T
TCU 20 at Cincinnati 13
C2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Nippert Stadium
Win probability · C
modelC aheadT aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Savion Williams run for 3 yds to the TCU 28
0.0
Q1 15:00
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 15:00
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 14:08
Ethan Craw punt for 43 yds , Jamoi Mayes returns for no gain to the CIN 29 , returns for no gain to the CIN 29
-0.6
Q1 14:05
BATTLE, Trent rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN30 (MINKINS, Josh), out of bounds. PENALTY TCU Holding on DEERY, Coltin enforced 10 yards from the CIN29 to the CIN39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-2.6
Q1 14:05
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 6 yds to the CIN 33
0.0
Q1 14:05
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 14:05
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 19 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 14:05
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 3 yds to the CIN 11
0.0
Q1 14:05
Trent Battle run for 3 yds to the CIN 8
0.0
Q1 14:05
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the CIN 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:18
Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-14.9
Q1 11:10
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 25
+5.1
Q1 11:10
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 29
0.0
Q1 11:10
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:10
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 37
0.0
Q1 11:10
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 41
0.0
Q1 11:10
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 42
+0.4
Q1 7:13
Mason Fletcher punt for 35 yds , JP Richardson returns for no gain to the TCU 23
0.0
Q1 7:13
Hauss Hejny run for 6 yds to the TCU 29
-4.0
Q1 7:13
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 5 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 7:13
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 6 yds to the TCU 40
0.0
Q1 7:13
Savion Williams run for no gain to the TCU 40
-1.4
Q1 7:13
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 4:45
Ethan Craw punt for 55 yds, downed at the CIN 5
+0.5
Q1 4:45
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 14 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST down
+4.7
Q1 4:45
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 4:45
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 19
0.0
Q1 4:45
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 24
0.0
Q1 2:45
Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds , JP Richardson returns for 6 yds to the TCU 45
0.0
Q1 2:45
Savion Williams run for 1 yd to the TCU 46
-5.0
Q1 2:45
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 30 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:45
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the CIN 19
-0.1
Q1 2:45
Cam Cook run for 8 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:00
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the CIN 9
-0.1
Q2 15:00
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 15:00
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 14:47
Kyle Lemmermann 27 yd FG GOOD
-4.6
Q2 14:47
Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 30
+5.7
Q2 14:47
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:47
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:47
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the TCU 49
+0.9
Q2 14:47
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the TCU 47
+0.5
Q2 14:47
Corey Kiner run for 46 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 11:12
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)
+17.1
Q2 11:12
Jeremy Payne run for 9 yds to the TCU 44
-8.3
Q2 11:12
Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down
-1.6
Q2 11:12
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 40 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 11:12
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 11 yds to the CIN 3 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 11:12
Jeremy Payne run for 1 yd to the CIN 2
0.0
Q2 11:12
Savion Williams run for no gain to the CIN 2
0.0
Q2 7:34
Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-16.0
Q2 7:28
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+4.0
Q2 7:28
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 25
0.0
Q2 6:28
Timeout TCU, clock 06:28
-0.9
Q2 6:28
Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 33
0.0
Q2 6:28
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:42
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 34 Corey Kiner fumbled, recovered by TCU Caleb Fox C. Fox return for 0 yds
+0.1
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for 3 yds to the CIN 31
-3.2
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 20 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:42
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 17
0.0
Q2 3:44
Kyle Lemmermann 35 yd FG GOOD
-4.7
Q2 3:38
Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31
+4.4
Q2 3:38
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 02:00
+0.1
Q2 2:00
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Markis Deal for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 31
0.0
Q2 2:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 6 yds to the CIN 37
0.0
Q2 1:13
Timeout TCU, clock 01:13
+0.5
Q2 1:13
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 36
0.0
Q2 1:10
Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 28
0.0
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the TCU 31
-4.4
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 26 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
-0.9
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 9 yds to the CIN 34
0.0
Q2 1:10
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 12 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 0:08
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 00:08
-0.8
Q2 0:08
Josh Hoover run for 7 yds to the CIN 15
0.0
Q2 0:08
TCU Penalty, False Start (DJ Rogers) to the CIN 20
0.0
Q2 0:03
Kyle Lemmermann 38 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q2 0:00
[NHSG] Kneel down by SORSBY, Brendan at CIN19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
+4.9
Q3 15:00
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 24
-1.0
Q3 15:00
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 15:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds to the CIN 30
0.0
Q3 13:36
Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 34
0.0
Q3 13:36
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
-4.2
Q3 13:36
Trent Battle run for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:36
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
-0.8
Q3 13:36
Trent Battle run for no gain to the TCU 46
0.0
Q3 13:36
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 12:15
Ethan Craw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 16
+0.2
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 20
+2.9
Q3 12:15
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 19
0.0
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds Jamoi Mayes fumbled, recovered by CIN Jamoi Mayes J. Mayes return for 0 yds for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the CIN 33
0.0
Q3 12:15
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the CIN 34
0.0
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+0.3
Q3 12:15
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 41
0.0
Q3 7:14
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 07:14
0.0
Q3 7:14
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 45
0.0
Q3 7:14
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Joe Royer) to the CIN 40
0.0
Q3 7:08
Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 20
0.0
Q3 7:08
Hauss Hejny run for 7 yds to the TCU 27
-4.2
Q3 7:08
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:08
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 13 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:08
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the TCU 48
-0.5
Q3 7:08
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q3 7:08
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the CIN 48
0.0
Q3 7:08
Josh Hoover run for 2 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:08
Josh Hoover pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:08
Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the CIN 44
0.0
Q3 2:34
Josh Hoover pass intercepted Trevon Gola-Callard return for no gain to the CIN 27
-0.7
Q3 2:34
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds to the CIN 33
+3.8
Q3 2:34
Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:34
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+0.3
Q3 1:30
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the TCU 47
+0.8
Q3 1:30
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+0.2
Q3 1:30
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 13 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q3 1:30
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 01:30
+0.8
Q3 0:00
Brendan Sorsby run for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q4 15:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the TCU 33
+0.4
Q4 15:00
Evan Prater pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 15:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the TCU 28
0.0
Q4 15:00
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 15:00
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the TCU 17
0.0
Q4 15:00
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 15:00
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 11:34
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted, touchback. Channing Canada return for no gain
-1.2
Q4 11:34
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 7 yds to the TCU 27
-4.7
Q4 10:16
Timeout TCU, clock 10:16
-1.7
Q4 10:16
Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the TCU 29
0.0
Q4 10:16
Savion Williams run for no gain to the TCU 29
0.0
Q4 9:06
Ethan Craw punt for 65 yds, downed at the CIN 6
-0.1
Q4 9:06
Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down
+2.3
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 11 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 28 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:06
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46
+0.8
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby run for 25 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the TCU 12
+0.4
Q4 9:06
Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:06
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the TCU 3
0.0
Q4 9:06
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Phillip Wilder) to the TCU 8
0.0
Q4 9:06
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 5:15
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks PAT MISSED)
+11.9
Q4 5:10
Hauss Hejny run for 21 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down
-10.1
Q4 3:39
Timeout TCU, clock 03:39
-1.5
Q4 3:39
Hauss Hejny run for 3 yds to the CIN 45
0.0
Q4 3:39
Hauss Hejny run for 8 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 02:00
-1.5
Q4 2:00
Hauss Hejny run for 3 yds to the CIN 34
0.0
Q4 1:55
Timeout Cincinnati, clock 01:55
+2.5
Q4 1:55
Hauss Hejny run for no gain to the CIN 34
0.0
Q4 1:10
Timeout TCU, clock 01:10
+0.1
Q4 1:10
Hauss Hejny run for no gain to the CIN 34
0.0
Q4 1:10
TCU Penalty, False Start (Ben Taylor-Whitfield) to the CIN 39
0.0
Q4 1:00
Ethan Craw punt for 36 yds, downed at the CIN 3
0.0
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 7
+4.7
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 8 yds to the CIN 24
0.0
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:00
SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tony thrown to the CIN45. PENALTY TCU Pass Interference on CLARK, Bud enforced 12 yards to the CIN40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the TCU 40
+0.2
Q4 1:00
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+0.3
Q4 0:00
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete
+0.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:12
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)
+17.1
TD · Q2 7:34
Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-16
TD · Q1 11:18
Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-14.9