Try the model
PRST

Portland State 14 at Boise State 56

BOIS
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:01 · James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+43.4Home team on offense+3.8Score differential+0.8Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:01: Delon Thompson 0 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick) — PRST win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:39: Maddux Madsen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:44: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:09: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PRST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:28PRST 4th & 10 at PRST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:44PRST 4th & 13 at BOIS 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:45PRST 4th & 9 at PRST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:01BOIS 4th & 10 at PRST 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:55PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:58PRST 4th & 19 at PRST 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:54BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 27, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:59PRST 4th & 9 at BOIS 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:47PRST 4th & 9 at PRST 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:49PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 30, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:20PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 39, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:30BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 37, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8PRST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:23BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:01PRST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:39BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:44BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:09BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:58BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:28PRST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:23BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:38BOIS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:321% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.3%
Quincy Craig run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.3%
Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.3%
Portland State Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Lynch) to the PRST 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
99.3%
Delon Thompson run for 7 yds to the PRST 25Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Tony Johnson punt for 27 yds, downed at the BOIS 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the PRST 44Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+24
99.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 24 yds to the PRST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.1%
Cameron Bates run for 20 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:141% → 2%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Delon Thompson for 7 yds to the PRST 34Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
99.1%
Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Dante Chachere run for 6 yds to the PRST 44Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+15
99.1%
Christian Grubb run for 15 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
99.1%
Quincy Craig run for no gain to the BOIS 33Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+22
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Delon Thompson for 22 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.1%
Dante Chachere run for 4 yds to the BOIS 7Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Quincy Craig run for no gain to the BOIS 7Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
98.4%
Delon Thompson 0 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 15 yds Matt Lauter fumbled, recovered by PRST J'Querian Ladson J. Ladson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:022% → 2%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.4%
Quincy Craig run for 5 yds to the BOIS 35Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+23
98.4%
Delon Thompson run for 23 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.4%
Dante Chachere run for no gain to the BOIS 12Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.4%
Dante Chachere run for 2 yds to the BOIS 10Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
98.4%
Portland State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaylen Lynch) to the BOIS 15Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
98.4%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
98.1%
Mathias Uribe 32 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4998% → 98%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 26Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+68
98.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 68 yds to the PRST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the PRST 4Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:062% → 2%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.2%
Delon Thompson run for 3 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
98.2%
Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the PRST 34Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-6
98.2%
Dante Chachere sacked by Jake Ripp and Max Stege for a loss of 6 yards to the PRST 28Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 28
-4
98.1%
Tony Johnson punt for 41 yds , Latrell Caples returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4498% → 98%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
98.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 15 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
98.1%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Latrell Caples) to the BOIS 37Similar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+16
98.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the PRST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
97.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:062% → 3%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.7%
Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the PRST 25Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 25Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Dante Chachere run for 3 yds to the PRST 28Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Tony Johnson punt for 46 yds , Latrell Caples returns for no gain to the BOIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:1698% → 98%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
97.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.5%
Sire Gaines run for 6 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+18
97.7%
Sire Gaines run for 18 yds to the PRST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.7%
Portland State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PRST 35Similar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+5
97.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the PRST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the PRST 25Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+10
97.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 10 yds to the PRST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
97.7%
Maddux Madsen run for 11 yds to the PRST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the PRST 1Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Maddux Madsen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
97.7%
Delon Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 15Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
97.7%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 13
OWN 15
-6
97.7%
Dante Chachere sacked by Sheldon Newton for a loss of 6 yards to the PRST 9Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
97.7%
Tony Johnson punt for 41 yds , Cooper Jones returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:1498% → 99%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the PRST 46Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
98.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 7 yds to the PRST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
98.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+6
97.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 6 yds to the PRST 36Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+18
97.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 18 yds to the PRST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
98.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 8 yds to the PRST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 5 yds to the PRST 42Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+29
98.9%
Dante Chachere run for 29 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 8 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
99.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
98.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 6 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+1
98.9%
Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the BOIS 43Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+22
98.9%
Dante Chachere run for 22 yds to the BOIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 2 yds to the BOIS 19Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-1
98.7%
Elias Spence run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 20Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
98.8%
Dante Chachere run for no gain to the BOIS 20Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-10
98.7%
Portland State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaac Perez) to the BOIS 45Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
98.9%
Mathias Uribe 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.1%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the BOIS 37Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
99.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 6 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
99.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 5 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 5 yds to the PRST 37Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-4
99.8%
Eric Denham sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 4 yards to the PRST 33Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Tony Johnson punt for 31 yds, downed at the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:49100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Cameron Bates for 5 yds to the PRST 45Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+18
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 18 yds to the PRST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the PRST 25Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Matt Wagner for 9 yds to the PRST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 11 yds to the PRST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
99.9%
CROWE, Tyler rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU8 (MCMURRIN, Jamal). PENALTY BSU Holding on KEINATH, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the PSU5 to the PSU15 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Dylan Riley for 13 yds to the PRST 2Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.9%
Christian Grubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the PRST 31Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 15 yds to the PRST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
Portland State Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PEREZ, Isaac enforced (-5 Yards) to the PRST 41Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+10
99.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 10 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Eric Denham run for no gain to the BOIS 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+39
99.9%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Eric Denham for 39 yds to the BOIS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Dante Chachere run for 10 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 9 yds to the PRST 46Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 5 yds to the PRST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 7 yds to the PRST 34Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds to the PRST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.9%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Kyle Cox) to the PRST 33Similar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-9
99.9%
Malachi Nelson sacked by Ezriel Vasquez for a loss of 9 yards to the PRST 42Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 24
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 24
OPP 42
+28
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Austin Terry for 28 yds to the PRST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the PRST 10Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the PRST 6Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
William Haskell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Jalynnee McGee run for 2 yds to the PRST 26Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
William Haskell pass complete to Eric Denham for 4 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Tony Johnson punt for 34 yds, downed at the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 64 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
Christian Grubb run for 19 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 4 yds to the PRST 48Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-4
100.0%
William Haskell run for a loss of 4 yards to the PRST 44Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
100.0%
William Haskell sacked by Clay Martineau for a loss of 5 yards to the PRST 39Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Tony Johnson punt for 51 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 4 yds to the BOIS 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
100.0%
Troy Wilkey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 12Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
Max Cutforth pass complete to Kayden Chan for 6 yds to the BOIS 18Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+7
100.0%
Max Cutforth pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 7 yds to the BOIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Troy Wilkey run for 6 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
Troy Wilkey run for 5 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Troy Wilkey run for 6 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-3
100.0%
Tyler Crowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 42Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
100.0%
Boise State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the BOIS 37Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
100.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds, downed at the PRST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 3 yds to the PRST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 5:01
Delon Thompson 0 Yd Run (Mathias Uribe Kick)
-0.7
TD · Q3 8:09
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com