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BYU

BYU 23 at Arizona State 28

ASU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:34 · Sam Leavitt run for no gain to the BYU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+19.9Garbage-time factor+11.9Pregame prior+0.4Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Time remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:53: Cam Skattebo run for 23 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +13.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:49: Keelan Marion run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BYU win probability +8.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:06: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 61 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +8.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:43: Jojo Phillips 21 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Jake Retzlaff Pass to Darius Lassiter for Two-Point Conversion) — BYU win probability +12.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:44: Keelan Marion run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BYU win probability +25.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:29BYU 4th & 5 at ASU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:19BYU 4th & 16 at ASU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:31ASU 4th & 1 at BYU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−1.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:25BYU 4th & 8 at ASU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:28ASU 4th & 10 at BYU 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:34ASU 4th & 1 at BYU 11, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−4.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−15.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 6:41ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:29ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:53ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:49BYU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:06ASU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:43BYU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44BYU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.2 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.4%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:2441% → 41%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.4%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
59.4%
(14:23) PENALTY ASU Offside (Kongaika,Jacob) 5 yards from BYU26 to BYU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
59.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 18 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
59.2%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 9
50
0
59.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 9
50
+4
59.2%
Keelan Marion run for 4 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
59.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3960% → 63%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
59.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 16 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
60.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+6
60.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
60.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
60.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 10 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
60.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
60.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+5
60.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:0338% → 38%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.5%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
62.5%
Keelan Marion run for 6 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
62.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Mata'ava Ta'ase for 3 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
62.9%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+9
62.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 9 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
62.6%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete deep left to Phillips,Jojo thrown to ASU20 PENALTY ASU Roughing The Passer (Fiaseu,Zyrus) 15 yards from BYU48 to ASU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
62.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 38Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
62.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2564% → 66%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
64.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 41Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
65.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the ASU 43Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
65.0%
Melquan Stovall run for 1 yd to the ASU 44Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
64.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-12
65.9%
Sam Leavitt pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for 12 yds to the ASU 47Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
65.9%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (12 Yards) to the ASU 47Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
65.9%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:1036% → 34%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
64.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 12 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
63.3%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
64.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+15
65.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 15 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
63.4%
Hinckley Ropati run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 41Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
63.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-5
64.7%
PENALTY BYU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ASU41 to ASU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 16
OPP 46
0
65.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
66.1%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 6:4166% → 78%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
65.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+3
66.1%
Sam Leavitt run for 3 yds to the ASU 13Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+4
65.8%
Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+54
66.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 54 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
69.9%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the BYU 29 Cam Skattebo fumbled, recovered by ASU Cam SkatteboSimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
70.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
69.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
68.9%
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
70.8%
Sam Leavitt run for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+8
71.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 8 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.4%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:2878% → 91%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
50
+3
78.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+15
78.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 15 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
79.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+4
80.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+23
91.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 23 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
91.3%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Skattebo,Cam) 15 yards from ASU35 to ASU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 34 yds · 1:0012% → 18%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
88.4%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
88.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
88.6%
(01:06) PENALTY BYU False Start (Lassiter,Darius) 5 yards from BYU46 to BYU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+26
89.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Hinckley Ropati for 26 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
87.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Keyshaun Elliott for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 38Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
88.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+7
89.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds to the ASU 31Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
81.7%
Will Ferrin 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.8%
(00:22) Kneel down by Arizona St. at ASU23 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:3384% → 92%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
87.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
89.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the ASU 42Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
89.8%
(12:31) Shotgun Leavitt,Sam sacked for loss of 11 yards to the ASU31 (Hall,Miles) PENALTY BYU Holding (Collins,Marque) 10 yards from ASU42 to BYU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
90.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
90.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 9 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
91.1%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+25
91.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 25 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
91.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 3 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
92.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon MetayerSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.7%
BYU Penalty, Chop Block (Jakob Robinson) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 5:2110% → 19%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
90.4%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.6%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
91.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 7 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
91.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 6 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
91.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+7
91.3%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the ASU 43Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+12
91.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 12 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
91.1%
(04:09) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass complete short right to Lassiter,Darius caught at ASU25, for 7 yards to the ASU24 (Rowser,Myles; Robinson,Javan) PENALTY ASU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ASU31 to ASU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
90.9%
Keelan Marion run for 9 yds to the ASU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
91.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
91.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
82.7%
Keelan Marion run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.4%
Retzlaff,Jake pass attempt failed PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Alford,Xavion) 1 yard from ASU03 to ASU02. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3487% → 96%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 14 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
95.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 61 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:087% → 20%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
93.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 16 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+36
93.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 36 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
92.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
80.4%
Jojo Phillips 21 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Jake Retzlaff Pass to Darius Lassiter for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3287% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+26
87.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mory Bamba) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
88.4%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
88.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for no gain to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
88.1%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon MetayerSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
87.2%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:3813% → 40%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
86.6%
LJ Martin run for 13 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
87.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 24 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
84.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 6 yds to the ASU 45Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+18
84.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 18 yds to the ASU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
85.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
85.9%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short right to Lassiter,Darius thrown to ASU10 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Abney II,Keith) 15 yards from ASU27 to ASU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
85.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the ASU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the ASU 1Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.3%
Keelan Marion run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:5879% → 90%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.5%
Kyson Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 24Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+30
80.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 30 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
85.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 9 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-1
86.0%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+7
86.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
87.8%
Kyson Brown run for 6 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
88.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
88.6%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
89.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 9 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
89.8%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 1
OPP 11
0
90.3%
Sam Leavitt run for no gain to the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 1:1915% → 20%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
84.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 10 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
84.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 16 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
82.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
81.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 7 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
80.1%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Roberts,Chase thrown to ASU35 PENALTY ASU Holding (Simmons,Shamari) 10 yards from ASU49 to ASU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
78.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-62
79.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted Javan Robinson return for 62 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-64
79.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted Javan Robinson return for 64 yds to the BYU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · -42 yds · 0:5596% → 95%
Q4 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-26
96.1%
Sam Leavitt run for a loss of 26 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
-10
96.2%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 39
-5
95.2%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BYU39 to BYU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 44
-5
95.2%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BYU44 to BYU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 49
0
95.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:44
Keelan Marion run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-25
TD · Q2 1:53
Cam Skattebo run for 23 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
+13
TD · Q3 0:43
Jojo Phillips 21 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Jake Retzlaff Pass to Darius Lassiter for Two-Point Conversion)
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com