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ASU

Arizona State 49 at Arizona 7

ARIZ
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD—ARIZ 0.8%Sam Leavitt pass complete to XavierGuillory for 31 yds for a TD (ParkerLewis KICK)AWAY 42 - HOME 7 · Q4 14:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:55 · Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 31 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense−48.1Score differential−33.5Pregame prior−5.3Garbage-time factor−15.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:32: Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick) — ASU win probability +1.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:37: Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +3.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:29: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +8.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:28: Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:53: Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 28 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:59ARIZ 4th & 9 at ASU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:44ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:32ARIZ 4th & 10 at ASU 37, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:11ASU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:09ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:00ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29ARIZ 4th & 2 at ASU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:11ASU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 4, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:32ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:55ASU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 31, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:35ARIZ 4th & 18 at ARIZ 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:38ASU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:10ARIZ 4th & 2 at ASU 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:32ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:37ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:29ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:28ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:41ASU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:53ARIZ Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:55ASU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:56ASU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:2671% → 70%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
29.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 6 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
30.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
30.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
30.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+18
30.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
30.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 23 yds to the ARIZ 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
31.1%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 2Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.7%
Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3230% → 30%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
30.3%
(08:58) MCMILLAN, Tetairoa pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUNTER, Chris thrown to the ASU25, clock 08:51. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Javan enforced 15 yards to the ASU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
30.8%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ASU 48Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
30.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
30.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+13
30.3%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 34 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for 13 yds to the ASU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1570% → 73%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
30.0%
Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
29.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+59
30.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 59 yds to the ARIZ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
29.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 2Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:5228% → 27%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.9%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 26Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
27.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 2 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
27.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
27.4%
Anthony Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
27.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
27.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 1 yd to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
27.0%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:0774% → 84%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
25.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 34 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-8
25.1%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Taye Brown and Lance Keneley for a loss of 8 yards to the ASU 46Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+7
25.2%
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+27
25.1%
Kyson Brown run for 27 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
24.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 13Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
15.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4420% → 19%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
19.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
19.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
19.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-5
19.3%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ASU 37Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+55
19.0%
Tyler Loop 55 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 6:0084% → 92%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
15.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 41Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-15
15.3%
Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordyn Tyson) to the ASU 34Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+31
15.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 31 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
14.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
13.6%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
13.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 26Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
13.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
12.2%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+11
12.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 11 yds to the ARIZ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
12.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 3Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
7.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:177% → 6%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
6.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
6.1%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:0092% → 92%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
8.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 10 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
7.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
7.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the ASU 42Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
7.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
8.2%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 2:247% → 4%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
7.2%
Quali Conley run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+10
5.1%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
6.0%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 36Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
5.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+25
5.2%
(02:06) FIFITA, Noah sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the ARIZ28 (O'NEAL, Elijah), clock 02:01. PENALTY ASU Holding on HUGHES, Martell declined ASU Face mask on O'NEAL, Elijah enforced 15 yards from the ARIZ36 to the ASU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
5.2%
(01:59) FIFITA, Noah pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to REESCANO, Kedrick caught at the ASU48 and advanced to the ASU44 (CROOK, Jordan;WODTLY, Justin), clock 01:50. PENALTY ASU Holding enforced 10 yards from the ASU49 to the ASU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
5.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
4.9%
Noah Fifita run for 8 yds to the ASU 31Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
4.3%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ASU 31Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
4.3%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ASU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:4694% → 94%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
6.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 19 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
5.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 16 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
5.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
4.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
5.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:083% → 2%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-8
2.3%
Noah Fifita sacked by Elijah O'Neal for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:074% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
3.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 16 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
3.0%
Jeremiah Patterson run for no gain to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
2.8%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+8
2.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
2.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
2.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+9
2.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
3.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 28 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:4197% → 98%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
3.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+22
2.9%
Kyson Brown run for 22 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+38
2.8%
Kyson Brown run for 38 yds to the ARIZ 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
2.4%
Kyson Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 8Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
2.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 4Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.2%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
2.5%
Parker Lewis 21 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:383% → 2%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.5%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
2.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 12 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
2.3%
Kedrick Reescano run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
2.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
1.9%
Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
1.9%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:3398% → 99%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
1.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 13 yds to the ASU 32 Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordyn Tyson) to the ASU 22Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 7
OWN 22
+6
1.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 6 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+25
1.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 25 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
1.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
1.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 13 yds to the ARIZ 20 Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 18
OPP 41
+10
1.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 10 yds Melquan Stovall fumbled, recovered by ASU Melquan Stovall M. Stovall return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-7
1.5%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+7
0.9%
Sam Leavitt run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+31
0.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 31 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:191% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
Noah Fifita run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
0.4%
Noah Fifita sacked by Elijah O'Neal for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.5%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
0.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Coben Bourguet for 7 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
0.3%
Derek Eusebio 64 Yd pass from Trenton Bourguet (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
0.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tyler Powell for 9 yds to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
0.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 4 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+7
0.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Devin Hyatt for 7 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 19 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 41Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Cole Tannenbaum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-16
0.1%
Cole Tannenbaum pass intercepted Laterrance Welch return for 16 yds to the ASU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
50
+1
0.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
0.2%
Derek Eusebio run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 9
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 49Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ASU 48Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
0.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 45Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 yds, downed at the ASU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
0.1%
(01:59) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU8 (team loss of 1), clock 01:52.Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-1
0.1%
(01:17) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU7 (team loss of 1), clock 01:08.Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 12
OWN 7
-1
0.1%
(00:39) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:29
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q2 6:28
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q1 5:37
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com