ARDLINETry the model
H

Houston 18 at BYU 30

B
2024 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Win probability · B
modelB aheadH aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAY
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST down
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Jack Martin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:49
Keelan Marion run for 8 yds to the BYU 33
+2.1
Q1 14:18
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase Roberts
-0.2
Q1 14:10
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:29
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 39
0.0
Q1 13:06
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 10 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 12:36
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the HOU 45
+0.4
Q1 11:52
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 10 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q1 11:11
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 14 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 10:29
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Brandon Mack for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 24
0.0
Q1 9:48
LJ Martin run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 14 LJ Martin fumbled, recovered by HOU Carlos Allen
0.0
Q1 9:46
(09:46) PENALTY HOU False Start 5 yards from BYU14 to BYU19. NO PLAY.
-6.7
Q1 9:42
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds to the BYU 17
0.0
Q1 8:57
Joseph Manjack IV pass intercepted Tyler Batty return for 14 yds to the BYU 37
-0.2
Q1 8:57
PENALTY BYU False Start (Mitchell,Bruce) 5 yards from BYU37 to BYU32. NO PLAY.
+5.2
Q1 8:46
Jake Retzlaff run for 15 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 8:20
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo Phillips
+0.9
Q1 8:14
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 49
0.0
Q1 7:33
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter
+0.5
Q1 7:26
Sam Vander Haar punt for 49 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q1 7:26
Timeout BYU, clock 07:26
-5.7
Q1 7:15
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the HOU 27
0.0
Q1 6:44
J'Marion Burnette run for 3 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:50
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 19 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down
-1.3
Q1 5:20
DJ Butler run for 18 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down
-1.7
Q1 4:38
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 9 yds to the BYU 24
-0.7
Q1 4:28
Zeon Chriss run for 8 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:43
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the BYU 15
-0.1
Q1 3:00
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 4 yds to the BYU 11
0.0
Q1 2:22
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 8 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 1:47
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
-16.0
Q1 1:47
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bagnah,Isaiah) 15 yards from HOU35 to HOU50. NO PLAY.
+17.5
Q1 1:40
Jack Martin kickoff for 8 yds , Talan Alfrey return for 58 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
-2.0
Q1 1:34
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 32 yds to the HOU 32
+6.3
Q1 1:24
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 3 yds to the HOU 35
-4.3
Q1 0:58
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 6 yds to the HOU 41
0.0
Q1 0:00
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST down
-1.5
Q2 14:52
J'Marion Burnette run for 7 yds to the BYU 45
-0.6
Q2 14:06
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 39 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 13:50
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the BYU 3
-0.5
Q2 13:05
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4
0.0
Q2 12:23
Zeon Chriss sacked by Isaiah Glasker for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 8
0.0
Q2 11:48
Jack Martin 26 yd FG GOOD
-5.6
Q2 11:48
Timeout BYU, clock 11:48
+12.4
Q2 11:41
Jack Martin kickoff for 55 yds , Keelan Marion return for 17 yds to the BYU 27
-11.3
Q2 11:35
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 15 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive Holding (Joseph Manjack IV) declined for a 1ST down
+6.9
Q2 11:09
Keelan Marion run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line
+0.6
Q2 10:33
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 9:53
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the HOU 34
-0.1
Q2 9:19
Parker Kingston run for 20 yds to the HOU 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:39
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the HOU 6
0.0
Q2 7:55
Sione I Moa run for 6 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+12.6
Q2 7:55
Timeout BYU, clock 07:55
-22.4
Q2 7:48
Will Ferrin kickoff for 60 yds , DJ Butler return for 16 yds to the HOU 21 DJ Butler fumbled, recovered by BYU
+21.3
Q2 7:44
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
-4.6
Q2 7:35
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 7 yds to the HOU 28
0.0
Q2 6:51
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 5 yds to the HOU 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:21
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 18 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down
+1.2
Q2 5:46
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 1 yd to the BYU 48
-1.7
Q2 5:11
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 4 yards to the HOU 48
0.0
Q2 4:29
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Mekhi Mews
+0.2
Q2 4:21
Liam Dougherty punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 4
+0.3
Q2 4:21
Timeout BYU, clock 04:21
+4.6
Q2 4:21
PENALTY HOU Delay Of Game (Morris,Jamal) 5 yards from BYU04 to BYU09. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 4:14
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:32
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter
0.0
Q2 2:50
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 15 LJ Martin fumbled, recovered by BYU Keanu Hill
+0.1
Q2 2:31
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the BYU 26
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout BYU, clock 02:00
-0.5
Q2 1:53
Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 35
0.0
Q2 1:45
Zeon Chriss run for 11 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down
-3.4
Q2 1:25
PENALTY HOU False Start (Ndukwe,David) 5 yards from HOU46 to HOU41. NO PLAY.
-1.5
Q2 1:20
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 1 yd to the HOU 42
+0.6
Q2 1:14
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stacy Sneed
0.0
Q2 1:14
Timeout Houston, clock 01:14
-0.6
Q2 1:09
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 46
0.0
Q2 1:09
Timeout BYU, clock 01:09
-0.3
Q2 0:59
Liam Dougherty punt for 54 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 0:53
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 9 yds to the BYU 29
+5.5
Q2 0:47
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter
0.0
Q2 0:42
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 0:30
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 52 yds to the HOU 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:15
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo Phillips
-1.4
Q2 0:09
Jake Retzlaff run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+11.5
Q2 0:03
Will Ferrin kickoff for 50 yds , DJ Butler return for 13 yds to the HOU 28
+0.6
Q2 0:00
(00:02) Kneel down by Houston at HOU25 for loss of 3 yards.
-3.8
Q3 14:55
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 26 yds to the HOU 26
+3.3
Q3 14:48
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanford II,Re'Shaun rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HOU25 (Wakley,Crew) PENALTY HOU Holding (Hautau,Hingano) 10 yards from HOU26 to HOU16. NO PLAY.
-1.8
Q3 14:13
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 9 yds to the HOU 25
0.0
Q3 13:36
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 9 yds to the HOU 34
-0.2
Q3 12:59
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 12:27
Timeout Houston, clock 12:27
-0.2
Q3 12:11
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 4 yds to the HOU 39
0.0
Q3 11:38
Zeon Chriss pass intercepted
-0.1
Q3 11:29
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the HOU 33
+3.7
Q3 10:51
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 29 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 10:07
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 17 yds to the HOU 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:38
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the HOU 5
-0.1
Q3 9:09
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the HOU 4
0.0
Q3 8:20
Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 6 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by HOU Kentrell Webb
-0.1
Q3 8:20
Timeout BYU, clock 08:20
-4.2
Q3 8:13
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 7
0.0
Q3 7:39
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 6
0.0
Q3 6:55
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the HOU 8
0.0
Q3 6:11
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 5 yds to the HOU 44 Parker Kingston fumbled, recovered by HOU Jacob Garza
+0.1
Q3 6:01
Stephon Johnson run for 5 yds to the HOU 49
0.0
Q3 5:25
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Devan Williams
-0.2
Q3 5:25
Timeout Houston, clock 05:25
0.0
Q3 5:20
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
0.0
Q3 5:11
Liam Dougherty punt for 51 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q3 5:02
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 40 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kendre Gant) declined for a 1ST down
+5.4
Q3 4:38
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo Phillips
0.0
Q3 4:30
Keelan Marion run for 3 yds to the HOU 37
0.0
Q3 3:54
(03:59) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short middle to Hill,Keanu thrown to HOU33 QB hurried by McCutchin,Latreveon PENALTY HOU Roughing The Passer (Batton,Michael) 15 yards from HOU37 to HOU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q3 3:43
Enoch Nawahine run for no gain to the HOU 22
+0.1
Q3 3:09
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan Marion
+0.6
Q3 3:00
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the HOU 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:25
(02:28) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Lassiter,Darius thrown to HOU02 PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (Carter,Ajani) 7 yards from HOU11 to HOU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 2:19
Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the HOU 1
0.0
Q3 1:38
LJ Martin run for no gain to the HOU 1
0.0
Q3 0:42
Keelan Marion run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 4
0.0
Q3 0:17
Will Ferrin 22 yd FG GOOD
+2.9
Q3 0:17
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chidester,Kaden) 15 yards from BYU35 to BYU20. NO PLAY.
-3.1
Q3 0:11
Will Ferrin kickoff for 67 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 18 yds to the HOU 31
+3.0
Q3 0:00
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 33
-2.9
Q4 14:47
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 6 yds to the HOU 39
0.0
Q4 14:14
Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the HOU 40
0.0
Q4 13:32
J'Marion Burnette run for 3 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 12:55
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Chriss,Zeon pass incomplete deep middle to Manjack IV,Joseph thrown to BYU16 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Prassas,Tommy) 15 yards from HOU43 to BYU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 12:38
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 19 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:58
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 9 yds to the BYU 14
+0.1
Q4 11:13
Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:35
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the BYU 12
0.0
Q4 9:54
J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the BYU 10
-0.2
Q4 9:08
Stephon Johnson run for 9 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 8:39
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson
+0.3
Q4 8:34
Zeon Chriss 1 Yd Run (Zeon Chriss Pass to Mekhi Mews for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.7
Q4 8:34
Timeout BYU, clock 08:34
+17.4
Q4 8:34
Jack Martin kickoff for 63 yds
-15.0
Q4 8:31
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter
+6.3
Q4 8:25
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ Martin
0.0
Q4 8:18
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ Martin
-0.2
Q4 8:10
Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 38
-0.3
Q4 8:10
Timeout BYU, clock 08:10
-7.0
Q4 8:02
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 9 yds to the HOU 47
+0.8
Q4 7:26
Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q4 6:49
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 4 yds to the BYU 43
+0.2
Q4 6:15
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 44
-0.6
Q4 5:36
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Mekhi Mews
+1.3
Q4 5:23
Zeon Chriss sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 38 yards to the HOU 18 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by BYU Blake Mangelson , return for 0 yards
0.0
Q4 5:16
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the HOU 9
+8.4
Q4 4:30
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 7 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 3:41
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 5
+0.2
Q4 3:39
Timeout BYU, clock 03:39
0.0
Q4 2:57
Timeout Houston, clock 02:57
+1.8
Q4 2:56
LJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 7
0.0
Q4 2:52
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+4.4
Q4 2:52
PENALTY HOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 2:42
Will Ferrin kickoff for 64 yds , Bryan Massey return for 16 yds to the HOU 17
0.0
Q4 2:32
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 21 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by BYU Logan Lutui
-2.9
Q4 2:22
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the HOU 20
+2.9
Q4 2:00
Timeout BYU, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:52
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the HOU 16
+0.2
Q4 1:04
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the HOU 14
0.0
Q4 0:26
Timeout BYU, clock 00:26
-0.3
Q4 0:00
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the HOU 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 7:55
Timeout BYU, clock 07:55
-22.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 7:48
Will Ferrin kickoff for 60 yds , DJ Butler return for 16 yds to the HOU 21 DJ Butler fumbled, recovered by BYU
+21.3
KEY PLAY · Q1 1:47
PENALTY BYU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bagnah,Isaiah) 15 yards from HOU35 to HOU50. NO PLAY.
+17.5
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com