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HOU

Houston 18 at BYU 30

BYU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:10 · Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+3.9Home team on offense+13.4Garbage-time factor+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +4.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:55: Sione I Moa run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +5.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:09: Jake Retzlaff run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +5.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:34: Zeon Chriss 1 Yd Run (Zeon Chriss Pass to Mekhi Mews for Two-Point Conversion) — HOU win probability +17.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:34: Timeout BYU, clock 08:34 — BYU win probability +10.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:26BYU 4th & 6 at HOU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:48HOU 4th & 8 at BYU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−2.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:21HOU 4th & 13 at HOU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:53BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 26, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:59HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:11HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:11HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:17BYU 4th & 4 at HOU 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:32HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:10BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:23HOU 4th & 7 at BYU 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−2.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00BYU 4th & 3 at HOU 14, up 12
    Close callWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%−0.8
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:47HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:40BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:55BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:34HOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:52BYU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1FUMBLE
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:0177% → 77%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.3%
Keelan Marion run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
77.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
77.2%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
77.0%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
77.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 10 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
77.0%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the HOU 45Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
77.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 10 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
76.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 14 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
76.8%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Brandon Mack for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 24Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 13
OPP 24
-5
76.6%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 14 LJ Martin fumbled, recovered by HOU Carlos AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4925% → 25%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
75.5%
(09:46) PENALTY HOU False Start 5 yards from BYU14 to BYU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+2
75.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 13
OPP 17
-14
75.2%
Joseph Manjack IV pass intercepted Tyler Batty return for 14 yds to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3176% → 75%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
76.0%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Mitchell,Bruce) 5 yards from BYU37 to BYU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+15
75.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 15 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
76.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
76.1%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
75.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
75.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:2825% → 32%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
75.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
74.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for 3 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
74.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 19 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
73.9%
DJ Butler run for 18 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
73.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 9 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+8
73.1%
Zeon Chriss run for 8 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
72.7%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the BYU 15Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
72.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 4 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+8
72.2%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 8 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.3%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
68.3%
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bagnah,Isaiah) 15 yards from HOU35 to HOU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:3627% → 31%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
72.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 3 yds to the HOU 35Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
72.4%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 6 yds to the HOU 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+7
71.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
71.3%
J'Marion Burnette run for 7 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+39
70.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 39 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.0%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
69.6%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
69.9%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Isaiah Glasker for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
69.2%
Jack Martin 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:4070% → 77%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
69.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 15 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive Holding (Joseph Manjack IV) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
70.9%
Keelan Marion run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 2
50
+12
71.1%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
70.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+20
71.1%
Parker Kingston run for 20 yds to the HOU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
70.8%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the HOU 6Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
76.7%
Sione I Moa run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2327% → 26%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.5%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
73.7%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 7 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+5
73.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 5 yds to the HOU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
72.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 18 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
70.8%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-4
70.8%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 4 yards to the HOU 48Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
72.8%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Mekhi MewsSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
73.7%
Liam Dougherty punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2875% → 72%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
75.1%
PENALTY HOU Delay Of Game (Morris,Jamal) 5 yards from BYU04 to BYU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 5
OWN 9
+8
75.1%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
74.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
74.8%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 15 LJ Martin fumbled, recovered by BYU Keanu HillSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+11
74.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
72.3%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:4625% → 22%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
74.9%
Zeon Chriss run for 11 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
73.1%
PENALTY HOU False Start (Ndukwe,David) 5 yards from HOU46 to HOU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+1
74.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 1 yd to the HOU 42Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
74.3%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stacy SneedSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+4
76.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
77.7%
Liam Dougherty punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:4477% → 85%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
76.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 9 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
77.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
75.9%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+52
76.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 52 yds to the HOU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
84.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
85.3%
(00:02) Kneel down by Houston at HOU25 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:1017% → 15%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
83.0%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanford II,Re'Shaun rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HOU25 (Wakley,Crew) PENALTY HOU Holding (Hautau,Hingano) 10 yards from HOU26 to HOU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+9
83.2%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 9 yds to the HOU 25Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+9
83.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 9 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
83.1%
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
84.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 4 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
85.0%
Zeon Chriss pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 36 yds · 3:0986% → 87%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
86.4%
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
86.8%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
87.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 17 yds to the HOU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
87.2%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the HOU 5Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+1
87.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the HOU 4Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-2
87.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 6 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by HOU Kentrell WebbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0214% → 12%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
86.3%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 7Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 7
-1
86.7%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 6Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+2
87.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the HOU 8Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+5
88.0%
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 5 yds to the HOU 44 Parker Kingston fumbled, recovered by HOU Jacob GarzaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5015% → 13%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
85.1%
Stephon Johnson run for 5 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
84.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
85.8%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
87.0%
Liam Dougherty punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 4:4588% → 95%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
88.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 40 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kendre Gant) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
89.2%
Keelan Marion run for 3 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+15
89.0%
(03:59) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short middle to Hill,Keanu thrown to HOU33 QB hurried by McCutchin,Latreveon PENALTY HOU Roughing The Passer (Batton,Michael) 15 yards from HOU37 to HOU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.7%
Enoch Nawahine run for no gain to the HOU 22Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
89.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
89.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the HOU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
90.7%
(02:28) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Lassiter,Darius thrown to HOU02 PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (Carter,Ajani) 7 yards from HOU11 to HOU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.8%
Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the HOU 1Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.9%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the HOU 1Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
90.7%
Keelan Marion run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 4Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
95.1%
Will Ferrin 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
95.2%
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chidester,Kaden) 15 yards from BYU35 to BYU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 69 yds · 6:267% → 23%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
92.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
92.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 6 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
93.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the HOU 40Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+3
93.2%
J'Marion Burnette run for 3 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
93.2%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Chriss,Zeon pass incomplete deep middle to Manjack IV,Joseph thrown to BYU16 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Prassas,Tommy) 15 yards from HOU43 to BYU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
92.9%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 19 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
92.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 9 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+1
92.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
93.4%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
92.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+9
94.3%
Stephon Johnson run for 9 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.0%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.9%
Zeon Chriss 1 Yd Run (Zeon Chriss Pass to Mekhi Mews for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2187% → 86%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
86.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · -20 yds · 2:3919% → 16%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
81.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 9 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
78.9%
Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
79.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 4 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
79.8%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
81.7%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Mekhi MewsSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-38
84.0%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 38 yards to the HOU 18 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by BYU Blake Mangelson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2490% → 99%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
89.8%
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the HOU 9Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
91.6%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 5Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
95.1%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 7Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q4 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
PENALTY HOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
98.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 21 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by BYU Logan LutuiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:2299% → 99%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.3%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the HOU 20Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
99.3%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 16Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
99.3%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 14Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+6
99.3%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:34
Zeon Chriss 1 Yd Run (Zeon Chriss Pass to Mekhi Mews for Two-Point Conversion)
-17.1
TD · Q4 8:34
Timeout BYU, clock 08:34
+10
TD · Q2 7:55
Sione I Moa run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com