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Louisiana Tech 10 at Florida International 17

FIU
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:50 · Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dedrick Latulas at the LT 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTimeout advantageScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+23.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.1Garbage-time factor+15.0Score differential+3.9Timeout advantage−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:38: Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK) — FIU win probability +11.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:04: Jimmy Holiday run for 5 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK) — LT win probability +14.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:03: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 22 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +11.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:08: Alejandro Prado 25 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +17.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:13: Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 36 — FIU win probability +11.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:04FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33LT 4th & 4 at FIU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:11LT 4th & 12 at FIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:38FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:47LT 4th & 1 at FIU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−2.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−9.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:58LT 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−10.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:34FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:46LT 4th & 4 at LT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:56FIU 4th & 3 at LT 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−3.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:43LT 4th & 6 at FIU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−11.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:10FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:28LT 4th & 16 at LT 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−4.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:08FIU 4th & 7 at LT 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−16.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:30LT 4th & 7 at FIU 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:50FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:16LT 4th & 4 at FIU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−4.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−5.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:26FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:38FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:04LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5548% → 49%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
48.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
48.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
48.6%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
48.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+8
48.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 46 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 8 yds to the LT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1951% → 51%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
48.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
48.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
48.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+12
48.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 12 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
48.7%
Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 8
50
+4
48.7%
Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
48.8%
Donerio Davenport run for no gain to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
49.2%
Patrick Rea punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 7:0049% → 57%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
49.4%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 16Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
49.4%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offsides (David Blay) to the FIU 21Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
49.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 3 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-5
49.3%
(08:09) OWENS, Kejon rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the FIU31 (RICHARD, Michael;FIELDS, Jacob), out of bounds, clock 08:04. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the FIU24 to the FIU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+13
49.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 13 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
49.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
49.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+12
50.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
50
-10
51.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the FIU 40 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+15
50.1%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
51.4%
Kejon Owens run for 9 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
51.7%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the LT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
51.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 13 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
52.1%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the LT 10Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
56.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 10 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1445% → 43%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Dakota Williams for 7 yds to the LT 32Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
54.0%
Omiri Wiggins run for 2 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
54.7%
Omiri Wiggins run for 7 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.6%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
54.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 18 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
53.9%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-5
54.0%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
55.3%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
56.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:2557% → 57%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
56.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 14Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
56.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+5
56.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.6%
(12:15) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep up the middle intercepted by THOMPSON, Blake at the FIU44 intended for RIVERS, Eric. Thompson return for 44 yards to the FIU0, TOUCHDOWN LTU, score nullified by penalty, clock 12:04 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY LTU Roughing the Passer on DURHAM-CAMPBELL, Ezekiel enforced 15 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
59.0%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-3
58.4%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
57.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+14
57.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 14 yds to the LT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6DOWNS
18 plays · 55 yds · 8:2943% → 38%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
57.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
57.5%
Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 4
50
+5
57.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 5 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
56.8%
Fred Robertson run for no gain to the FIU 45Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
57.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 4 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+13
57.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 13 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
57.3%
Evan Bullock run for 1 yd to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-1
58.0%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Hunter Tipton for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+12
59.7%
Donerio Davenport run for 12 yds to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
58.2%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
58.2%
Evan Bullock run for 8 yds to the FIU 8Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
60.1%
Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the FIU 7Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+6
61.6%
Donerio Davenport run for 6 yds to the FIU 1 Donerio Davenport fumbled, recovered by LT return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.6%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Evan Bullock run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.0%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.9%
Omiri Wiggins run for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 37 yds · 1:1870% → 70%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
70.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
69.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+16
69.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 16 yds to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
70.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 17 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
71.7%
(00:51) JENKINS, Keyone pass short up the middle incomplete intended for BURRIS, Nazeviah thrown to the FIU41, clock 00:50. PENALTY LTU Pass Interference on FIELDS, Kolbe enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the FIU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
72.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 2 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
72.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
71.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-5
70.5%
Florida International Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+9
70.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 9 yds to the LT 47 Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
72.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0435% → 32%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
65.2%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 5 yds to the LT 20Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
65.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 1 yd to the LT 21Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
66.7%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
67.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:0369% → 82%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
68.8%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jessie Evans for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+15
67.6%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Zimos) to the LT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
69.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 25 yds to the LT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
70.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the LT 13Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
71.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the LT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:2122% → 39%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
77.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 4 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
77.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Dedrick Latulas for 4 yds to the LT 45Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
77.7%
Fred Robertson run for 3 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
77.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 13 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
76.9%
Fred Robertson run for 3 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+29
76.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 29 yds to the FIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
76.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 2 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.4%
Jimmy Holiday run for 5 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0773% → 74%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
72.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 22 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
75.9%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
74.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+4
73.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 4 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+5
73.3%
(05:03) MONTIEL, Daton punt 35 yards to the LTU16, fair catch by LATULAS, Dedrick, clock 04:58. PENALTY LTU Offsides on THOMPSON, Blake enforced 5 yards from the FIU49 to the LTU46 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
73.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1135% → 41%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
65.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 9 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
63.8%
Fred Robertson run for 1 yd to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
64.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 23 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.3%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
63.1%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+4
65.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 4 yds to the FIU 17Similar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
59.5%
Buck Buchanan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2566% → 66%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.2%
Kejon Owens run for 10 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
65.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 6 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
68.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+4
65.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 4 yds to the LT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4037% → 40%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
62.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 19 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
59.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 16 yds Marlion Jackson fumbled, recovered by FIU JoJo Evans J. Evans return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2570% → 70%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
69.5%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dean Patterson) to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 9
OWN 42
+4
70.0%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+14
70.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 14 yds to the LT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
69.8%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 44 Kejon Owens fumbled, recovered by LT Demarcus Griffin-Taylor D. Griffin-Taylor return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1040% → 33%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
59.6%
Evan Bullock sacked by Travion Barnes and Blake Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 40Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
63.6%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-2
64.6%
Evan Bullock sacked by Keegan Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 38Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+12
66.7%
Patrick Rea punt for 34 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 12 yds to the FIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 5:1168% → 90%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
68.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+32
69.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 32 yds to the LT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
70.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-4
70.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by David Blay for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 24Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+14
67.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 14 yds to the LT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
70.7%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 12Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
70.8%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the LT 5Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
70.8%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the LT 2Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
72.4%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LT 7Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
90.2%
Alejandro Prado 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:3717% → 15%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
83.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LT 36Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
84.8%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
81.2%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 2 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-2
81.7%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 10
50
+3
84.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 3 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
85.1%
Patrick Rea punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3195% → 96%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
95.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dedrick Latulas at the LT 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2915% → 14%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
85.0%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Dakota Williams for 16 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
83.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Fred Robertson for 3 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
83.3%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
84.8%
Fred Robertson run for 3 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
86.1%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 36Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
98.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 18 yds to the LT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
98.5%
[NH] Kneel down by FIU at FIU48 (team loss of 6), clock 00:58.Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 16
OWN 48
-2
98.4%
(00:56) [NH] Kneel down by FIU at FIU46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:53.Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 18
OWN 46
-2
98.4%
(00:14) Kneel down by FIU at FIU44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:10.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:08
Alejandro Prado 25 yd FG GOOD
+17.8
TD · Q3 7:04
Jimmy Holiday run for 5 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)
-14.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:13
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FIU 36
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com