ARDLINETry the model
AS

Arizona State 49 at Arizona 7

A
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Arizona Stadium
Win probability · A
modelA aheadAS aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAY
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:39 · (00:39) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:34.
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:58
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 28
0.0
Q1 14:26
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 6 yds to the ASU 34
-0.5
Q1 13:39
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:58
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 12:07
Cam Skattebo run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 44
-1.6
Q1 11:38
Cam Skattebo run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 10:58
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 23 yds to the ARIZ 3 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 10:15
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 2
0.0
Q1 9:32
Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick)
-10.5
Q1 9:31
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST down
+3.8
Q1 8:58
(08:58) MCMILLAN, Tetairoa pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUNTER, Chris thrown to the ASU25, clock 08:51. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Javan enforced 15 yards to the ASU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q1 8:49
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ASU 48
+1.2
Q1 8:11
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
+0.3
Q1 8:07
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
-0.2
Q1 7:59
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 34 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for 13 yds to the ASU 27
0.0
Q1 7:52
Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 32
-3.9
Q1 7:15
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 7:11
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 59 yds to the ARIZ 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:30
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 2
-0.8
Q1 5:43
Timeout Arizona State, clock 05:43
+0.3
Q1 5:37
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-5.9
Q1 5:36
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 26
+1.2
Q1 4:59
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 2 yds to the ARIZ 28
+0.1
Q1 4:22
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:33
Anthony Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 39
+0.2
Q1 3:05
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 41
0.0
Q1 2:28
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 1 yd to the ARIZ 42
0.0
Q1 1:44
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 58 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 1:36
Cam Skattebo run for 34 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q1 0:52
Sam Leavitt sacked by Taye Brown and Lance Keneley for a loss of 8 yards to the ASU 46
-0.4
Q1 0:08
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 47
0.0
Q2 14:59
Kyson Brown run for 27 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 14:12
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 13
-0.2
Q2 13:29
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-6.3
Q2 13:16
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the ASU 32
+2.0
Q2 12:40
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 12:37
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:33
Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ASU 37
0.0
Q2 12:32
Tyler Loop 55 Yard Field Goal Missed
0.0
Q2 12:28
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 41
-1.7
Q2 11:56
Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordyn Tyson) to the ASU 34
-0.1
Q2 11:08
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 31 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 10:44
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 30
-0.4
Q2 10:05
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 9:54
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 26
0.0
Q2 9:49
Timeout Arizona, clock 09:49
-0.3
Q2 9:11
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:30
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 22
0.0
Q2 7:54
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 11 yds to the ARIZ 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:12
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 3
0.0
Q2 6:28
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-0.9
Q2 6:26
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
+1.0
Q2 6:24
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 6:21
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 6:09
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 28
0.0
Q2 6:00
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 10 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q2 5:32
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 40
0.0
Q2 4:50
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the ASU 42
0.0
Q2 4:05
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 4:00
Kanyon Floyd punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 21
0.0
Q2 3:53
Quali Conley run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 29
+1.0
Q2 3:26
Quali Conley run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:49
Timeout Arizona State, clock 02:49
+0.1
Q2 2:48
Quali Conley run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 36
0.0
Q2 2:13
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 2:06
(02:06) FIFITA, Noah sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the ARIZ28 (O'NEAL, Elijah), clock 02:01. PENALTY ASU Holding on HUGHES, Martell declined ASU Face mask on O'NEAL, Elijah enforced 15 yards from the ARIZ36 to the ASU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Arizona, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:59
(01:59) FIFITA, Noah pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to REESCANO, Kedrick caught at the ASU48 and advanced to the ASU44 (CROOK, Jordan;WODTLY, Justin), clock 01:50. PENALTY ASU Holding enforced 10 yards from the ASU49 to the ASU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 1:46
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 1:44
Noah Fifita run for 8 yds to the ASU 31
0.0
Q2 1:33
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ASU 31
0.0
Q2 1:30
Timeout Arizona State, clock 01:30
0.0
Q2 1:29
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ASU 30
0.0
Q2 1:27
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 19 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q2 1:17
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 16 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:09
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 0:52
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:41
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-0.4
Q2 0:40
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 32
+1.2
Q2 0:32
Noah Fifita sacked by Elijah O'Neal for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 24
0.0
Q3 15:00
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 16 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 14:20
Jeremiah Patterson run for no gain to the ARIZ 41
+0.1
Q3 13:50
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 46
0.0
Q3 13:13
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:40
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ASU 40
-0.1
Q3 12:09
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 37
+0.1
Q3 11:32
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:53
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 28 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+0.1
Q3 10:52
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ASU 33
-1.0
Q3 10:16
Kyson Brown run for 22 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:39
Kyson Brown run for 38 yds to the ARIZ 7 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 8:51
Kyson Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 8
0.0
Q3 8:05
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 4
0.0
Q3 7:21
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:11
Parker Lewis 21 Yard Field Goal Missed
0.0
Q3 7:10
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 23
+0.9
Q3 6:39
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 12 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:00
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 5:59
Kedrick Reescano run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 42
0.0
Q3 5:25
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 43
0.0
Q3 4:36
Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 38
-0.1
Q3 4:32
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 19
0.0
Q3 4:28
Cam Skattebo run for 13 yds to the ASU 32 Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordyn Tyson) to the ASU 22
-0.9
Q3 3:59
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 6 yds to the ASU 28
-0.1
Q3 3:27
Cam Skattebo run for 25 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:46
Cam Skattebo run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:06
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 13 yds to the ARIZ 20 Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARIZ 41
0.0
Q3 1:34
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 10 yds Melquan Stovall fumbled, recovered by ASU Melquan Stovall M. Stovall return for 0 yds
0.0
Q3 0:48
Sam Leavitt sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 38
0.0
Q3 0:05
Sam Leavitt run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 31
0.0
Q4 14:55
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 31 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-0.2
Q4 14:54
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
+0.7
Q4 14:39
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 25
-0.3
Q4 14:02
Noah Fifita run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:28
Noah Fifita sacked by Elijah O'Neal for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 27
0.0
Q4 12:48
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 12:43
Timeout Arizona, clock 12:43
0.0
Q4 12:41
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 12:35
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 yds
-0.1
Q4 12:28
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 29
-0.5
Q4 11:51
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Coben Bourguet for 7 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:56
Derek Eusebio 64 Yd pass from Trenton Bourguet (Carston Kieffer Kick)
0.0
Q4 10:49
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
+0.2
Q4 10:42
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tyler Powell for 9 yds to the ARIZ 22
0.0
Q4 10:04
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 4 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:27
Kedrick Reescano run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 34
0.0
Q4 8:55
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 8:49
Noah Fifita pass complete to Devin Hyatt for 7 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:32
Kedrick Reescano run for 19 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:48
Kedrick Reescano run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 41
0.0
Q4 7:12
Cole Tannenbaum pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 7:07
Cole Tannenbaum pass intercepted Laterrance Welch return for 16 yds to the ASU 44
0.0
Q4 6:43
DeCarlos Brooks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.2
Q4 6:07
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 49
0.0
Q4 5:22
Derek Eusebio run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 47
0.0
Q4 4:38
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 4:24
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 49
+0.2
Q4 3:41
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ASU 48
0.0
Q4 2:59
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ASU 45
0.0
Q4 2:10
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 yds, downed at the ASU 9
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Arizona, clock 02:00
-0.2
Q4 1:59
(01:59) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU8 (team loss of 1), clock 01:52.
0.0
Q4 1:17
(01:17) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU7 (team loss of 1), clock 01:08.
0.0
Q4 0:39
(00:39) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:34.
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:32
Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick)
-10.5
TD · Q2 13:29
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q1 5:37
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com