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TTU

Texas Tech 56 at Oklahoma State 48

OKST
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · (00:00) Kneel down by Texas Tech at OSU42 for loss of 1 yard.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:12: Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +17.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:19: Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +25.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:42: Tahj Brooks run for 40 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +25.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:37: Rodney Fields Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +32.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:12: Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +27.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:33OKST 4th & 21 at TTU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:14TTU 4th & 1 at OKST 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:35TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:17TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55OKST 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:23OKST 4th & 1 at TTU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−9.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:43TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:18OKST 4th & 12 at TTU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:52OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−10.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:09TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.0%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:42TTU 4th & 1 at OKST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−11.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−9.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:51OKST 4th & 2 at TTU 17, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−1.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:07TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:07TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:27TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:23OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:23OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:05TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:14OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:26TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:47OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:12TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:19OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:42TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:37OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 6:12TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 4:45TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 2:35OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0363% → 63%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
37.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 34 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
37.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 9 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
37.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
37.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
37.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 5 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+12
37.3%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren pass incomplete deep left to Tharp,Mason thrown to OSU00 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Rucker,Trey) 12 yards from OSU24 to OSU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
36.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:4637% → 37%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+24
37.1%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Rashod Owens for 24 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
37.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-13
37.3%
Maealiuaki Smith run for a loss of 13 yards to the OKST 39 Maealiuaki Smith fumbled, recovered by OKST Maealiuaki SmithSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 23
OWN 39
+26
37.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 26 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-19
37.7%
run for a loss of 19 yards to the OKST 46Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 29
OWN 46
-1
37.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 45Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 30
OWN 45
+9
37.0%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 9 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 21
OPP 46
0
36.9%
Hudson Kaak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 91 yds · 5:2863% → 68%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
37.1%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+15
37.2%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren pass incomplete short left to Eakin,Coy thrown to TTU22 PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (Brown,DeSean) 15 yards from TTU09 to TTU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
37.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-4
36.5%
Behren Morton sacked by Xavier Ross for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+9
36.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 9 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Tahj BrooksSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
36.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 5 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
36.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
50
+12
35.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-11
35.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Jeff Roberson for a loss of 11 yards to the OKST 49Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+12
36.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 12 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+8
36.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 8 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+16
36.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the OKST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
35.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Kelby Valsin for 5 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
31.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 8 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5234% → 32%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.5%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
32.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2868% → 69%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
31.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
31.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+6
31.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
31.2%
Jack Burgess punt for 53 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for no gain to the OKST 9Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
31.2%
Jack Burgess punt for 53 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for no gain to the OKST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:0632% → 37%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
31.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 6Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+20
31.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 20 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
31.9%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Maealiuaki pass incomplete short right to Heard,Camron thrown to OSU32 PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (Lux,Bralyn) 6 yards from OSU26 to OSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
37.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 68 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 2:4364% → 63%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
36.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
36.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
35.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
35.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
50
+1
35.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKST 49Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
35.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to J'Koby WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-6
35.3%
Behren Morton sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TTU 45Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
37.0%
Jack Burgess punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the OKST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:0437% → 38%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
36.8%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 23 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
38.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
37.5%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+4
37.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 2
50
0
37.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2264% → 65%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
36.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
35.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 37Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
35.1%
J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the TTU 38Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-20
35.0%
Behren Morton pass intercepted Parker Robertson return for 20 yds to the TTU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:4038% → 49%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
38.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the TTU 37Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
38.0%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the TTU 37Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+27
37.9%
Ollie Gordon II pass complete to Rashod Owens for 27 yds to the TTU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
39.2%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the TTU 5Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
39.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TTU 1Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Jake Schultz run for no gain to the TTU 1Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:3456% → 54%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
43.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
44.8%
Behren Morton run for 6 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
44.8%
PENALTY TTU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TTU33 to TTU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
45.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 38 for a 1ST down , Kyler Pearson returns for 6 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (John Curry) to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
45.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TTU 47 for a 1ST down , Kyler Pearson returns for 6 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST down Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (John Curry) to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1951% → 48%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
50.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
51.1%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
50.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the TTU 44Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-5
49.3%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TTU44 to TTU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
47.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 2:0754% → 72%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
46.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 9Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+9
46.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 9 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
45.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 15 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
44.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 3 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
43.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 4 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+21
42.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 21 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
40.4%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
40.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+14
41.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 14 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.1%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
39.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
27.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 25 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
34.1%
(00:00) Kneel down by Oklahoma St. at OSU37 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3433% → 53%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
33.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 22 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
35.8%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
36.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 33 yds to the TTU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
38.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the TTU 2Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:3755% → 72%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+25
45.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 25 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
42.5%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason TharpSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
43.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
43.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 7 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
42.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
42.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
42.3%
Behren Morton run for 5 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
27.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 32 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3332% → 55%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
32.3%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Maealiuaki pass incomplete deep right to Stribling,De'Zhaun thrown to TTU45 PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (Lux,Bralyn) 15 yards from OSU25 to OSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
34.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 35 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
37.6%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 1 yd to the TTU 24Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
37.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Camron Heard for 11 yds to the TTU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
55.1%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 13 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2059% → 74%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
41.3%
J'Koby Williams run for 3 yds to the OKST 15Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
41.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 3 yds to the OKST 12Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+5
43.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the OKST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
41.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKST 5Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
41.6%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
43.2%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren pass incomplete short right to Kelly,Josh thrown to OSU00 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Wright,Justin) 3 yards from OSU05 to OSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Spot of a foul". PLAY STANDS.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1332% → 33%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
31.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
32.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+10
35.2%
Trent Howland run for 10 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
35.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Rashod Owens for 17 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
37.5%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+4
35.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 4 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
33.0%
Logan Ward 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3473% → 74%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
27.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
27.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 7 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
25.5%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Morton,Behren pass incomplete short right to Conyers,Jalin thrown to TTU39 PENALTY TTU Holding (Rogers,Caleb) 10 yards from TTU36 to TTU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+1
27.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 1 yd to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+15
27.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 15 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
24.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 3 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-2
25.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:4133% → 54%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
33.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TTU 39Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
33.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Jake SchultzSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+12
32.7%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Maealiuaki pass incomplete short right to Schultz,Jake thrown to TTU27, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (Jordan,Brenden) 12 yards from TTU39 to TTU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
34.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
34.5%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 3 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+10
32.3%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Maealiuaki pass incomplete short middle to Presley,Brennan thrown to TTU20 QB hurried by Rodriguez,Jacob PENALTY TTU Holding (Horn,Maurion) 10 yards from TTU23 to TTU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
34.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 14Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
59.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
53.9%
PENALTY OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Stribling,De'Zhaun) 15 yards from OSU35 to OSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:1552% → 80%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
48.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 20 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
44.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
44.2%
Behren Morton run for 4 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
44.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 4 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+40
20.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 40 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5526% → 62%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
26.4%
Maealiuaki Smith sacked by James Hansen for a loss of 10 yards to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+30
23.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Rashod Owens for 30 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
29.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+22
29.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 7 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST down Texas Tech Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Bralyn Lux) to the TTU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
61.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0356% → 88%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
44.1%
Tahj Brooks pass complete to Coy Eakin for 17 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
43.5%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
42.6%
Tahj Brooks pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+12
43.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
39.7%
Tahj Brooks pass complete to Coy Eakin for 21 yds to the OKST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
39.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:0921% → 4%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
20.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
21.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
4.6%
Jacob Rodriguez 0 Yd Fumble Return (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
4.2%
PENALTY OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gordon II,Ollie) 15 yards from TTU35 to TTU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 1:494% → 11%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
3.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 18 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
3.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Rashod Owens for 16 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
4.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 10 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
4.4%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
4.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
4.0%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+7
3.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the TTU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
16.9%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds for a TD (Logan Ward PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
11.0%
PENALTY TTU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Horn,Maurion) 15 yards from OSU35 to OSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27PUNT
14 plays · 13 yds · 2:2293% → 96%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
6.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 9Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
4.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for no gain to the TTU 9Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+12
4.1%
Behren Morton run for 12 yds to the TTU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
3.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-3
3.4%
Behren Morton run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 20Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+3
3.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
3.8%
(00:22) Burgess,Jack punt 42 yards to the OSU35 Pearson,Kyler return 0 yards to the OSU35 (Valsin,Kelby) PENALTY OSU Personal Foul offsetting TTU Kick Catch Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
3.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the OKST 35Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
3.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the OKST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
4.3%
Maealiuaki Smith pass intercepted Jacob Rodriguez return for 9 yds to the OKST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
2.7%
(00:00) Kneel down by Texas Tech at OSU42 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:37
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
+32.3
TD · Q4 6:12
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
-27.3
TD · Q4 13:19
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
+25.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com