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OKST

Oklahoma State 0 at Colorado 52

COLO
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:00 · Mark Vassett punt for 58 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 4 yds to the OKST 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+12.8Pregame prior+24.3Score differential+8.8Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:03: Micah Welch 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +0.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:47: LaJohntay Wester 10 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +2.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:09: Travis Hunter 11 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +3.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:02: LaJohntay Wester 69 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:50: Travis Hunter 8 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 9:35OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:52OKST 4th & 10 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:12COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:16OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:00COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:56OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:19COLO 4th & 25 at COLO 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:53OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:55COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:23OKST 4th & 1 at COLO 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:31COLO 4th & 15 at OKST 15, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:57OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:26OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:59OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 19, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:54COLO 4th & 4 at OKST 44, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:03COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:47COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:09COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:02COLO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:50COLO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:25COLO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:05COLO Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1INT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2116% → 17%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
83.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 12
OWN 22
-6
83.4%
Maealiuaki Smith sacked by Arden Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 16Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 18
OWN 16
-6
83.2%
Maealiuaki Smith pass intercepted Travis Hunter return for 6 yds to the OKST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:4283% → 84%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
83.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds to the OKST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
83.2%
Micah Welch run for 7 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.7%
Micah Welch 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0017% → 17%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
83.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 18Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-2
83.3%
Maealiuaki Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 16Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+12
83.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
83.3%
Wes Pahl punt for 37 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:3283% → 86%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 5 yds to the COLO 40Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
83.5%
Micah Welch run for 2 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
83.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
50
+6
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+17
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders run for 17 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
83.6%
Micah Welch run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-14
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Kendal Daniels for a loss of 14 yards to the OKST 43 Colorado Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shedeur Sanders) to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 26
OPP 43
+10
83.1%
Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Murphy, Malakai for 21 yards to the OKLAST22, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Black, Korie) 10 yards to the OKLAST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLO.Similar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
83.6%
Hunter, Travis pass sacked for loss of 16 yards to the OKLAST49 (Black, Korie), PENALTY OKLAST substitution infraction (TEAM) 5 yards to the OKLAST28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+14
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the OKST 28 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Wright) to the OKST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.6%
Micah Welch run for no gain to the OKST 14Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 4 yds to the OKST 10Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
86.1%
LaJohntay Wester 10 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:1115% → 15%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
85.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds Brennan Presley fumbled, forced by Carter Stoutmire, recovered by COLO Shilo SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5186% → 89%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
86.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 2 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+15
86.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 15 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
89.4%
Travis Hunter 11 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:0511% → 10%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
89.3%
Colorado Penalty, Defensive Offside (Shane Cokes) to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
89.2%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
50
0
89.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
50
0
89.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 10
50
0
89.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 10
50
0
89.9%
Hudson Kaak punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:2889% → 91%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
89.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the COLO 26 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Wright) to the COLO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
89.8%
Sanders, Shedeur pass incomplete, PENALTY COLO holding (Seaton, Jordan) 10 yards to the COLO31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+1
89.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 1 yd to the COLO 32Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+9
89.3%
Shedeur Sanders run for 9 yds to the COLO 41Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+4
90.8%
Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds to the COLO 45Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
90.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trey Rucker) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 1
50
-5
91.2%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Kareem Harden) to the COLO 45Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
91.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5210% → 9%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
91.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
91.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1192% → 92%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
91.6%
Micah Welch run for 1 yd to the COLO 24Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for no gain to the COLO 24Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+4
91.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 58 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 4 yds to the OKST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
91.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-2
91.9%
Maealiuaki Smith sacked by Keaten Wade and Chidozie Nwankwo for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 20Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+24
92.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 29 yds, downed at the OKST 49 Oklahoma State Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the OKST 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:5994% → 93%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-5
93.7%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Cash Cleveland) to the OKST 44Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-15
93.8%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by David Kabongo for a loss of 15 yards to the COLO 41Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 25
OWN 41
0
93.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for no gain to the COLO 41Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 25
OWN 41
0
93.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:168% → 7%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
92.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for no gain to the OKST 13Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
92.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 3 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
92.8%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
92.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:0594% → 95%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
94.5%
Micah Welch run for 5 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+39
94.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Hardge for 39 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
95.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Justin Kirkland for a loss of 8 yards to the OKST 18Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 0
OPP 18
-5
95.2%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Kendal Daniels for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 23Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 0
OPP 23
-11
95.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Iman Oates for a loss of 11 yards to the OKST 34Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 0
OPP 34
0
94.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:286% → 6%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-15
93.8%
Smith, Maealiuaki pass incomplete to Stribling, De'Zhaun, PENALTY OKLAST personal foul (Gordon II, Ollie) 15 yards to the OKLAST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 25
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 25
OWN 19
+6
94.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 19
OWN 25
+58
94.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 27 Colorado Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ivan Yates) to the COLO 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2595% → 95%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
95.3%
Micah Welch run for a loss of 6 yards to the COLO 11Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+9
95.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
95.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Drelon MillerSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+10
95.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 10 yds to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:206% → 6%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
94.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
93.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 7
OWN 48
-5
94.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the OKST 43Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
94.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COLO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:2096% → 96%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
95.6%
Micah Welch run for 12 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+27
95.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 27 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
95.8%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 11 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:3895% → 99%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the COLO 26Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Dallan HaydenSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
95.5%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the COLO 31Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
98.8%
LaJohntay Wester 69 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.9%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 6 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+7
99.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Maealiuaki Smith run for no gain to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.0%
Maealiuaki Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 25 Maealiuaki Smith fumbled, recovered by COLO Chidozie NwankwoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.1%
Isaiah Hardge run for 5 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
99.1%
Isaiah Hardge run for 3 yds to the OKST 17Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+9
99.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 9 yds to the OKST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Travis Hunter 8 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Smith, Maealiuaki pass incomplete to Shotomide-King, Ayo, PENALTY COLO offside 5 yards to the OKLAST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 5 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 18 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the COLO 49Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the COLO 49Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
99.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the COLO 43Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:24100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Micah Welch for 12 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.5%
Micah Welch run for 12 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the OKST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
99.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 13 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-15
99.6%
Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Wester, LaJohntay for 6 yards to the OKLAST0, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Sheppard, Will) 15 yards to the OKLAST21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 0
OPP 21
+10
99.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 10 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
99.6%
Micah Welch run for 4 yds to the OKST 7Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
99.6%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by DeSean Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the OKST 15Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
99.7%
Alejandro Mata 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Sesi Vailahi run for 1 yd to the OKST 32Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hardge at the COLO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25INT
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Micah Welch run for 3 yds to the COLO 25Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Micah Welch for 6 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 33 yds to the OKST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 6 yds to the OKST 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass intercepted Jeff Roberson return for no gain to the OKST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26INT TD
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-6
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKSTSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 16
OWN 2
-13
99.9%
DJ McKinney 13 Yd Interception Return (Cristiano Palazzo Kick)Similar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.8%
Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (DJ McKinney) to the COLO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-6
99.9%
Alan Bowman sacked by BJ Green II for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 24Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hardge at the COLO 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Charlie Offerdahl for 1 yd to the COLO 32Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+31
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 31 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+15
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Travis Hunter 23 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Camron HeardSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-4
99.9%
Alan Bowman run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Camron HeardSimilar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+17
100.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Hardge returns for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 4 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Staub pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the OKST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31END OF GAME
16 plays · 86 yds · 8:140% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+15
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 15 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+16
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 16 yds to the COLO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 12 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Sesi Vailahi run for 2 yds to the COLO 35Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
100.0%
Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the COLO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the COLO 21Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the COLO 21Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+7
100.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Kyler Pearson for 7 yds to the COLO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the COLO 13Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+10
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 10 yds to the COLO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
100.0%
Trent Howland run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 5Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the COLO 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:02
LaJohntay Wester 69 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
+3.3
TD · Q1 2:09
Travis Hunter 11 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
+3
TD · Q1 3:47
LaJohntay Wester 10 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com