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FIU

Florida International 24 at Liberty 31

LIB
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 8, 2024 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.7LIB 82.3%Alejandro Prado 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:16 · Alejandro Prado 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 26Pregame prior+31.1Home team on offense−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Kaidon Salter run for 20 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +7.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:43: Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK) — LIB win probability +9.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:23: Kejon Owens run for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +11.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:42: Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +42.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Kaidon Salter 9 Yd Run (Colin Karhu Kick) — LIB win probability +19.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:02LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34LIB 4th & 5 at FIU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:16FIU 4th & 9 at LIB 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:02LIB 4th & 27 at LIB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:31LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:54FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:27FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:20LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:59FIU 4th & 4 at LIB 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−10.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:29FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:32LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:49FIU 4th & 6 at LIB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:27LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 49, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:50FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:15LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:43LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:23FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:42FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−4.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5086% → 86%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Max Morgan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3014% → 14%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 27Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
85.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
85.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:4286% → 85%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
85.6%
Kaidon Salter run for 16 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
85.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 41Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+44
85.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 44 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
85.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the FIU 12Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
85.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-1
85.0%
Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
84.8%
Colin Karhu 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:0815% → 18%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
84.7%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
84.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 24 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
83.8%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the LIB 25Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+12
83.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 12 yds to the LIB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
83.2%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 15Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
83.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+3
83.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 3 yds to the LIB 12Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+31
82.3%
Alejandro Prado 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 2:1283% → 82%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the LIB 25Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Billy Lucas for 5 yds to the LIB 30Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
82.4%
(03:11) SALTER, Kaidon pass up the middle complete for 22 yards to SMITH, Reese caught at the LU37 and advanced to the FIU48 (POTTS, Jamal), clock 03:03. PENALTY LU Pass Interference on HANSHAW, Bentley enforced 15 yards to the LU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-7
82.1%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Travion Barnes for a loss of 7 yards to the LIB 8Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 27
OWN 8
-2
81.5%
Max Morgan punt for 46 yds , Dean Patterson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:0119% → 25%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
80.7%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 4
50
-2
80.3%
C'Quan Jnopierre run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 48Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+10
80.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 10 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
79.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 25 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
74.9%
Dean Patterson 0 Yd Run (Alejandro Prado Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:2677% → 81%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
77.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+14
76.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 14 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
77.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+6
76.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
76.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-10
76.4%
(11:39) SALTER, Kaidon scrambles to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the FIU24 (GUSTAFSON, Cole), out of bounds, clock 11:29. PENALTY LU Holding on HALL, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the FIU27 to the FIU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+2
74.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+13
74.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
75.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
74.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
74.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the FIU 4Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3424% → 20%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
76.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 4 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-4
75.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 21Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
76.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 yds , Reese Smith returns for 2 yds to the LIB 23 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LIB 39Similar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
79.8%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (Harrison Hayes) to the LIB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5779% → 77%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+5
78.9%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-10
79.4%
(05:53) SALTER, Kaidon pass to the left complete for 8 yards to MOBLEY, Tyson caught at the LU50 and advanced to the LU47 (BLADES II, Brian), clock 05:48. PENALTY LU Holding on HAYES, Harrison enforced 10 yards from the LU39 to the LU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+10
78.4%
Billy Lucas run for 10 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-3
78.3%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Travion Barnes for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 36Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
77.1%
Max Morgan punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2726% → 25%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
74.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
73.6%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
74.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
75.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 2:2577% → 87%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
76.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 9 yds to the LIB 36Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
78.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
78.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
78.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
78.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
78.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
79.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
79.2%
(00:50) SALTER, Kaidon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MOBLEY, Tyson thrown to the FIU0, clock 00:46. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on BLADES II, Brian enforced 15 yards to the FIU17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
79.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 17 yds Liberty Penalty, Personal Foul (Quinton Cooley) to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 16
OPP 23
+3
79.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+20
86.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 20 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.6%
(00:20) [NHSG] Kneel down by JENKINS, Keyone at FIU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4417% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
82.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Amarian Williams return for 1 yd to the FIU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:2385% → 85%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
84.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
84.8%
Vaughn Blue run for 7 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
84.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
84.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the FIU 22Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+21
84.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 21 yds to the FIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.1%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the FIU 1 Quinton Cooley fumbled, recovered by FIU Travion Barnes T. Barnes return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:0918% → 18%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
82.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+10
82.6%
(11:03) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the FIU15, clock 10:58. PENALTY LU Holding on JARVIS, Mike enforced 10 yards from the FIU3 to the FIU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
82.1%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 17Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
82.1%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+2
82.4%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
81.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 17 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
80.1%
(08:18) OWENS, Kejon rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the FIU45 (NAIRNE, Eliyt), out of bounds, clock 08:13. PENALTY FIU Holding on SHELLENBACK, Ben enforced 10 yards from the FIU40 to the FIU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+5
81.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+7
81.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 7 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
80.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
81.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5984% → 83%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 5 yds to the LIB 30Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
84.0%
Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
84.4%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
84.8%
Vaughn Blue run for 1 yd to the LIB 40Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
83.8%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
83.2%
Max Morgan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1420% → 19%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
80.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 8 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+18
78.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
50
+10
76.8%
(02:03) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the LU35, clock 01:59. PENALTY LU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Amarian enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the LU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
76.5%
Shaborne Demps run for 16 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
75.7%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 28Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+1
77.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 1 yd to the LIB 27Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+9
79.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 9 yds to the LIB 18Similar
Q4 14:59
4TH & 4
OPP 18
0
80.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:1187% → 98%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
86.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 13 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
86.8%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+25
86.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 25 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
88.7%
Billy Lucas run for 9 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
89.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
89.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 13 yds to the FIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
89.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:125% → 15%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
95.0%
(10:35) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left incomplete intended for PATTERSON, Dean thrown to the FIU49, clock 10:29. PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JACKSON, Naeer enforced 5 yards from the FIU34 to the FIU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+8
95.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 8 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
95.0%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
95.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 7 yds to the LIB 48Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
96.9%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+40
96.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 40 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.8%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5095% → 94%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
94.3%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 22 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by LIB Billy Lucas B. Lucas return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
94.0%
Max Morgan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:4312% → 56%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.3%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+23
89.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 23 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
86.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
87.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
87.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the LIB 34Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+17
90.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 17 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
85.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 13 yds to the LIB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
86.2%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the LIB 1Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0556% → 57%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
56.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 14 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
59.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 7 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
61.3%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the LIB 47Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
59.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 49Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
57.2%
Max Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
55.9%
(00:18) [NHSG] Kneel down by JENKINS, Keyone at FIU12 (team loss of 2), clock 00:14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
65.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the FIU 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+6
65.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the FIU 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
63.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the FIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.3%
Kaidon Salter 9 Yd Run (Colin Karhu Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 9%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
87.3%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the LIB 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+1
86.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the LIB 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-3
90.7%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 21 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by LIB Jerome Jolly Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:42
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
-42.2
TD · OT 0:00
Kaidon Salter 9 Yd Run (Colin Karhu Kick)
+19.1
TD · Q4 6:23
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com