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ISU

Iowa State 31 at Utah 28

UTAH
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:18 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, downed at the ISU 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior−6.0Home team on offense−17.2Garbage-time factor−4.9Score differential−6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:05: Carson Hansen run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +5.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:02: Rocco Becht run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +12.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:41: David Washington 0 Yd Punt Return (Luke Bottari Pass to Caleb Lohner for Two-Point Conversion) — UTAH win probability +21.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:51: Micah Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +38.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:31: Carson Hansen run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +54.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:15ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52UTAH 4th & 4 at ISU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28ISU 4th & 2 at UTAH 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:55UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:11UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32UTAH 4th & 22 at ISU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29ISU 4th & 4 at UTAH 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:06UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:05ISU 4th & 6 at UTAH 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:02ISU 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−4.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−17.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:18UTAH 4th & 4 at ISU 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:41ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:28ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:17UTAH 4th & 13 at ISU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−10.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−15.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:52ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:53UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:05ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:02ISU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:41UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:51UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:31ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−4.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4470% → 70%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 4 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
30.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
30.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
30.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 57 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 7 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 4:0731% → 33%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+46
30.6%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Daidren Zipperer for 46 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
31.1%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
31.6%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
32.0%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the ISU 16Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
32.3%
Isaac Wilson run for 2 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-1
32.5%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 15Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+34
33.2%
Cole Becker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0067% → 68%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
32.9%
Rocco Becht run for 13 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
33.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
33.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
33.3%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
33.6%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 48Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
33.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+24
34.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 24 yds to the UTAH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
34.0%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the UTAH 19Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
34.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
34.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+10
35.5%
(05:17) KONRARDY, Kyle field goal attempt from 37 yards BLOCKED by LOHNER, Caleb [kick was spotted at UTES27] (TEAM), out of bounds, clock 05:12. PENALTY UTES Holding on TAFUNA, Junior enforced 10 yards from the UTES19 to the UTES9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
34.4%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the UTAH 5Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
34.7%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 7Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
32.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5733% → 33%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.2%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
33.4%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
33.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Daidren Zipperer for 5 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
33.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, downed at the ISU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5INT TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:5366% → 63%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
33.6%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
33.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 15 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
33.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 12 yds to the UTAH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
33.1%
Carson Hansen run for 15 yds to the UTAH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
32.7%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
32.8%
Jaylin Noel run for 5 yds to the UTAH 19Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
32.7%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the UTAH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
31.8%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the UTAH 16Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-87
36.9%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted Lander Barton return for 87 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4860% → 68%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.8%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 25Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
40.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
41.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
39.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 34Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
40.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+15
41.5%
Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (Connor O'Toole) to the UTAH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
37.3%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the UTAH 10Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
37.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 8Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
31.7%
Carson Hansen run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5434% → 33%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
34.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
34.4%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 32Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+52
33.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for no gain to the ISU 17 , returns for no gain to the ISU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
4 plays · -12 yds · 2:2338% → 38%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
37.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 20Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-5
37.5%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Jack Sadowsky V for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 25Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 18
OPP 25
-4
35.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 22
OPP 29
+47
37.7%
Cole Becker 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:0363% → 69%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
36.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 39 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
34.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+8
33.0%
Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the UTAH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
32.4%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the UTAH 20Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
32.4%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the UTAH 17Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
33.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
31.1%
Kyle Konrardy 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:1232% → 31%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
31.8%
Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaren Kump) to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 18
OWN 24
+6
31.1%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5436% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UTAH 25Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
36.3%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 23Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
35.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
34.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:5266% → 64%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
34.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+17
33.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
33.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 47Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+6
33.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 6 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+9
33.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
32.3%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
32.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
33.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
36.0%
Kyle Konrardy 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
37.7%
Isaac Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 23 Isaac Wilson fumbled, recovered by ISU Jack Sadowsky V J. Sadowsky V return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:5068% → 80%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
32.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 25Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+16
32.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.5%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the UTAH 9Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
32.4%
(06:45) BECHT, Rocco pass to the left incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden broken up by CALHOUN, Cameron at the UTES0, clock 06:40. PENALTY UTES Pass Interference on CALHOUN, Cameron enforced 7 yards to the UTES2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.6%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the UTAH 2Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.0%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the UTAH 1Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.9%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:4420% → 19%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
18.7%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
17.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Landen King for 18 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
19.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 6
50
+2
20.3%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
20.3%
Luke Bottari pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
18.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, downed at the ISU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2880% → 61%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
19.7%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 8Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+8
19.4%
Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
18.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
16.7%
Carson Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
17.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
17.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
39.3%
David Washington 0 Yd Punt Return (Luke Bottari Pass to Caleb Lohner for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0764% → 66%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
36.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+15
34.4%
(13:53) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the CYCLON45, clock 13:49. PENALTY UTES Pass Interference on CALHOUN, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the CYCLON38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
33.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
32.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 43Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
31.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+2
34.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 2 yds to the UTAH 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 6:2435% → 78%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
35.4%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 10Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+12
36.2%
Micah Bernard run for 12 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
36.6%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
36.2%
Zacharyus Williams run for 5 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
40.2%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+40
39.0%
Luke Bottari run for 40 yds to the ISU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
44.4%
Mike Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ISU 17Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+16
44.6%
Luke Bottari run for 16 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.5%
Luke Bottari run for no gain to the ISU 1Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.2%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2036% → 92%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.6%
Rocco Becht run for 8 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
61.7%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 34Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
63.8%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
66.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
50
0
62.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
50
+12
65.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
62.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+10
63.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+26
62.1%
Carson Hansen pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 26 yds to the UTAH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.2%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:1425% → 12%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.7%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Daidren Zipperer for 9 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
24.4%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Micah Bernard for 15 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
23.5%
Luke Bottari pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
22.3%
Luke Bottari pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
20.2%
Iowa State Penalty, Offsides (Kooper Ebel) to the ISU 46Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+13
24.1%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 13 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-9
31.1%
Utah Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Bottari) to the ISU 41Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+6
19.0%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Daidren Zipperer for 6 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
14.8%
Luke Bottari pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 13
OPP 36
+54
11.5%
Cole Becker 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.4%
(00:06) [NH] Kneel down by BECHT, Rocco at CYCLON36 (team loss of 0), clock 00:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:31
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
-54
TD · Q4 5:51
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
+38.7
TD · Q4 14:41
David Washington 0 Yd Punt Return (Luke Bottari Pass to Caleb Lohner for Two-Point Conversion)
+21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com