Try the model
FIU

Florida International 20 at Florida Atlantic 38

FAU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Daton Montiel punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Pregame prior+5.6Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:37: Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +5.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:17: Zuberi Mobley run for 72 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +6.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:03: Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +8.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:37: Cam Fancher run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +6.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:42: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FIU win probability +3.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:06FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:09FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:48FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:59FIU 4th & 21 at FAU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:47FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:21FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 5:21FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:34FAU 4th & 14 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:00FIU 4th & 6 at FAU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:17FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.5%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:40FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:49FAU 4th & 20 at FIU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−5.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FIU 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.5%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:51FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:38FIU 4th & 1 at FAU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:58FAU 4th & 8 at FIU 39, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:22FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00FAU 4th & 2 at FIU 20, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:45FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:37FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:17FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:37FAU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:28FAU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:08FIU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:42FIU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:0843% → 43%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
57.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
57.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 17 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
57.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 32 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3057% → 57%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
57.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
57.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
57.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+5
56.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 50 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 5 yds to the FIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5743% → 43%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
56.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
56.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
56.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the FAU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2157% → 56%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
56.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the FAU 3Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
56.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FAU 6Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
56.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+6
55.8%
Logan Lupo punt blocked by Luby Maurice Jr. blocked by Luby Maurice Jr. Lupo,Logan punt 6 yards to the FAU12 blocked by Maurice Jr.,Luby recovered by FAU Jerrels,Jarrett at FAU12, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:4945% → 45%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
55.5%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Miamen,Josiah) 5 yards from FAU12 to FAU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+4
55.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 19
OPP 21
-5
55.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass complete short left to Patterson,Dean caught at FAU21, for 7 yards to the FAU14 (Heard,CJ) PENALTY FIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from FAU21 to FAU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 24
OPP 26
0
55.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 24
OPP 26
+3
55.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+41
55.4%
Alejandro Prado 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1255% → 54%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
55.3%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
55.4%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the FAU 26Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+3
55.1%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+1
54.2%
Logan Lupo punt for 51 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 1 yd to the FIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2646% → 46%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
54.4%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
54.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 27Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
54.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+33
54.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 35 Florida International Penalty, Illegal Formation (Shomari Lawrence) to the FAU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4755% → 52%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
54.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
55.0%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
54.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 49Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
54.6%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
55.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 14
50
0
54.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 14
50
0
54.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 14
50
0
52.2%
Logan Lupo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
52.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 12 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FAU Jaden WheelerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:4555% → 60%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
54.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 11 yds to the FIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the FIU 1Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:3743% → 43%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
57.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Chisom Ifeanyi for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 23Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
57.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
56.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+12
56.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 12 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
55.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
55.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FAU 42Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+3
56.2%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
56.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 4:4358% → 64%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
57.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FAU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+7
57.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 7 yds to the FAU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
58.1%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
58.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-5
57.4%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game (Fancher,Cam) 5 yards from FAU23 to FAU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+10
57.3%
Cam Fancher run for 10 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+72
64.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 72 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:2435% → 35%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
64.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+10
64.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 10 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Daedae Hill return for no gain to the FIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:1368% → 69%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
67.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 23 yds to the FIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
67.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 11Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
67.7%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the FIU 8Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
67.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-5
66.2%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Maranges,Federico) 5 yards from FIU05 to FIU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
68.9%
Morgan Suarez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15INT
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:1631% → 32%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
67.9%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
67.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 7 yds to the FAU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
67.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Desna Washington for 14 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
66.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 2 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
66.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+5
66.9%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FAU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
65.9%
Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete deep left to Rivers,Eric thrown to FAU02, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Hill,Daedae) 12 yards from FAU24 to FAU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
65.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 1 yd to the FAU 11Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
68.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Phillip Dunnam return for no gain to the FIU 11Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
68.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Phillip Dunnam return for no gain to the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:3574% → 73%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
74.0%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Lamar,Malcolm) 5 yards from FIU11 to FIU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 15
OPP 16
-7
74.0%
Cam Fancher run for 8 yds to the FIU 8 Florida Atlantic Penalty, Personal Foul (Zeke Moore) to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 22
OPP 23
+1
73.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 21
OPP 22
+1
72.4%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the FIU 21Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 20
OPP 21
+39
73.0%
Morgan Suarez 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eddie Walls IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:3227% → 28%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
73.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 17 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
72.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
71.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 15 yds Dean Patterson fumbled, recovered by FAU CJ HeardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:1475% → 86%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+22
74.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 22 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
75.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Milan Tucker for 12 yds to the FIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
76.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 14 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
76.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+11
77.2%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the FIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
77.2%
Florida International Penalty, Targeting (JoJo Evans) to the FIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.5%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the FIU 1Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:2384% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
83.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 14 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
84.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
50
-1
84.3%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
83.6%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
82.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
84.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 11 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
84.2%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+6
89.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to George Johnson III for 6 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
89.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
89.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+13
89.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 13 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.7%
Cam Fancher run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:466% → 5%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
94.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
94.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:2397% → 99%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
96.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Joseph Young for 22 yds to the FIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FIU 2Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:201% → 3%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
99.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Desna Washington for 16 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+10
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass intercepted by Dunnam,Phillip at FAU35, End Of Play PENALTY FAU Holding (Antoine,Michal) 10 yards from FIU41 to FAU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
98.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete deep left to Rivers,Eric thrown to FAU00 PENALTY FIU Holding offsetting FAU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
98.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
98.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
98.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 5 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
99.6%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FAU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
97.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 26 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:0299% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+15
98.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Wyatt Sullivan for 15 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
98.9%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game (Fancher,Cam) 5 yards from FIU41 to FIU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the FIU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+6
98.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 6 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:162% → 5%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+39
98.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 39 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
98.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the FAU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
98.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 11 yds to the FAU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
94.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
98.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+4
98.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 4 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+8
98.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 51 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 8 yds to the FIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27END OF GAME
15 plays · 46 yds · 7:1499% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
98.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
98.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for no gain to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+4
99.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fancher,Cam pass complete short left to Washington, Jr.,Leon caught at FIU23, for 19 yards to the FIU16 (Shannon,Steven) PENALTY FAU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Lamas,Andre) 5 yards from FIU35 to FIU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
99.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 12 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for no gain to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.5%
(02:00) PENALTY FAU False Start (Jean,Woody) 5 yards from FIU28 to FIU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+8
99.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 8 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
99.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:03
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 10:17
Zuberi Mobley run for 72 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q3 7:37
Cam Fancher run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com