Try the model
BAY

Baylor 49 at West Virginia 35

WVU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:38 · Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 15 yds to the BAY 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Home team on offense−48.2Score differential−28.6Garbage-time factor−18.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.1One-score game+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:22: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 40 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +10.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:13: Bryson Washington run for 51 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +7.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:47: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +12.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +14.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:07: Bryson Washington run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +15.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:29WVU 4th & 6 at BAY 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:52BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:24WVU 4th & 5 at BAY 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:26WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 31, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:38BAY 4th & 12 at WVU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:14WVU 4th & 15 at BAY 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:09BAY 4th & 22 at BAY 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−5.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:32WVU 4th & 2 at BAY 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    33.6%−2.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−14.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:44BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:09WVU 4th & 6 at BAY 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:24BAY 4th & 2 at WVU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:38WVU 4th & 10 at BAY 19, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:55WVU 4th & 11 at BAY 11, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:34WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:10BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:07BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:04WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:22BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:13BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:47WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:47BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:00WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:07BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:24BAY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:55WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:2350% → 53%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
49.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 8 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
49.6%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
49.6%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
49.6%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.6%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 8
50
+20
49.6%
Jahiem White run for 20 yds to the BAY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
49.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 5 yds to the BAY 25Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
49.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the BAY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
49.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 15 yds to the BAY 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
49.6%
DONALDSON JR, CJ rush up the middle for no gain to the BAY4 (BOBBY, Devyn;LEMEAR, Devin). PENALTY WVU Holding on DAVIS, Treylan enforced 10 yards from the BAY4 to the BAY14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+11
49.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 11 yds to the BAY 3Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.2%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2448% → 50%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 5 yds to the BAY 30Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
52.3%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+23
52.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 23 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
51.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 10 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
51.7%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+7
51.6%
Bryson Washington run for 7 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
49.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 22 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3651% → 51%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
50.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 21 yds to the BAY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.7%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the BAY 49Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
51.6%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
51.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
51.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2249% → 55%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
51.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
50.6%
Bryson Washington run for 1 yd to the BAY 28Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+15
51.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 15 yds to the BAY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
50.2%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the BAY 46Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+11
50.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 11 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
45.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 43 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 4:5847% → 55%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
46.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
46.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+5
46.4%
Baylor Penalty, Offsides (Corey Gordon Jr.) to the WVU 23Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
46.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
47.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
47.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
47.2%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
47.1%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
46.8%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the BAY20. PENALTY BAY Holding on JOHNSON, Lorando enforced 11 yards from the WVU45 to the BAY44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
47.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the BAY 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+3
46.8%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the BAY 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+15
46.9%
GREENE, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon broken up by JENKINS, Caden at the BAY30. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on JENKINS, Caden enforced 15 yards to the BAY28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
48.2%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the BAY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
48.2%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the BAY 9Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
54.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0649% → 47%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
51.2%
Bryson Washington run for 1 yd to the BAY 29Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+5
51.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 5 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
51.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 3 yds to the BAY 37Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
51.8%
Baylor Penalty, False Start (Jackie Marshall) to the BAY 32Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
52.8%
Palmer Williams punt for 48 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the WVU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:2853% → 54%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
52.9%
Jahiem White run for 9 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
54.1%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
53.2%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
54.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 12 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
54.7%
Garrett Greene run for 12 yds to the BAY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
55.1%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+1
55.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 1 yd to the BAY 33Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-2
54.8%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 2 yards to the BAY 35Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
54.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:0250% → 62%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
50.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 12 yds to the BAY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
48.5%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 8 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
47.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
48.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
38.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 40 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5241% → 40%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
41.3%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
41.6%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
41.0%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
39.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:1364% → 72%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
36.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
28.3%
Bryson Washington run for 51 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:2632% → 45%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
31.8%
Garrett Greene run for 12 yds to the BAY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
32.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 6 yds to the BAY 23Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+23
45.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:5264% → 75%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
35.7%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 4 yds to the BAY 49Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
35.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+21
35.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 21 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
34.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 12 yds to the WVU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
32.6%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the WVU 8Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
24.9%
Bryson Washington run for 8 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:4728% → 42%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
27.9%
Garrett Greene run for 17 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
29.6%
Garrett Greene sacked by Jackie Marshall for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
27.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+44
27.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 44 yds to the BAY 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
31.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
30.2%
Garrett Greene run for 20 yds to the BAY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.8%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1763% → 64%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
37.5%
Bryson Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+12
37.7%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 12 yds to the BAY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
36.5%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the BAY 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
36.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+30
37.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 30 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
34.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
34.6%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-10
35.2%
ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass short to the right complete for 9 yards to WASHINGTON, Bryson caught at the WVU30 and advanced to the WVU24 (CARRICO, Reid). PENALTY BAY Holding on THOMAS, Keaton enforced 10 yards from the WVU33 to the WVU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+6
35.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 6 ydsSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 12
OPP 37
+55
36.2%
Isaiah Hankins 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2439% → 36%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
38.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 30 yds to the BAY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
43.0%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 4 yds to the BAY 29Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-4
43.0%
Garrett Greene sacked by Matt Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the BAY 33Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-5
40.6%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Brandon Yates) to the BAY 38Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 15
OPP 38
0
38.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
35.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:0564% → 65%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
35.7%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 5 yds to the BAY 19Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
35.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the BAY 23Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
35.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the BAY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
35.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 5 yds to the BAY 29Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-10
34.2%
ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass to the left complete for 1 yard to PENDERGRASS, Dawson caught at the BAY25 and advanced to the BAY30 (CARRICO, Reid). PENALTY BAY Holding on PRICE, Coleton enforced 10 yards from the BAY29 to the BAY19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
36.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 15
OWN 19
-7
36.8%
Sawyer Robertson sacked by Sean Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the BAY 12Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 22
OWN 12
0
35.4%
Palmer Williams punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:3740% → 37%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
40.2%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the BAY 44Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+15
40.4%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon broken up by JENKINS, Caden at the BAY10. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on JENKINS, Caden enforced 15 yards to the BAY29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
42.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the BAY 22Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
42.0%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the BAY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
42.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-3
42.0%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 3 yards to the BAY 20Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+11
37.8%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the BAY 9Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 2
OPP 9
0
36.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for no gain to the BAY 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4869% → 70%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
31.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 6 yds to the BAY 15Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
30.7%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the BAY 16Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+8
31.7%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 8 yds to the BAY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
30.3%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
27.7%
Sawyer Robertson run for 2 yds to the BAY 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
28.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+21
29.6%
Palmer Williams punt for 52 yds , Preston Fox returns for 21 yds to the WVU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:3533% → 32%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
32.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+21
31.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 21 yds to the BAY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
36.2%
Garrett Greene sacked by Keaton Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the BAY 42Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+3
33.9%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the BAY 39Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+4
34.3%
GREENE, Garrett pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to GALLAGHER III, Rodney to the BAY31 (GORDON JR., Corey). PENALTY BAY Offsides on LINTON, Steve enforced 4 yards from the BAY39 to the BAY35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
35.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
31.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:0275% → 94%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
24.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 7 yds to the BAY 42Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
23.0%
Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the BAY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
22.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Gavin Yates for 7 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
22.6%
ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Hal thrown to the WVU30. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on PRESTON, Mikey enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the WVU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
21.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
21.6%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+6
22.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 6 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
21.4%
Bryson Washington run for 8 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+7
21.3%
Bryson Washington run for 7 yds to the WVU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.2%
Bryson Washington run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:018% → 7%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
7.7%
Jahiem White run for 11 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
8.2%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 35Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
7.1%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Corey Gordon Jr. return for no gain to the WVU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:4294% → 99%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
5.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 13 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
5.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 7 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
5.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 2 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
5.8%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 2 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
5.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
5.7%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 8 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
5.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+15
0.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 15 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 2:291% → 3%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 8 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
1.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Ric'Darious Farmer for 16 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+20
1.3%
Garrett Greene run for 20 yds to the BAY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
1.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 4 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+8
1.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 8 yds to the BAY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
1.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
1.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
0.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+15
0.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 15 yds to the BAY 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
1.0%
Garrett Greene sacked by Treven Ma'ae for a loss of 7 yards to the BAY 11Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
0.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
0.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
2.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 11 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:5598% → 98%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
1.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at WVU48 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-2
1.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at WVU50 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:07
Bryson Washington run for 9 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q2 0:00
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q2 1:47
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
+12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com