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ASU

Arizona State 24 at Kansas State 14

KSU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:13 · (00:13) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:08.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:18: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 30 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +9.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:51: Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — KSU win probability +11.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:51: Cam Skattebo run for 11 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST down — ASU win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:26: Joe Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Tre Spivey for Two-Point Conversion) — KSU win probability +20.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:26: Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 29 — ASU win probability +10.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:02KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54ASU 4th & 7 at KSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:02KSU 4th & 6 at ASU 6, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:00ASU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:00KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 35, down 24
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:52ASU 4th & 12 at ASU 45, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:38ASU 4th & 13 at KSU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:05KSU 4th & 14 at ASU 45, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:05KSU 4th & 9 at ASU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:45ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:19ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:18ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:10ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:51KSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:26KSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3167% → 67%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
67.3%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 36Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
67.3%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Xavion Alford return for no gain to the KSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:5433% → 35%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
67.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 26 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
67.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
66.9%
Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
66.8%
(12:37) SKATTEBO, Cam rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the KSTATE18 (MOORE, Austin), clock 12:31. PENALTY KSTATE Holding on ILALIO, Damian enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the KSTATE16 to the KSTATE8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
66.6%
Kyson Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 11Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
66.5%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
65.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:1766% → 65%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.7%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 25Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 6 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
65.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 7 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
65.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 5 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
65.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
64.7%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the KSU 47Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
64.6%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5937% → 37%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
63.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 3 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
62.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
63.1%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5264% → 63%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.6%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 23Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
63.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
62.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
62.7%
Simon McClannan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:3137% → 51%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
62.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
61.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 42Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+6
61.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
61.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
60.4%
(02:54) LEAVITT, Sam scrambles to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the KSTATE48, out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, clock 02:45. PENALTY ASU Holding on IHEANACHOR, Max KSTATE Face mask on SIGLE, Marques , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+6
59.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
59.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 9 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
58.5%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
58.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
57.9%
Arizona State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+6
58.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
49.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 30 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:0956% → 55%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
55.9%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the ASU 43 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (Myles Rowser) to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
55.5%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+13
54.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 13 yds Jayce Brown fumbled, recovered by ASU Javan Robinson J. Robinson return for 12 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4652% → 62%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
47.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+13
47.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
45.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+16
45.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 16 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
44.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the KSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
43.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
37.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 16 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 7:0843% → 35%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.2%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
42.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 8 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
41.2%
(09:03) JOHNSON, Avery pass deep to the right complete for 63 yards to CEPHAS, Dante caught at the ASU31 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN KSTATE, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY KSTATE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LEINGANG, Andrew enforced 5 yards from the KSTATE37 to the KSTATE32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-1
40.2%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 31Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
39.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+25
39.1%
DJ Giddens run for 25 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
41.0%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 46Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+11
39.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 11 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+11
39.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 11 yds to the ASU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
39.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 5 yds to the ASU 19Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+14
38.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 14 yds to the ASU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
37.5%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the ASU 4Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
35.7%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 6Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
34.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the ASU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10END OF HALF
14 plays · 50 yds · 2:5374% → 85%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
26.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 19Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
25.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 24Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
21.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
21.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 17 yds to the ASU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
19.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
50
0
18.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
50
+12
19.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 12 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.5%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
17.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
16.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
16.9%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Desmond Purnell for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 32Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 15
OPP 32
-3
15.2%
Carston Kieffer run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 4:0081% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
19.4%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+41
20.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 41 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
18.3%
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the KSU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
18.0%
Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-5
18.7%
Arizona State Penalty, False Start (Max Iheanachor) to the KSU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
18.9%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
12.5%
Parker Lewis 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5115% → 12%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
14.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
14.1%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
13.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+8
12.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 55 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for 8 yds to the ASU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:2690% → 94%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
9.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
9.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 19Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+14
9.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 14 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
8.7%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the ASU 33Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
8.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
7.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
7.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 9 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
6.4%
Kyson Brown run for 6 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+17
5.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 17 yds Jordyn Tyson fumbled, recovered by KSU Jordan Riley J. Riley return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:238% → 19%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
7.8%
Arizona State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
7.9%
DJ Giddens run for 27 yds to the ASU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
8.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
8.2%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+19
7.6%
DJ Giddens run for 19 yds to the ASU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
18.8%
Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 4:5991% → 94%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
8.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 11 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
8.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
8.0%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the ASU 36Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
7.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.4%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
6.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 7
50
+5
5.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
6.2%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sam Leavitt) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 7
50
+5
5.9%
Kansas State Penalty, Offsides (Jacob Parrish) to the KSU 45Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
5.7%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sam Leavitt) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 7
50
-5
5.7%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kanyon Floyd) to the ASU 45Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
5.6%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:158% → 30%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+45
7.6%
DJ Giddens run for 45 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
8.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 26 yds to the ASU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
9.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 15 yds to the ASU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.0%
Joe Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Tre Spivey for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:4880% → 94%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
18.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 8 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
14.3%
(10:09) LEAVITT, Sam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TYSON, Jordyn broken up by PARRISH, Jacob at the KSTATE40, clock 10:03. PENALTY KSTATE Pass Interference on PARRISH, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the KSTATE48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
13.2%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 12
50
+12
12.7%
Sam Leavitt run for 12 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
11.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
10.8%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 35Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-10
10.4%
(07:00) LEAVITT, Sam pass to the right complete for 23 yards to STOVALL, Melquan caught at the KSTATE22 and advanced to the KSTATE12 (PARRISH, Jacob), clock 06:51. PENALTY ASU Holding on IHEANACHOR, Max enforced 10 yards from the KSTATE35 to the KSTATE45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+4
5.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
5.6%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 3:2712% → 7%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
12.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+8
11.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 8 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
11.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 23 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
12.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
13.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 5 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
12.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
12.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 6 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
12.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-10
10.4%
(03:22) JOHNSON, Avery scrambles to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ASU30, End of Play, clock 03:15 (After official review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY KSTATE Holding on HECHT, Sam enforced 10 yards from the ASU35 to the ASU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 14
OPP 45
+26
6.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 26 yds to the ASU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
10.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
10.4%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the ASU 18Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
8.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
7.3%
Chris Tennant 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:1497% → 97%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 21Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
2.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-1
2.6%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 22Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
2.7%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20INT
12 plays · 60 yds · 1:184% → 7%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
3.7%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
3.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
3.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
3.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 11 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
3.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 6 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+7
4.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 7 yds to the ASU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
4.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
4.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 7 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+14
5.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 14 yds to the ASU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.6%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted, touchback. Shamari Simmons return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
2.3%
(00:13) Kneel down by TEAM at ASU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:08.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:26
Joe Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Tre Spivey for Two-Point Conversion)
+20.7
TD · Q3 2:51
Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+11.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:26
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 29
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com