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
74.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+6
74.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 6 yds to the FIU 13Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
74.5%
Garrison Rippa 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2626% → 34%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.0%
Shaborne Demps run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
73.6%
Devonte Lyons run for 10 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
73.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 7 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
72.3%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the FIU 48Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+8
72.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 8 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
71.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
71.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+14
70.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the JVST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
65.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 11 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3668% → 74%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.7%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
67.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 14 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
68.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for no gain to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
67.4%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+16
67.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 16 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
68.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 9 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+15
68.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 15 yds to the FIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
68.2%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
74.2%
Tyler Huff 10 Yd Run (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2030% → 30%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
69.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 10 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
69.1%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
70.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0172% → 70%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
71.7%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 13Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
71.5%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
70.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+5
70.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 38 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 5 yds to the FIU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
68.1%
Devonte Lyons run for 19 yds to the JVST 32 Devonte Lyons fumbled, recovered by JVST Zechariah Poyser Z. Poyser return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:2472% → 80%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
71.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 35 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
73.6%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
73.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-3
72.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 11
OPP 34
-5
70.3%
(06:20) HUFF, Tyler pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to VAUGHN, Cam caught at the FIU15 and advanced to the FIU15 (BLADES II, Brian), clock 06:05. PENALTY JSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on VAUGHN, Cam enforced 5 yards from the FIU34 to the FIU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 16
OPP 39
+15
69.6%
(05:40) HUFF, Tyler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VAUGHN, Cam thrown to the FIU0, clock 05:37. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on MASSES, Hezekiah enforced 15 yards to the FIU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
73.2%
Tyler Huff run for 15 yds to the FIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
73.2%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.0%
Tre Stewart 3 Yd Run (Garrison Rippa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5922% → 38%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 10 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
77.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 13 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
76.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 16 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
75.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 12 yds to the JVST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
74.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+11
73.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 11 yds to the JVST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
73.4%
(01:53) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left incomplete intended for PATTERSON, Dean thrown to the JSU1, clock 01:47. PENALTY JSU Holding on MACK, Jabari enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the JSU7 to the JSU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 1:4469% → 76%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.2%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
69.6%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
68.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 10 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
70.5%
Tre Stewart run for 11 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
71.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 7 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-10
71.5%
Tyler Huff sacked by Eddie Walls III for a loss of 10 yards to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+14
68.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 14 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
71.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
72.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
71.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 14 yds to the FIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+42
75.9%
Garrison Rippa 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5672% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.8%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
72.8%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
71.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:1229% → 47%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
71.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 3 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
70.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+28
72.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 28 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
68.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 18 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
66.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
66.6%
Shaborne Demps run for no gain to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+6
68.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 6 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+2
69.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the JVST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
66.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
66.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the JVST 10Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+8
67.1%
(09:01) JENKINS, Keyone sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the JSU18 (SWAIN, J-Rock), clock 08:53. PENALTY JSU Holding on MCCRAY, Ky'won enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the JSU10 to the JSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.6%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the JVST 5Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the JVST 5Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1657% → 54%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.5%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.2%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4647% → 46%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
54.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
52.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+21
53.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 47 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 21 yds to the JVST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 3:4557% → 47%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
56.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 8 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
58.6%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
59.8%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
60.1%
Tyler Huff sacked by Giovanni Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
58.0%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
56.4%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
56.6%
Michael Pettway run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
56.3%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-9
55.3%
Tyler Huff sacked by Eddie Walls III for a loss of 9 yards to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 18
OPP 47
0
49.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 11Similar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
47.3%
Florida International Penalty, Illegal Snap on BOCK II, John enforced (John Bock II) to the FIU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3152% → 53%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 15
OWN 6
-4
48.4%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-4 Yards) to the FIU 10Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
47.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+15
48.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 15 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
45.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
46.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:3153% → 77%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
52.5%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
77.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5728% → 63%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
71.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+19
68.6%
Devonte Lyons run for 19 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
37.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 39 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:2347% → 77%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
47.3%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
47.7%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+6
45.2%
Tyler Huff run for 6 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
45.4%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
47.2%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
50.4%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
48.3%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+56
77.0%
Tre Stewart run for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0528% → 29%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
71.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 11 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
69.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
66.9%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the FIU 47Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-3
67.0%
Eric Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
71.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 45 yds, downed at the JVST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:3477% → 83%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
76.6%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+11
77.4%
Tyler Huff run for 11 yds to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
77.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JVST 30Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
80.4%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
80.9%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 34Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
83.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0226% → 21%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
74.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 19Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
76.2%
Devonte Lyons run for 4 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
78.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
79.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:2191% → 96%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
91.4%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
91.4%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the FIU 19Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+16
90.7%
Tyler Huff run for 16 yds to the FIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
94.5%
(00:59) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at FIU4 (team loss of 1), clock 00:48.Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
95.6%
(00:26) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at FIU5 (team loss of 1), clock 00:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:25
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 39 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
-31.5
TD · Q4 9:55
Tre Stewart run for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+28.7
TD · Q4 14:22
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+24.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com