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COLO

Colorado 41 at Texas Tech 27

TTU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-4.9TTU 49.7%Alejandro Mata 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 13 · Q2 0:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:30 · Alejandro Mata 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense−0.3Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:00: Shedeur Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +13.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:52: Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +13.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:25: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +23.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:18: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 24 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +13.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:12: Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 21 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +17.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:18COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:04TTU 4th & 6 at COLO 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:05COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 26, down 10
    Close callPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:28TTU 4th & 16 at COLO 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:30COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:21COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:06TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:49TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:00COLO 4th & 6 at TTU 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.6%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30COLO 4th & 4 at TTU 8, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.5
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:04TTU 4th & 3 at COLO 35, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%−1.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:52TTU 4th & 1 at COLO 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−14.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:16TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 31, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:16TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 31, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:12TTU 4th & 9 at COLO 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:17COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:46COLO 4th & 2 at TTU 15, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−8.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:05COLO 4th & 22 at TTU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:09TTU 4th & 1 at COLO 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−6.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:50COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 10, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:09COLO 4th & 14 at TTU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:50TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:33COLO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:00COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:52TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:25COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:18COLO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:12TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−1.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:51COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:0440% → 40%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
39.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds to the COLO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
39.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the COLO 17Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
39.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
40.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 17 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:2860% → 58%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
40.3%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 9Similar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 15
OWN 9
-4
40.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 5 fumbled, recovered by COLO Shedeur Sanders S. Sanders return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+12
40.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 12 yds to the COLO 17Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+10
41.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 10 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
41.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 25Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-3
41.6%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Harvey Dyson III for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 22Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
42.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+51
42.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 51 yds , Jordan Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:0342% → 45%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
42.3%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 20Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+17
42.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 17 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
43.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the TTU 39Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
43.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+17
44.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 17 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
44.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
44.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the COLO 38Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+3
45.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the COLO 35Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
45.4%
Gino Garcia 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5555% → 54%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
45.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 5 yds to the COLO 22Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
45.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the COLO 26Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
45.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
46.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:3347% → 54%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
46.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 7
50
0
47.6%
(05:43) MORTON, Behren pass up the middle incomplete intended for KELLY, Josh thrown to the COL40, clock 05:42. PENALTY COL Offsides on OKUNLOLA, Samuel declined COL Pass Interference on HODGE, Preston enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the COL43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
47.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 44Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
48.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 2 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+27
48.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 27 yds to the COLO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
49.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the COLO 13Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-8
49.9%
Behren Morton sacked by BJ Green II for a loss of 8 yards to the COLO 21Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
49.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
54.4%
Gino Garcia 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5848% → 46%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
53.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
54.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 50 yds, downed at the TTU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2556% → 57%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
55.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
56.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
57.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
56.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2845% → 42%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
55.1%
Isaiah Augustave run for 13 yds to the COLO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
55.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 2 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-10
55.8%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jacob Rodriguez for a loss of 10 yards to the COLO 36Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+10
57.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 10 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
58.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 35 yds, downed at the TTU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0761% → 62%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
61.3%
Behren Morton run for 9 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-9
62.5%
Behren Morton sacked by Arden Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the TTU 19Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-5
62.1%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 14Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+1
62.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 15Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
62.3%
Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2840% → 51%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
59.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+19
60.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
60.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+8
59.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
60.2%
Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
49.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 23 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:4456% → 58%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
55.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
55.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
56.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 37Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
57.7%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 32Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+2
56.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+5
56.2%
Colorado Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the TTU 39Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
58.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
57.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 4:1342% → 50%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
57.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 17 yds to the COLO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
57.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 22 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
55.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
55.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
56.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-5
56.9%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 39Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+9
56.8%
Shedeur Sanders run for 9 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
53.5%
Shedeur Sanders run for 7 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+9
52.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 9 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
52.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
53.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
54.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
49.7%
Alejandro Mata 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1557% → 54%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
56.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the COLO 38Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
56.5%
Behren Morton run for 3 yds to the COLO 35Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
55.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+53
54.1%
Gino Garcia 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0047% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.7%
Shedeur Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 23Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
53.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
51.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the COLO 42Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+10
50.8%
(13:26) SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Drelon thrown to the TTU23, clock 13:16. PENALTY TTU Holding on MCCARTY, AJ enforced 10 yards from the COL42 to the TTU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
50.1%
Shedeur Sanders run for 12 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
50.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
49.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+15
50.8%
(12:06) SANDERS, Shedeur pass short to the left incomplete intended for WESTER, LaJohntay thrown to the TTU28, clock 12:02. PENALTY TTU Personal Foul on LEWIS, Chapman enforced 15 yards from the TTU32 to the TTU17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
49.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
49.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sav'ell Smalls for 10 yds to the TTU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
36.7%
Shedeur Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:0343% → 62%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
42.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+20
45.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 20 yds to the COLO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
46.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 9 yds to the COLO 33Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
46.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+11
46.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the COLO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
50.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the COLO 7Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
50.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 5 yds to the COLO 2Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
47.9%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the COLO 2Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
61.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:2240% → 68%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
60.0%
Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the COLO 22Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-1
60.7%
Drelon Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 21Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+10
61.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 10 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+7
61.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the COLO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
59.1%
Texas Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Bralyn Lux) to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
57.3%
(05:30) SANDERS, Shedeur pass to the right incomplete thrown to the TTU39, clock 05:28. PENALTY TTU Holding on BASKERVILLE, CJ enforced 10 yards from the TTU37 to the TTU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
55.6%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+17
55.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds to the TTU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0442% → 39%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
42.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-1
42.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 31Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
40.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
38.7%
Jason Llewellyn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
38.7%
Jason Llewellyn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:5068% → 83%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
31.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for a loss of 6 yards to the TTU 37Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+22
32.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 22 yds to the TTU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
30.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 1 yd to the TTU 14Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-10
30.5%
SANDERS, Shedeur pass to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Drelon thrown to the TTU0, clock 01:25. PENALTY COL Holding on HOUSTON, Phillip enforced 10 yards from the TTU14 to the TTU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 19
OPP 24
+24
16.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 24 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0024% → 20%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
23.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
23.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
24.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the COLO 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
24.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the COLO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
26.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Amari McNeill for a loss of 8 yards to the COLO 43Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+5
22.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 5 yds to the COLO 38Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+4
20.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 4 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 9
OPP 34
-11
19.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Keaten Wade and Amari McNeill for a loss of 11 yards to the COLO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5586% → 85%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
13.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the COLO 45Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
13.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
13.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 45
-5
14.4%
Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the COLO 40Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+13
14.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds , Jordan Brown returns for 13 yds to the TTU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:2719% → 20%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
18.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+18
18.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 18 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-12
19.7%
Behren Morton pass intercepted Nikhai Hill-Green return for 12 yds to the TTU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4989% → 96%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
11.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds to the TTU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
9.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the TTU 19Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
9.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
9.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the TTU 15Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
3.9%
Alejandro Mata 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:398% → 8%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
8.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
8.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+17
7.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 17 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
7.9%
Behren Morton sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the TTU 15 Behren Morton fumbled, recovered by COLO Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig) to the TTU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
2.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
2.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-8
3.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Trevon McAlpine for a loss of 8 yards to the TTU 38Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 17
OPP 38
-5
3.1%
Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 22
OPP 43
0
3.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:567% → 5%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
6.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 25 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
7.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+13
6.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the COLO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
6.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
6.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the COLO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
7.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
7.4%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the COLO 15Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
7.4%
(05:44) MORTON, Behren pass to the right incomplete thrown to the COL42, clock 05:46. PENALTY COL Roughing the Passer on OKUNLOLA, Samuel enforced 15 yards from the COL32 to the COL17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+8
7.1%
Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (DJ McKinney) to the COLO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
7.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 1 yd to the COLO 6Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
6.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 5 yds to the COLO 1Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
4.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1496% → 98%
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+7
4.1%
Dallan Hayden run for 7 yds to the COLO 11Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
4.1%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the COLO 4Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-1
2.0%
Dallan Hayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 10Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
2.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:323% → 21%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
3.4%
J'Koby Williams run for 6 yds to the COLO 37Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
3.6%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the COLO 35Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+13
3.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 13 yds to the COLO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
3.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Keaten Wade for a loss of 8 yards to the COLO 30Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 18
OPP 30
-5
3.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Dalton Merryman) to the COLO 35Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 23
OPP 35
+14
3.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 14 yds to the COLO 21Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
21.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 21 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:0596% → 97%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
4.3%
Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 15
50
+3
4.5%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
4.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 49Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+5
3.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 5 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
3.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 9
OPP 44
-5
2.9%
Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TTU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1212% → 1%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
11.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
1.2%
Shilo Sanders 6 Yd Fumble Return (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:411% → 2%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
1.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the COLO 47Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
1.5%
Behren Morton run for 8 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
1.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Peyton Morgan for 14 yds to the COLO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the COLO 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
1.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:25
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
-23.1
TD · Q4 2:12
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 21 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
+17.8
TD · Q3 11:00
Shedeur Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com