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CMU

Central Michigan 16 at Florida International 52

FIU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:39 · David Chapeau punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+27.2Pregame prior−4.6Blowout margin+13.9Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:45: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 36 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +8.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:18: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 17 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +18.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: Joe Labas pass intercepted Brian Blades II return for 21 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +11.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:14: Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Joe Labas pass to Evan Boyd for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +11.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:04: Kejon Owens run for 26 yds for a TD (Keyone Jenkins pass to Dean Patterson for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:48CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22FIU 4th & 8 at CMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21FIU 4th & 9 at CMU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06CMU 4th & 10 at FIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:39CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:41FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:41FIU 4th & 1 at CMU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−3.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:11CMU 4th & 2 at FIU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−2.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:01CMU 4th & 4 at FIU 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−1.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:29FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 43, up 20
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:34CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:39CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:01FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 37, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:32FIU 4th & 9 at CMU 24, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 6:55FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:45FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:18FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54FIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:14CMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:04FIU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:39CMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:39FIU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:28FIU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0164% → 62%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
36.3%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 11Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
36.3%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 17Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
36.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Solomon Davis for 4 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
36.3%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
36.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Solomon Davis for no gain to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+6
36.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Myles Bailey for 6 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
37.6%
David Chapeau punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2638% → 38%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
50
0
37.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
50
0
37.7%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
50
+2
37.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 2 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
38.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:2862% → 61%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
37.9%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-3
37.9%
Joe Labas sacked by Keegan Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 18Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
38.7%
Joe Labas pass intercepted Jamal Potts return for no gain to the CMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:5939% → 43%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
39.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 23 yds to the CMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
39.4%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the CMU 10Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
39.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the CMU 4Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3558% → 56%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.1%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-11
42.2%
Joe Labas sacked by Jamal Potts for a loss of 11 yards to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+9
42.7%
Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the CMU 30Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
44.2%
David Chapeau punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:5444% → 46%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
44.0%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
44.5%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
44.5%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CMU 46Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+7
44.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 7 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
44.6%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 42Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
44.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the CMU 42Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+4
43.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 4 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
46.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7MISSED FG
18 plays · 52 yds · 7:1554% → 49%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 21Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
46.1%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Davis Heinzen) to the CMU 16Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+15
46.2%
LUKES, Marion rush to the left for no gain, LUKES, Marion fumbled at CMU15 forced by BARNES, Travion, recovered by CMU BAILEY, Vashon at the CMU16, returned 0 yards to the CMU16, End of Play. PENALTY FIU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on HILL, Quaylen enforced 15 yards from the CMU16 to the CMU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
46.7%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
45.9%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
45.8%
Myles Bailey run for 6 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
45.7%
Joe Labas pass complete to Evan Boyd for 9 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
45.2%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+7
46.5%
B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
46.5%
B.J. Harris run for 5 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
45.5%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
46.4%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.4%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
46.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to Solomon Davis for 5 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-5
47.5%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Myles Bailey) to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
48.6%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
50.9%
Tristan Mattson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:2152% → 62%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+34
51.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 34 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
53.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
62.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 36 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0040% → 39%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.8%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
60.5%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+6
60.9%
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
61.4%
David Chapeau punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5861% → 60%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
61.4%
Dean Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 16Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
61.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
60.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+1
60.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds , Donte Kent returns for 1 yd to the CMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:2364% → 86%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
64.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 45Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+3
63.8%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+3
63.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CMU 39Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+5
62.2%
Central Michigan Penalty, Offsides (Solomon Davis) to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
62.4%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the CMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
64.0%
JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left incomplete intended for BURRIS, Nazeviah thrown to the CMU37. PENALTY CMU Horse Collar Tackle on SANCHEZ III, Fernando enforced 15 yards from the CMU33 to the CMU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
67.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the CMU 17Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
86.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 17 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT TD
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:1818% → 6%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
82.5%
Central Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Elijah Rikard) to the CMU 12Similar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+1
82.7%
B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 13Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 14
OWN 13
-21
94.1%
Joe Labas pass intercepted Brian Blades II return for 21 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 1:356% → 19%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
93.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 10 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
93.5%
Joe Labas pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 8 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-1
92.0%
Joe Labas pass complete to Evan Boyd for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-5
92.7%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Brayden Swartout) to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+6
93.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+17
92.6%
Myles Bailey run for 17 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
92.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 5 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
92.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 6 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.9%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
81.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Joe Labas pass to Evan Boyd for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.6%
Kneel down by FIU at FIU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2088% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
87.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jonah Pace and Jason Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
87.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 yds, downed at the CMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:3912% → 9%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.4%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
88.3%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
88.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 3 yds to the CMU 46Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+2
88.4%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.1%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
88.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+9
88.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Stephan Bracey Jr. for 9 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
87.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 1 yd to the FIU 39Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
87.9%
Joe Labas pass complete to Myles Bailey for 5 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
90.9%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3292% → 93%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
92.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
92.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
92.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 7 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:557% → 7%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
92.7%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
92.3%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
92.4%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 1
OWN 28
-9
93.0%
Joe Labas pass intercepted Victor Evans III return for 9 yds to the CMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:3094% → 99%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
94.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 10 yds to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.1%
Kejon Owens run for 26 yds for a TD (Keyone Jenkins pass to Dean Patterson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.0%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
98.9%
B.J. Harris run for no gain to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Joe Labas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
99.2%
David Chapeau punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:221% → 4%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 4 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
99.4%
Joe Labas run for 7 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 11 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
96.4%
J. Labas pass to C. Parker for 44 yds for a TD (J. Labas pass to G. Harris for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2197% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.0%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
97.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+23
97.0%
Kejon Owens run for 23 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 20 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
97.2%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
97.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
99.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 35 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.6%
Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
99.6%
Joe Labas pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 18 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 47Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.6%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 1 yd Nahree Biggins fumbled, recovered by CMUSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+15
99.7%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+12
99.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 12 yds to the CMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the CMU 24Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-1
99.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 25Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the CMU 24Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
99.9%
Chase Gabriel 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.9%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Nahree Biggins run for 7 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-76
99.9%
Joe Labas pass intercepted Antonio Patterson return for 76 yds to the CMU 9Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
99.9%
LAWRENCE, Shomari rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the CMU0, End of Play. PENALTY FIU Holding on RABESS, Mykeal enforced 10 yards from the CMU9 to the CMU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Luby Maurice Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.9%
Central Michigan Penalty, False Start (Jordyn Williams) to the CMU 10Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the CMU 14Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+16
100.0%
Tyler Jefferson run for 16 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
B.J. Harris run for 4 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 6 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 24 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
100.0%
Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+9
100.0%
Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Nathan VanTimmeren for 9 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson run for 6 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Tyler Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:18
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 17 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+18.6
TD · Q2 0:14
Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Joe Labas pass to Evan Boyd for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.6
TD · Q2 1:54
Joe Labas pass intercepted Brian Blades II return for 21 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com