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UTAH

Utah 24 at Colorado 49

COLO
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:22 · Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the UTAH 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense+6.2Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:49: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +7.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:43: Isaiah Augustave run for 37 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:10: Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:58: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 47 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +6.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:34: Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 3 yds for a TD (S. Fano Run For Two-point Conversion) — UTAH win probability +7.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:08UTAH 4th & 14 at COLO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51COLO 4th & 5 at UTAH 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07COLO 4th & 24 at COLO 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:37UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:22COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:21UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 30, down 11
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:35UTAH 4th & 3 at COLO 16, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:13COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 34, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:22UTAH 4th & 9 at COLO 48, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:32COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 8, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:33COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 30, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:49UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:18UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 22, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:51COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:49COLO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:43COLO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:10UTAH Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:58COLO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:34UTAH Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:32COLO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:22COLO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-17
83.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass intercepted Lander Barton return for 17 yds to the COLO 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
9 plays · 7 yds · 4:3217% → 18%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
83.5%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the COLO 15Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-5
83.3%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 20Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+8
83.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 8 yds to the COLO 12Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
82.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 2 yds to the COLO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
82.6%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the COLO 6Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
82.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the COLO 3Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-11
82.2%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Arden Walker and BJ Green II for a loss of 11 yards to the COLO 14Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
82.2%
Cole Becker 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:0782% → 82%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
82.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for 13 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
82.1%
(09:27) AUGUSTAVE, Isaiah rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the UTAH40 (SNOWDEN, Smith;O'TOOLE, Connor), clock 09:23. PENALTY COLO Holding on SEATON, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the UTAH45 to the COLO45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-3
81.8%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Logan Fano for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 42Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 23
OWN 42
0
81.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+18
81.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 18 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+40
82.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 40 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5018% → 16%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
82.4%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 33 Micah Bernard fumbled, recovered by UTAH Micah Bernard M. Bernard return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
82.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 2 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
82.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+76
84.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 41 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 76 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5716% → 16%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
84.0%
Isaac Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 12Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
84.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
84.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
84.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 43 yds, downed at the COLO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1384% → 84%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
84.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 44Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+4
84.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the COLO 48Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
84.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
83.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4516% → 16%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
84.5%
Charlie Vincent run for 2 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
83.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+16
84.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 16 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the UTAH 38Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
83.7%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-21
83.7%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Travis Hunter return for 21 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -29 yds · 15:5384% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.6%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the COLO 37Similar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
84.6%
Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Travis Hunter) to the COLO 37Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
84.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-14
83.9%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Karene Reid for a loss of 14 yards to the COLO 23Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 24
OWN 23
0
83.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds , Dorian Singer returns for no gain to the UTAH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1116% → 15%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the UTAH 40Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
83.9%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
84.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
84.6%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0285% → 85%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
84.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the COLO 16Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
84.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+15
84.6%
(11:55) SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HUNTER, Travis thrown to the UTAH45, clock 11:44. PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference on VAUGHN, Zemaiah enforced 15 yards to the COLO31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.1%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
85.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
85.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
84.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the UTAH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2815% → 15%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
84.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+6
84.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
85.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, downed at the COLO 28Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
85.5%
(09:10) Direct snap to HARDGE, Isaiah rush to the right for a gain of 24 yards to the UTAH48 (JOHNSON, Tao), out of bounds, clock 09:03. PENALTY COLO Holding on MAYERS, Justin enforced 10 yards from the COLO28 to the COLO18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 20
OWN 18
-9
85.4%
(08:45) SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HUNTER, Travis thrown to the COLO35, clock 08:37. PENALTY COLO Holding on AUGUSTAVE, Isaiah enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the COLO18 to the COLO9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:1485% → 84%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 29
OWN 9
+6
84.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 15Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+12
84.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sav'ell Smalls for 12 yds to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-4
84.3%
Shedeur Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 23 Shedeur Sanders fumbled, recovered by UTAH Junior Tafuna J. Tafuna return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4017% → 18%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.2%
Isaac Wilson run for 3 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+4
83.4%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the COLO 16Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
82.3%
Cole Becker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 4:3983% → 90%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
82.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for no gain to the COLO 15Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
82.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the COLO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
83.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+3
82.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 3 yds to the COLO 30Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+10
82.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 10 yds to the COLO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
84.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 2 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
84.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 4 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
83.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
50
+14
84.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
84.2%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Alaka'i Gilman and Junior Tafuna for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+7
83.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 7 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
84.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+28
83.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 28 yds to the UTAH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:4412% → 15%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
88.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 16 yds to the COLO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 2 yds to the COLO 47Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+18
88.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Daidren Zipperer for 18 yds to the COLO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
85.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
85.1%
Cole Becker 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16INT
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:0014% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.4%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
86.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Munir McClain for 9 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
86.2%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Carsen Ryan) to the UTAH 31Similar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-2
86.6%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 17
OWN 29
-11
87.1%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Nikhai Hill-Green return for 11 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
95.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for 37 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:187% → 8%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
Mike Mitchell run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
92.7%
Mike Mitchell run for 1 yd to the UTAH 31Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
91.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 5 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
92.0%
Isaac Wilson run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+21
93.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Landen King for 21 yds to the COLO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
92.1%
Mike Mitchell run for 1 yd to the COLO 48Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
92.3%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
92.4%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
92.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4294% → 94%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
94.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the COLO 8Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
94.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
94.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+17
93.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 49 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 17 yds to the COLO 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
85.6%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3088% → 88%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
88.4%
Shedeur Sanders run for 8 yds to the COLO 23Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
88.6%
Isaiah Augustave run for 6 yds to the COLO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
88.8%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the COLO 29Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+1
88.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the COLO 30Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+11
88.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 60 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 11 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3112% → 11%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
88.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 6 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
87.4%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
89.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 49 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4491% → 98%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 4 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
90.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 8 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
91.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 5 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+13
91.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 13 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
91.7%
Dallan Hayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+47
97.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 47 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 5:244% → 12%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
95.6%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 23 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
95.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+9
96.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
95.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Munir McClain for 4 yds to the COLO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
96.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 25 yds to the COLO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
95.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 9 yds to the COLO 6Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
95.5%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the COLO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 3 yds for a TD (S. Fano Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:2792% → 94%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.4%
Shedeur Sanders run for 9 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
92.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the COLO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the COLO 43Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+12
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 12 yds Zacharyus Williams fumbled, recovered by UTAH Lander Barton L. Barton return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:5610% → 10%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
90.4%
Isaac Wilson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UTAH 37 Isaac Wilson fumbled, recovered by UTAH Isaac Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+21
92.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 21 yds to the COLO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
90.4%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted DJ McKinney return for 3 yds to the COLO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:2294% → 99%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for no gain to the COLO 37Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+49
94.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 49 yds to the UTAH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.3%
Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the UTAH 14Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
95.3%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Kahlil Benson) to the UTAH 19Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+15
95.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the UTAH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 4 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.2%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Tawfiq Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the UTAH 18Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+4
98.3%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-3
98.3%
Isaac Wilson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 19 Isaac Wilson fumbled, recovered by COLO Keaten Wade , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:5099% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the UTAH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Travis Hunter run for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Mike Mitchell run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Mike Mitchell run for no gain to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
Luke Bottari pass complete to Mike Mitchell for 5 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.6%
Mike Mitchell run for 3 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
99.6%
Mike Mitchell run for 13 yds to the COLO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:10
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q3 11:43
Isaiah Augustave run for 37 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q4 8:34
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 3 yds for a TD (S. Fano Run For Two-point Conversion)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com