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BYU

BYU 22 at Utah 21

UTAH
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:56 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense+13.2Pregame prior−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Garbage-time factor+5.6Score differential+1.3Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:09: Keelan Marion 96 Yd Kickoff Return (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +6.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 5:31: Brant Kuithe 1 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick) — UTAH win probability +8.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:46: Micah Bernard 7 Yd pass from Brandon Rose (Cole Becker Kick) — UTAH win probability +12.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:35: Jake Retzlaff 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — BYU win probability +27.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Will Ferrin 44 Yd Field Goal — BYU win probability +67.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:42UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:05BYU 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:22BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:29BYU 4th & 20 at BYU 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:46UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:35BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 20, down 11
    Close callPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:10BYU 4th & 10 at UTAH 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:33UTAH 4th & 6 at BYU 39, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%−1.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:40BYU 4th & 2 at UTAH 4, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−16.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:04UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−4.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:37BYU 4th & 21 at BYU 9, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−4.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:10UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 47, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:55BYU 4th & 18 at BYU 7, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−3.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−6.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:03BYU 4th & 11 at UTAH 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−34.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−40.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:24UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:09BYU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:31UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:46UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:35BYU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5339% → 39%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.7%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
38.8%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
39.0%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
39.1%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Smith Snowden) to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-3
39.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 56 yds , Parker Kingston returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:0161% → 59%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
39.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 14 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Crew WakleySimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
39.7%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
39.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Weylin Lapuaho) to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
40.0%
Chase Roberts run for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+5
40.1%
Utah Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keanu Tanuvasa) to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-5
39.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Mata'ava Ta'ase) to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-4
40.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Logan Fano and Van Fillinger for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+5
40.8%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
41.1%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the UTAH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:0041% → 41%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
40.9%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Brant Kuithe for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 15Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+5
40.8%
Rose, Brandon pass incomplete to Singer, Dorian, PENALTY BYU pass interference (Collins, Marque) 5 yards to the UTAH20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
41.1%
Micah Bernard run for 12 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.3%
Damien Alford pass intercepted Jakob Robinson return for no gain to the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:3759% → 59%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
40.8%
Keelan Marion run for 13 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
40.6%
Chase Roberts run for 6 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+9
40.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
40.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
40.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
41.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the UTAH 19Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+14
40.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 14 yds to the UTAH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for no gain to the UTAH 5Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q1 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
41.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
41.2%
Will Ferrin 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:1342% → 49%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
42.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+27
43.4%
Brandon Rose run for 27 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
44.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
44.8%
Brandon Rose run for 8 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
45.0%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
49.2%
Brant Kuithe 20 Yd pass from Brandon Rose (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:2942% → 54%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.4%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Brant Kuithe for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 23Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
42.4%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Munir McClainSimilar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+36
41.7%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 36 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
45.0%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
46.2%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+7
45.0%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
45.0%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+9
44.5%
Brandon Rose run for 9 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+8
43.4%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
44.7%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 7 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
45.0%
Brant Kuithe run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.5%
Brant Kuithe 1 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:3248% → 45%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
52.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 22 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
50.8%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
50.3%
Retzlaff, Jake pass incomplete to Phillips, Jojo, PENALTY UTAH offside (Fillinger, Van) 5 yards to the BYU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
49.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
53.3%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-2
55.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:1458% → 71%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
57.7%
Rose, Brandon pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UTAH47 (Glasker, Isaiah), PENALTY BYU face mask (Glasker, Isaiah) 15 yards to the BYU30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
58.2%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+14
58.2%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
58.4%
Rose, Brandon pass incomplete to McClain, Munir, PENALTY BYU personal foul (Bagnah, Isaiah) 8 yards to the BYU7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.0%
Micah Bernard 7 Yd pass from Brandon Rose (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10END OF HALF
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:3131% → 33%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
69.0%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+19
69.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 19 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
69.1%
Retzlaff, Jake pass incomplete to Martin, LJ, PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Tanuvasa, Keanu) 15 yards to the UTAH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
66.5%
Retzlaff, Jake pass incomplete to Roberts, Chase, PENALTY BYU holding (Hill, Keanu) 10 yards to the BYU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+12
69.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 12 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
67.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 10 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
66.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Bruce Mitchell) to the UTAH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:1632% → 27%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
67.9%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
72.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 15Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+60
72.7%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the UTAH 40 Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (Charlie Vincent) to the UTAH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3270% → 71%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
70.4%
Micah Bernard run for 12 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
72.0%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 38Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
72.8%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
72.0%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Munir McClainSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
71.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 49 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0427% → 25%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
72.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
73.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+7
74.1%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
75.1%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds, downed at the UTAH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0673% → 73%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
73.3%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
73.2%
Brandon Rose pass intercepted Crew Wakley return for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1028% → 30%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
71.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+39
72.4%
LJ Martin run for 39 yds to the UTAH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
69.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
70.0%
Sione I Moa run for 5 yds to the UTAH 10Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-5
71.6%
Retzlaff, Jake pass complete to Ropati, Hinckley for no gain to the UTAH10, PENALTY BYU illegal shift 5 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
74.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
70.4%
Will Ferrin 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:2573% → 81%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.3%
Brandon Rose run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
74.3%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
73.5%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 15 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
76.4%
Brandon Rose run for 4 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
79.3%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 5
50
+7
80.5%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 7 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.1%
Brandon Rose run for no gain to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
82.1%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+4
81.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
81.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 4:4719% → 47%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
81.4%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+19
81.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 19 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+27
81.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 27 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
78.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 32 yds to the UTAH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
76.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the UTAH 11Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+5
77.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the UTAH 6 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by BYU Jake RetzlaffSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+2
79.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the UTAH 4Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
81.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the UTAH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.2%
Jake Retzlaff 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1265% → 64%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
64.6%
Micah Bernard run for 16 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
67.5%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-4
68.5%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 41Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
65.8%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
64.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:2036% → 31%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
64.4%
Keelan Marion run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-10
66.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 9 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by BYU Bruce MitchellSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 21
OWN 9
0
69.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the UTAH 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0370% → 67%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
70.4%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
68.7%
Brandon Rose run for 2 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
68.5%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
67.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 47 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marque Collins) to the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0534% → 29%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
65.6%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+11
67.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 11 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
65.6%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Karene Reid for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-7
66.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Zemaiah Vaughn for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 18
OWN 7
0
69.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 18
OWN 7
0
71.2%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dorian Singer at the BYU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 2:3479% → 79%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
78.5%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
80.2%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-10
80.4%
Bernard, Micah rush for no gain to the BYU40, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 11
50
+4
78.6%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 7
OPP 46
-5
79.0%
Utah Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 49Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 12
OWN 49
-5
77.4%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Dijon Stanley) to the UTAH 44Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
79.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 1:4528% → 91%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
72.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
72.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
74.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+10
83.0%
Retzlaff, Jake pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BYU1 (Tafuna, Junior;Reid, Karene), PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the BYU19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
79.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+30
81.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 30 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
77.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 12 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
74.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 14 yds to the UTAH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
71.3%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+3
75.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+1
73.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
76.5%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
8.8%
Will Ferrin 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Will Ferrin 44 Yd Field Goal
-67.7
TD · Q4 12:35
Jake Retzlaff 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-27.9
TD · Q2 1:46
Micah Bernard 7 Yd pass from Brandon Rose (Cole Becker Kick)
+12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com