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SHSU

Sam Houston 10 at Florida International 7

FIU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 22, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:14 · Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds, downed at the SHSU 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior−8.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:38: DJ McKinney run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +15.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:55: Chayden Peery pass complete to Eric Rivers for 28 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +28.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:49: Jase Bauer pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for no gain to the SHSU 29 — SHSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:57: Christian Pavon 20 yd FG GOOD — SHSU win probability +31.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:49: Chayden Peery pass incomplete — FIU win probability +8.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SHSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:49SHSU 4th & 1 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04SHSU 4th & 20 at FIU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01FIU 4th & 2 at SHSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:43SHSU 4th & 9 at FIU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:25FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:24SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:14FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:19SHSU 4th & 7 at SHSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:48FIU 4th & 4 at SHSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:55SHSU 4th & 1 at FIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−1.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:43SHSU 4th & 1 at FIU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:14SHSU 4th & 2 at SHSU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:23FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−4.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:54SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:22FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−4.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:49FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.4%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:05FIU 4th & 1 at SHSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−4.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−6.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:53SHSU 4th & 5 at SHSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:09FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.2 ptsPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−6.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:57SHSU 4th & 4 at FIU 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%−3.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−36.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:08FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 29, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SHSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 6:38SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:55FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3438% → 39%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
38.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Kavian Gaither return for 4 yds to the FIU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 3 yds · 3:1662% → 60%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
38.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Simeon Evans for 8 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+1
38.5%
Simeon Evans run for 1 yd to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
38.7%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+4
38.9%
Qua'Vez Humphreys run for 4 yds to the FIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.9%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-10
38.9%
(12:06) QB Keeper BAUER, Jase rush to the left for no gain to the FIU14 (BARNES, Travion), clock 12:00. PENALTY SHU Holding on SOHN, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the FIU14 to the FIU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 20
OPP 24
0
39.1%
DJ McKinney run for no gain to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 20
OPP 24
0
39.5%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+41
39.8%
Christian Pavon 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:5940% → 41%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 11 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
40.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
40.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
41.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 49 Florida International Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 17
OWN 39
0
41.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
41.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+15
40.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 15 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-6
41.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Chris Murray for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:1460% → 59%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
40.5%
DJ McKinney run for 8 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
39.6%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 1 yd to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
39.8%
DJ McKinney run for 6 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
39.6%
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
39.7%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
40.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jay Ducker for no gain to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
41.3%
Christian Pavon 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1443% → 43%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
42.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 11 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
43.6%
(03:16) JENKINS, Keyone scrambles up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the SHU43, End of Play, clock 03:07. PENALTY FIU Holding on SHELLENBACK, Ben enforced 10 yards from the FIU43 to the FIU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+16
42.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 16 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
44.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
43.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
43.7%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
43.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5358% → 57%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
41.9%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
42.1%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+5
42.1%
Florida International Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.9%
Simeon Evans run for no gain to the SHSU 28Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
42.3%
Jase Bauer pass complete to John Gentry for 2 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
42.9%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+10
43.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 10 yds to the FIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0044% → 44%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.4%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
44.5%
Kejon Owens run for 14 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
46.4%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 48Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
45.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
45.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
44.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds, downed at the SHSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4357% → 55%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
43.4%
DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the SHSU 5Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
43.7%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
44.4%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+3
45.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 42 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 3 yds to the SHSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2148% → 47%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
47.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
47.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
48.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
46.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10DOWNS
22 plays · 61 yds · 8:0158% → 51%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.3%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
42.5%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 10 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
41.6%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Simeon Evans for 6 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
40.9%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
40.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to DJ McKinney for 5 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
40.3%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
39.3%
DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
40.6%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+9
42.0%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
39.4%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+11
39.8%
Jase Bauer run for 11 yds to the FIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
39.8%
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the FIU 6Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
39.8%
DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.4%
(02:58) BAUER, Jase pass short to the left incomplete intended for EVANS, Simeon thrown to the FIU0, clock 02:56. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on MASSES, Hezekiah enforced at the spot of the foul for 1 yards to the FIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.5%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the FIU 2Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
39.7%
Michael Phoenix II run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 6Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
42.5%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.5%
Jase Bauer run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
49.3%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FIU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:2849% → 51%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+9
49.3%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Eric Rivers for 9 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
48.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
49.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
49.6%
Chayden Peery run for 6 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
50.9%
(00:11) Kneel down by TEAM at FIU32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:05.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4055% → 52%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
45.1%
Jase Bauer run for no gain to the SHSU 19Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
45.5%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
46.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Simeon Evans for 3 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
47.6%
Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4549% → 46%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
49.3%
Chayden Peery run for 4 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-3
49.5%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-8
47.1%
Chayden Peery sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 22Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 17
OWN 22
0
46.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ife Adeyi at the SHSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2155% → 52%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
44.8%
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 4 yards to the SHSU 30 Jase Bauer fumbled, recovered by SHSU Jase Bauer J. Bauer return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+6
46.6%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Simeon Evans for 6 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
46.2%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 8
OWN 36
-15
48.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 36 yds , Dean Patterson returns for a loss of 15 yards to the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:2253% → 48%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
52.5%
Chayden Peery run for 1 yd to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
52.4%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 2 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-10
51.3%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Travis Burke) to the FIU 39Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 14
OWN 39
-2
49.1%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Dean Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+9
47.9%
Punt by MONTIEL, Daton at the FIU37 is blocked by JIMMERSON, Jaylon, recovered by SHU JIMMERSON, Jaylon at the FIU13, returned 10 yards to the FIU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3160% → 75%
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
39.9%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the FIU 1Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.6%
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:4232% → 59%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
31.6%
Chayden Peery run for 5 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
34.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
33.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
31.8%
Chayden Peery run for 1 yd to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
33.3%
Chayden Peery pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
32.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
31.3%
Chayden Peery run for 7 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+5
32.5%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offsides (Denver Warren) to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
36.4%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
34.6%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
30.5%
Chayden Peery run for 4 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
59.0%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Eric Rivers for 28 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5653% → 52%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
47.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for no gain to the SHSU 29Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
48.2%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Simeon Evans for 12 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
44.4%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the SHSU 42Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
45.0%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+1
44.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to DJ McKinney for 1 yd to the SHSU 46Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
48.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3751% → 51%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
50.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 9 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
53.0%
Chayden Peery pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
49.5%
Chayden Peery run for 2 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
51.5%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
50.8%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Dean Patterson for 5 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
50.4%
Chayden Peery pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
51.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ife Adeyi at the SHSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:0453% → 87%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
47.5%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 21Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
47.8%
Jase Bauer run for 7 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
45.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 9 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
42.5%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.9%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+13
41.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 13 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
39.8%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+25
40.1%
Jase Bauer run for 25 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
40.1%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
39.9%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
43.1%
DJ McKinney run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 4Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+20
12.7%
Christian Pavon 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:4122% → 15%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.6%
Chayden Peery pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
21.2%
(01:46) PEERY, Chayden pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the FIU40; QB hurried by MASON, Seth, clock 01:42. PENALTY FIU Holding on JACKSON, Naeer enforced 10 yards from the FIU37 to the FIU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
18.9%
Chayden Peery pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+11
17.9%
Chayden Peery pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 11 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 9
OWN 38
-9
17.0%
(01:22) PEERY, Chayden pass to the left complete for 9 yards to PATTERSON, Dean caught at the FIU47 and advanced to the FIU47 (CASH, Isaiah), clock 01:14. PENALTY FIU Holding on JOSEPH, Lexington enforced 9 yards from the FIU38 to the FIU29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
14.7%
Chayden Peery pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3194% → 96%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
6.2%
(01:03) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at FIU30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:57.Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-2
4.3%
(00:32) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at FIU32 (team loss of 2), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:57
Christian Pavon 20 yd FG GOOD
-31.3
TD · Q4 14:55
Chayden Peery pass complete to Eric Rivers for 28 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
+28.5
TD · Q3 6:38
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com