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OKST

Oklahoma State 13 at TCU 38

TCU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:39 · Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense+20.1Pregame prior+12.0Score differential+13.8Garbage-time factor+3.4Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:30: Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds for a TD — TCU win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:07: Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:24: Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OKST win probability +7.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:26: Cam Cook run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:52: Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +4.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:26TCU 4th & 10 at OKST 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03TCU 4th & 18 at OKST 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:19OKST 4th & 22 at OKST 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:19OKST 4th & 22 at OKST 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:39OKST 4th & 1 at TCU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:55TCU 4th & 2 at OKST 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:25OKST 4th & 2 at TCU 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:08OKST 4th & 9 at TCU 38, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:46TCU 4th & 3 at OKST 45, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:49TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:07TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:24OKST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:26TCU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:52OKST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:02TCU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:2575% → 75%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
75.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
75.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+15
75.2%
Trent Battle run for 15 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
75.3%
Savion Williams run for 1 yd to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+9
75.1%
Josh Hoover run for 9 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+25
75.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 25 yds to the OKST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
75.1%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
75.1%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Drake DabneySimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
75.0%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to DJ RogersSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
75.0%
Kyle Lemmermann 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5225% → 25%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
74.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
74.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-9
75.1%
Alan Bowman sacked by NaNa Osafo-Mensah for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 9Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
75.2%
Hudson Kaak punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0275% → 74%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
75.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 6 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
75.2%
Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
75.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 14 yds to the OKST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.1%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to JP RichardsonSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-8
75.1%
Josh Hoover sacked by Iman Oates for a loss of 8 yards to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 18
OPP 26
0
74.6%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+44
74.2%
Kyle Lemmermann 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:5425% → 27%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
74.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
74.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+7
74.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
73.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
73.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jake Schultz for no gain to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
73.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the TCU 37 Ollie Gordon II fumbled, recovered by TCU Abe CamaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:0474% → 78%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
74.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 12 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
74.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 8 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
74.7%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
74.4%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
74.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 9 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+14
74.5%
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the OKST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
77.6%
Cam Cook run for 18 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:2323% → 24%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
76.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+15
76.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 15 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
76.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+4
76.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
76.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
76.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
76.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
76.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
76.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:5378% → 88%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
77.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
78.6%
Savion Williams pass complete to Jordyn Bailey for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
78.6%
Savion Williams run for 5 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+10
78.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 10 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.8%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
78.8%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+15
78.5%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass incomplete deep right to Bech,Jack thrown to OSU11 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Black,Korie) 15 yards from OSU31 to OSU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.0%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
79.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
86.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.6%
Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the OKST 1Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Savion Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:5014% → 13%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
85.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
85.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
85.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-15
86.2%
(04:15) Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass complete short right to Presley,Brennan caught at OSU40, for 7 yards to the OSU42, out of bounds at OSU42 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Stribling,De'Zhaun) 15 yards from OSU35 to OSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+2
87.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 22
OWN 18
0
87.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 34Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 22
OWN 18
0
87.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 3:0789% → 94%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
88.7%
Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
88.6%
Josh Hoover run for no gain to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+21
87.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 21 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
88.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 1 yd to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+11
88.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 11 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
89.1%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short right to Richardson,JP caught at OSU37, for 10 yards to the OSU35 (Black,Korie) PENALTY TCU Holding (Brockermeyer,James) 10 yards from OSU45 to TCU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+5
89.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 15
50
+34
90.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 34 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
87.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 10 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
92.2%
A. Bowman takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:197% → 12%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
93.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 15 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
93.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
92.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
92.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
94.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
94.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
94.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
94.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 15 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
94.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.2%
(10:32) Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short right to Presley,Brennan thrown to TCU00 PENALTY TCU Holding (McIver Jr.,Jevon) 3 yards from TCU05 to TCU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:4593% → 99%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
93.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
93.8%
Trent Battle run for 3 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
93.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
94.0%
Trent Battle run for 3 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
94.2%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short right to Richardson,JP caught at OSU30, for 18 yards to the OSU28 (Robertson,Parker) PENALTY TCU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brockermeyer,James) 5 yards from OSU46 to TCU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+4
94.1%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+9
94.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 9 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+7
93.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
94.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 20 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
94.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 7 yds to the OKST 4Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
16 plays · 94 yds · 6:222% → 5%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
97.9%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+15
98.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
98.5%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
98.6%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
98.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 7 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 7
50
+7
98.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
98.9%
Trent Howland run for 12 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
98.8%
Trent Howland run for 10 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+11
99.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4097% → 99%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
96.9%
Savion Williams run for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.4%
Jordyn Bailey run for 59 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 4:441% → 0%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 4 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+18
98.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 18 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Trent Howland for 5 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Trent Howland for no gain to the OKST 44Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
99.2%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Camron HeardSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
99.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+2
99.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordyn Bailey for 10 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.7%
Jeremy Payne run for 5 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordyn BaileySimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Ethan Craw punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Parker Robertson at the OKST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OKST 17Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+31
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 31 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.7%
(03:33) Shotgun Smith,Maealiuaki pass incomplete short right to Foster,Tyler thrown to TCU32 PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Miterko,Taylor) 5 yards from TCU40 to TCU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incomplete to Ayo Shotomide-KingSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-5
99.6%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Glass,Isaia) 5 yards from TCU45 to TCU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 20
50
+28
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Camron Heard for 28 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 7 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-23
99.7%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-23 Yards) to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 26
OPP 38
+14
99.7%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 14 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+15
99.7%
TCU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Parker Clark for 6 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Franklin Estrada II run for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Franklin Estrada II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Franklin Estrada II run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:24
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-7
TD · Q2 7:30
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds for a TD
+6.7
TD · Q2 0:07
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com