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FIU

Florida International 21 at UTEP 30

UTEP
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 16, 2024 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:21 · Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTimeout advantage
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior−14.2Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score differential+0.3Timeout advantage+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:29: Skyler Locklear run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:17: Amari Jones pass complete to Eric Rivers for 33 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +10.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 22 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +18.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:38: Kejon Owens run for 8 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +32.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:29: Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +30.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:14UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:31UTEP 4th & 7 at FIU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:30FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:32UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:02FIU 4th & 7 at UTEP 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:21FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:08UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:17FIU 4th & 3 at UTEP 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    53.6%−1.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:12UTEP 4th & 7 at FIU 39, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:44FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.0%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:00UTEP 4th & 4 at FIU 26, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:22FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:37UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.6%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:54UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:10FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:45UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−1.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:30UTEP 4th & 6 at FIU 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:49FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:29UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:17FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:25UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:38FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:29UTEP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4130% → 31%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
29.9%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-2
30.1%
Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
30.4%
Kam Thomas run for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
30.6%
Team punt blocked by Josiah Taylor blocked , returns for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:1870% → 70%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
30.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+8
30.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 8 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
30.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 16 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1830% → 32%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
30.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 62 yds to the FIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
30.7%
Kam Thomas run for 7 yds to the FIU 6Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-4
30.8%
Kam Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
30.8%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
31.5%
Buzz Flabiano 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5569% → 68%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
31.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-3
31.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+4
32.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+2
32.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 51 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4931% → 30%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
30.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
31.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Ezell Jolly for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-2
30.6%
Skyler Locklear sacked by Keegan Davis and Elijah Anderson-Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
30.4%
Adam Jacklin punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:2469% → 68%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
31.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
31.7%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+22
32.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 22 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
31.5%
Shaborne Demps run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
31.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
31.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
32.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 yds, downed at the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:5131% → 32%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
31.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+5
30.8%
Ezell Jolly run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
31.4%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 11 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
31.6%
Ezell Jolly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 Ezell Jolly fumbled, recovered by FIU CJ Christian C. Christian return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:0868% → 68%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
31.7%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
31.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
31.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shaborne Demps for 14 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
31.3%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-5
31.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Lantz Russell for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-84
32.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Dorian Hopkins return for 84 yds to the FIU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0235% → 41%
Q1 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
35.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
35.2%
(14:59) QB Keeper LOCKLEAR, Skyler rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU12 (EVANS, JoJo), clock 14:55. PENALTY FIU Face mask on EVANS, JoJo enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the FIU7 to the FIU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.1%
Skyler Locklear run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:0861% → 56%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.9%
Florida International Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
39.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
39.5%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for 7 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
39.9%
Amari Jones pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
38.7%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 44Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+8
39.9%
Amari Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-7
41.2%
Amari Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 45 Amari Jones fumbled, recovered by FIU Amari Jones A. Jones return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+4
44.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0443% → 42%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
42.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
43.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 1 yd to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
42.7%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
42.0%
Adam Jacklin punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:4655% → 66%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
44.8%
Kejon Owens run for 12 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
43.8%
Nazeviah Burris run for 15 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
43.9%
Amari Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
44.1%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
44.6%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
34.5%
Amari Jones pass complete to Eric Rivers for 33 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 3:5839% → 40%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
38.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 3 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
39.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+6
39.0%
Skyler Locklear run for 6 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
39.9%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 6 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
42.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
41.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 9 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
42.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 4 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
42.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
41.8%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
40.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+8
38.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
39.7%
Adam Jacklin punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:2058% → 53%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
41.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
45.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 10
-6
46.6%
Giovanni Davis run for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 4Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
47.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1133% → 54%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
32.8%
Trey Goodman run for 9 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+10
35.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 10 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
35.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
53.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 22 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.1%
(00:24) [SG] Kneel down by JONES, Amari at FIU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:3952% → 52%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.6%
Amari Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.8%
Amari Jones run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
49.2%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Travis Burke) to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+18
50.0%
Amari Jones run for 18 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
46.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
46.0%
Dean Patterson run for 3 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
46.5%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
48.4%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1554% → 60%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
54.1%
Skyler Locklear run for 1 yd to the FIU 47 for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul (Travion Barnes) to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.4%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
55.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
54.4%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
59.6%
Buzz Flabiano 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3744% → 41%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
55.8%
Amari Jones pass complete to Eric Rivers for 30 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
51.8%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-10
52.3%
(09:01) QB Keeper JONES, Amari rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the UTEP38 (DYMAN, Nate), out of bounds, clock 08:53. PENALTY FIU Holding on BURKE, Travis enforced 10 yards from the UTEP44 to the FIU46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 19
OWN 46
-5
56.5%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Antonio Ferguson) to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 24
OWN 41
+3
56.8%
Amari Jones run for 3 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 21
OWN 44
+4
57.8%
Amari Jones pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 4 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
59.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:2461% → 62%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
60.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+5
60.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
60.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
60.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
62.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
63.3%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+2
62.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 2 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
61.7%
Adam Jacklin punt for 17 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4746% → 47%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.4%
Amari Jones pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for no gain to the FIU 49Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-3
56.1%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+10
60.2%
Amari Jones pass complete to Kejon Owens for 10 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+15
57.3%
(01:41) JONES, Amari pass up the middle incomplete intended for PATTERSON, Dean broken up by JOHNSON, KD at the UTEP45; QB hurried by JOHNSON, KD, clock 01:37. PENALTY UTEP Personal Foul on WESTMORELAND, Maurice enforced 15 yards from the UTEP44 to the UTEP29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
52.1%
Amari Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
53.5%
Amari Jones pass intercepted Lantz Russell return for no gain to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-32
67.4%
Skyler Locklear pass intercepted Bobby Salla Jr. return for 32 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q3 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
34.6%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:0237% → 73%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
36.8%
Ezell Jolly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
39.6%
Ezell Jolly run for 5 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
38.5%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
40.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+16
38.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 16 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
41.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 20 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
42.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 12 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
42.6%
Skyler Locklear run for 7 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the FIU 1Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1935% → 29%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
66.1%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
69.4%
Amari Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
70.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:1773% → 78%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
73.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
73.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
73.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
77.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
78.4%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-3
78.3%
Skyler Locklear run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
77.9%
Adam Jacklin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3629% → 25%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
70.7%
Amari Jones sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 14Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+16
72.0%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 16 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
71.4%
Shaborne Demps run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+3
74.7%
Haden Carlson pass intercepted Amier Boyd-Matthews return for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 28FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2583% → 98%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
82.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+9
85.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
86.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
91.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
94.4%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
97.6%
Buzz Flabiano 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:516% → 7%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
93.7%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Lexington Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
93.8%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+16
93.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Eric Rivers for 16 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
93.1%
Haden Carlson pass intercepted Dillion Williams return for no gain to the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+42
98.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 42 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-2
98.9%
(00:06) [SG] Kneel down by LOCKLEAR, Skyler at FIU43 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:38
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q4 11:29
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+30
TD · Q2 0:25
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 22 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com