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NMSU

New Mexico State 13 at Florida International 34

FIU
2024 · Week 10 · Oct 29, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:50 · George Eberle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+11.4Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:00: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 52 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +6.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:49: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 51 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +10.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:32: Alejandro Prado 38 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +4.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:14: Mike Washington run for 27 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK) — NMSU win probability +19.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:45: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 2 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +8.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NMSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15NMSU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18FIU 4th & 6 at NMSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34NMSU 4th & 10 at NMSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:32FIU 4th & 1 at NMSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30NMSU 4th & 3 at FIU 40, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:55NMSU 4th & 11 at NMSU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:59NMSU 4th & 2 at FIU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:55FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:10NMSU 4th & 5 at FIU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.5
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:16FIU 4th & 6 at NMSU 6, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:50NMSU 4th & 11 at NMSU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:32FIU 4th & 7 at NMSU 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:36NMSU 4th & 6 at NMSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:17FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:11FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.2%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:26NMSU 4th & 5 at NMSU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NMSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:00FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:49FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:14NMSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:45FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:49FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:3823% → 24%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
77.5%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
77.4%
Brandon Nunez run for 9 yds to the NMSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
77.2%
Larenzo McMillan run for 8 yds to the NMSU 46Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
76.9%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
50
+1
76.6%
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
76.5%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to Mike Washington for no gain to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+6
76.3%
Brandon Nunez run for 6 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+1
76.2%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the FIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5077% → 76%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
76.7%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
76.7%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
76.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 9 yds to the NMSU 38Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-3
76.5%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 41Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-2
76.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 43Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
75.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3725% → 25%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
75.4%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the NMSU 27Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
75.0%
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
74.8%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
74.9%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
75.2%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
75.1%
George Eberle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5575% → 75%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
75.0%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
74.9%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
74.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+13
74.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 13 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
75.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
74.8%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
74.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the NMSU 49Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
74.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:5427% → 30%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
73.5%
Mike Washington run for 10 yds to the NMSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
73.1%
Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+18
72.5%
Donovan Faupel run for 18 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.5%
Brandon Nunez run for no gain to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
71.4%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
71.1%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 3 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+57
69.6%
Abraham Montano 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:2369% → 75%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
69.2%
New Mexico State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaden Robinson) to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
75.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 52 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5526% → 23%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
73.9%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 32Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+10
73.7%
Mike Washington run for 10 yds to the NMSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
72.8%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
73.9%
Larenzo McMillan run for no gain to the NMSU 45Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-4
74.2%
Brandon Nunez sacked by Eddie Walls III for a loss of 4 yards to the NMSU 41Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+10
76.7%
George Eberle punt for 51 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 10 yds to the FIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1376% → 74%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
75.8%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for 6 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
75.7%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
74.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
74.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds , Jordan Smith returns for no gain to the NMSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9DOWNS
16 plays · 56 yds · 6:2724% → 25%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
75.7%
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 42Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
75.4%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 47Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
75.6%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
74.9%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-10
74.8%
(05:38) QB Keeper NUNEZ, Brandon rush to the right for a gain of 16 yards to the FIU32 (MASSES, Hezekiah), clock 05:33. PENALTY NMS Holding on YARRO, Canaan enforced 10 yards from the FIU48 to the NMS42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+7
76.3%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to Kordell David for 7 yds to the NMSU 49Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+9
75.8%
(04:33) NUNEZ, Brandon pass to the left incomplete intended for PRIDE, TJ thrown to the FIU45, clock 04:30. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on BLADES II, Brian enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the FIU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
74.4%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
74.5%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+15
74.5%
Florida International Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (JoJo Evans) to the FIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
73.0%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
73.0%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
74.0%
Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the FIU 6Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 2
OPP 6
0
75.5%
Brandon Nunez run for no gain to the FIU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5974% → 63%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
74.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 1 yd to the FIU 7Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 7
-1
73.8%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 6Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+8
73.5%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 14Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
63.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 28 yds, downed at the FIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3533% → 33%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
66.8%
Brandon Nunez run for 5 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
66.1%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
66.9%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+54
66.6%
Abraham Montano 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
59.9%
(00:04) Kneel down by TEAM at FIU34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:4272% → 76%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
72.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 45 yds to the NMSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
75.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the NMSU 28Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
74.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+13
73.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 13 yds to the NMSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
74.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 8 yds to the NMSU 7Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
74.5%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the NMSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
74.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.4%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the NMSU 1Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the NMSU 1Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
71.8%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Antonio Patterson) to the NMSU 6Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
75.9%
Alejandro Prado 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2027% → 25%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
73.0%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-3
72.9%
PJ Johnson III run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 23Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
74.3%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
75.0%
George Eberle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:5575% → 87%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
75.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
76.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 9 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
87.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 51 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3518% → 18%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
82.2%
Brandon Nunez run for 1 yd to the NMSU 30Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-42
82.4%
Brandon Nunez pass intercepted Hezekiah Masses return for 42 yds to the NMSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2187% → 91%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
86.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-4
87.2%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMSU 27Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+7
86.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the NMSU 20Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
91.3%
Alejandro Prado 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:5112% → 10%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.3%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
88.3%
Mike Washington run for 7 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
88.5%
Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the NMSU 39Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
89.0%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 44Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-3
89.1%
Brandon Nunez sacked by Keegan Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
89.7%
George Eberle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1395% → 97%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
95.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 13Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-5
95.5%
(01:53) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the right complete for 14 yards to PATTERSON, Dean caught at the FIU27 and advanced to the FIU27, out of bounds, clock 01:50. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the FIU13 to the FIU8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+6
96.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the FIU 14Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+1
95.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 15Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
96.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jordan Smith at the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:559% → 29%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
91.0%
Mike Washington run for 16 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.2%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to Seth McGowan for no gain to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
70.6%
Mike Washington run for 27 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:2886% → 99%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.0%
Ross Fournet run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
85.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
85.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
84.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
86.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 7 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
87.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
88.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 18 yds to the NMSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
90.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 11 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
90.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 19 yds to the NMSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
90.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the NMSU 2Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 2 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:086% → 5%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
94.2%
Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the NMSU 46Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
94.7%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to TJ Pride for 2 yds to the NMSU 48Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
94.8%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
95.2%
George Eberle punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:3299% → 100%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.8%
Shaborne Demps run for no gain to the FIU 16Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+21
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 21 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+62
99.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 62 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 24INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.5%
Santino Marucci run for 8 yds to the NMSU 36Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+11
99.5%
Santino Marucci pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 11 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.5%
Santino Marucci run for 5 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+7
99.6%
Santino Marucci run for 7 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.1%
Santino Marucci pass complete to Jordan Smith for 7 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-5
98.8%
Santino Marucci pass intercepted JoJo Evans return for 5 yds to the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FIU 13Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+9
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.7%
(01:08) Kneel down by TEAM at FIU21 (team loss of 1), clock 01:03.Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
99.8%
(00:26) Kneel down by TEAM at FIU21 (team loss of 0), clock 00:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:14
Mike Washington run for 27 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)
-19.6
TD · Q3 7:49
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 51 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q4 7:45
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 2 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com