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UCF

UCF 21 at West Virginia 31

WVU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:56 · Oliver Straw punt for 57 yds , Mac McWilliams returns for 12 yds to the UCF 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense+25.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.9Score differential+15.5Garbage-time factor+8.4Pregame prior−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Jahiem White run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +6.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +7.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +13.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:38: Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 45 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK) — UCF win probability +14.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:20: RJ Harvey run for 9 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK) — UCF win probability +7.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:08UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:41UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:28WVU 4th & 22 at WVU 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−4.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:28UCF 4th & 3 at WVU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−7.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:11WVU 4th & 3 at UCF 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:46UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:34WVU 4th & 1 at UCF 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−1.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:28UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:56WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 8 at UCF 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:15WVU 4th & 6 at UCF 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−6.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:48UCF 4th & 10 at midfield, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:08WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:38WVU 4th & 3 at UCF 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00WVU 4th & 9 at UCF 26, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:34WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:37UCF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:10WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:38UCF Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:20UCF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5253% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.2%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
47.2%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
47.4%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3447% → 50%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
47.4%
Garrett Greene sacked by Nyjalik Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+5
47.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+9
47.3%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
47.4%
UCF Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 5
50
+20
47.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 20 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
47.5%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+31
47.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 31 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2650% → 50%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
49.7%
RJ Harvey run for 28 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
49.2%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
49.2%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
49.2%
Dylan Rizk run for 11 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
49.0%
Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-13
50.1%
Dylan Rizk run for a loss of 13 yards to the WVU 34 Dylan Rizk fumbled, recovered by WVU Dontez Fagan D. Fagan return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:2152% → 61%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
51.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
51.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
52.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
51.9%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
51.8%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
52.1%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+7
54.1%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
54.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
54.2%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+5
53.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
54.2%
DONALDSON JR, CJ rush up the middle for no gain to the UCF17 (HUNTER, Lee). PENALTY UCF Offsides on BARR, Ethan enforced 5 yards from the UCF17 to the UCF12 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 5
OPP 12
+8
54.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
54.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 3Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.7%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0641% → 39%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.9%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
59.0%
Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
59.1%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 8 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.9%
RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
60.1%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
60.7%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
61.0%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 2:1362% → 62%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
61.9%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 16Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
61.7%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-13
61.2%
Garrett Greene sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the WVU 5 Garrett Greene fumbled, recovered by WVU Jahiem White , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 22
OWN 5
0
62.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UCF 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:5139% → 45%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
61.5%
RJ Harvey run for 22 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
60.5%
RJ Harvey run for 24 yds to the WVU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
59.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
59.6%
Jacurri Brown run for no gain to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+4
60.2%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 4 yds to the WVU 6Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+4
60.8%
Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the WVU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.9%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1961% → 61%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
60.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 5 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+2
60.3%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
61.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UCF 7Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
61.0%
UCF Penalty, False Start (RJ Harvey) to the UCF 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2539% → 36%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 13
OWN 4
0
61.0%
RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 4Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+15
61.3%
RIZK, Dylan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kobe broken up by HOLLIS JR, Garnett at the UCF50. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR, Garnett enforced 15 yards to the UCF19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
60.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 8 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
59.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-11
60.0%
UCF Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dylan Rizk) to the UCF 19Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 21
OWN 19
+11
61.1%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to RJ Harvey for 11 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
61.5%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
63.6%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
18 plays · 71 yds · 3:3163% → 78%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
62.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 11 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
64.7%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 39Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
63.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+26
61.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 26 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
65.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 16 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
65.0%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the right complete for -2 yards to GALLAGHER III, Rodney caught at the UCF22 and advanced to the UCF21 (ALEXANDER, Xe'ree;NIXON, Isaiah). PENALTY UCF Offsides on PACE, Deshawn enforced 5 yards from the UCF19 to the UCF14 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+1
65.0%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the UCF 13Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
68.6%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 1 yd to the UCF 12Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
67.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 10Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
67.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
70.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 12Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
77.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the UCF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:4579% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
78.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-5
78.5%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+15
77.7%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Justin thrown to the UCF9. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Chasen enforced 15 yards to the UCF37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
78.5%
Jahiem White run for 35 yds to the UCF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 1Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3610% → 8%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.0%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
89.3%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
89.4%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to RJ Harvey for 8 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
89.3%
Jacurri Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
90.0%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
90.2%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
92.2%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3293% → 94%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
93.1%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
92.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-1
92.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 20Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+12
94.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 57 yds , Mac McWilliams returns for 12 yds to the UCF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:187% → 22%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
92.6%
RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
92.6%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 17 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
92.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
91.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
77.6%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 45 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 8:2386% → 98%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.8%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
85.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
84.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
86.0%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.8%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
86.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 10 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
86.9%
Garrett Greene sacked by Mac McWilliams for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 41Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+2
86.6%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+4
94.7%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+13
94.2%
Garrett Greene run for 13 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
94.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 1 yd to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+1
94.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 1 yd to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+2
94.8%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
97.8%
Michael Hayes II 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:276% → 4%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.0%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
93.6%
HARVEY, RJ rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UCF35 (HOLLIS JR, Garnett). PENALTY UCF Holding on KIGHT, Amari enforced 10 yards from the UCF31 to the UCF21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+15
94.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 15 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+13
93.6%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
50
0
93.4%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
50
0
93.4%
Dylan Rizk run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 10
50
0
93.6%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 10
50
+5
95.6%
Dylan Rizk run for 5 yds to the WVU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.8%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+1
98.8%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 48Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 49 yds, downed at the UCF 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:483% → 12%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+23
96.9%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 23 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.7%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
96.7%
Dylan Rizk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+14
96.8%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 14 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
96.6%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 20 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
96.0%
RJ Harvey run for 14 yds to the WVU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.4%
RJ Harvey run for 9 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20END OF GAME
15 plays · 31 yds · 5:1997% → 99%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.6%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+3
97.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+10
97.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 10 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
98.5%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 30 Garrett Greene fumbled, recovered by WVU Garrett Greene G. Greene return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+4
98.6%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+18
98.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 18 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
98.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF10 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
98.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF11 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
98.8%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF13 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:38
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 45 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 12:10
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q4 5:20
RJ Harvey run for 9 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com