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ISU

Iowa State 36 at Kansas 45

KU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · J. Daniels takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:43: Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +8.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:01: Tabor Allen 47 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +11.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Kyle Konrardy 38 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +9.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:06: Carson Hansen run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +8.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:03: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 27 yds for a TD Kansas Penalty, (2 Yards) to the KU 0 (R. Becht Run For Two-point Conversion) — ISU win probability +17.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:40KU 4th & 4 at ISU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:33ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:06ISU 4th & 4 at KU 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−6.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:47ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:01KU 4th & 12 at ISU 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ISU 4th & 1 at KU 20, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−2.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:06ISU 4th & 2 at KU 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−3.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:51KU 4th & 1 at ISU 12, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−1.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:46KU 4th & 6 at ISU 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.7
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:25ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:23KU 4th & 11 at KU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:02ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:13KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:19KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:32KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:43KU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:27KU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:06ISU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:03ISU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0842% → 43%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
41.8%
Devin Neal run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
50
0
42.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
50
+1
42.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KU 49Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+7
42.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
42.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 3:3157% → 59%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
42.6%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 5Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-2
42.7%
(12:04) PENALTY ISU False Start (Burkle,Gabe) 2 yards from ISU05 to ISU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+9
42.9%
Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
42.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
43.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 15 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
43.0%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Becht,Rocco pass incomplete deep left to Higgins,Jayden thrown to KU35 PENALTY KU Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 15 yards from ISU37 to KU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
42.7%
Carson Hansen run for 15 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
42.6%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
40.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 27 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:3741% → 44%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
41.2%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+70
43.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 70 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:4256% → 55%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.7%
Jaylin Noel run for 1 yd to the ISU 24Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
43.8%
Rocco Becht sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 22Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
44.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
43.7%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Burkle,Gabe) 5 yards from ISU38 to ISU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 15
OWN 33
-5
44.2%
(06:06) PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU33 to ISU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+8
44.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+2
44.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
44.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
45.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:5645% → 53%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
44.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds to the KU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
45.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+11
46.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 11 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
46.5%
Torry Locklin run for no gain to the KU 42Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+32
46.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 32 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
47.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
47.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 13 yds to the ISU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
53.1%
Devin Neal run for 13 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2749% → 47%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
51.3%
Rocco Becht sacked by Dean Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 17Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
51.6%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 17Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
52.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 9 yds to the ISU 26Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
53.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 51 yds , Trevor Wilson returns for 4 yds to the KU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:5553% → 65%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
53.0%
Iowa State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
54.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+22
55.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 22 yds to the ISU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
55.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-10
56.4%
(11:09) Shotgun Neal,Devin rush middle for 13 yards gain to the ISU01 (Goodwin,Beau; Patton,Jamison) PENALTY KU Holding (Brown,Logan) 10 yards from ISU14 to ISU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
56.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+24
64.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 24 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:1540% → 41%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.4%
Abu Sama III run for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
59.9%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ISU 42Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
60.3%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
61.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dominic Overby for 9 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.5%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+39
61.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 39 yds to the KU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
60.2%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the KU 4Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
60.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Stevo KlotzSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
61.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q2 7:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
59.1%
Kyle Konrardy 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:1261% → 73%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
61.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
61.2%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+62
61.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 62 yds to the ISU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
64.5%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the ISU 2Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4828% → 26%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.5%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
73.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Abu Sama IIISimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
73.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
74.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:4075% → 88%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
74.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 13 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
75.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 10 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
75.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
76.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 10 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
76.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
77.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
76.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
88.2%
Tabor Allen 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:5615% → 27%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
85.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 16 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
84.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
84.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+24
83.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 24 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
82.4%
Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+3
82.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+38
73.2%
Kyle Konrardy 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4121% → 19%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+13
79.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
50
+7
78.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 7 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
78.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 1 yd to the KU 42Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
79.0%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the KU 42Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
80.7%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the KU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:3287% → 98%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
87.3%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 1
50
+2
87.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Leyton CureSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
88.4%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the ISU 42Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
89.0%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
89.8%
(09:11) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass complete short left to Grimm,Luke caught at ISU33, for 5 yards to the ISU27 (Cooper,Jeremiah; Goodwin,Beau) PENALTY KU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Cabeldue,Bryce) 5 yards from ISU32 to ISU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+3
90.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+17
90.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 17 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.9%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the ISU 17Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
91.1%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the ISU 10Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
97.5%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:083% → 11%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
96.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 44 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
96.3%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+14
96.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 14 yds to the KU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
97.0%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
88.6%
Carson Hansen run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
88.6%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Brown,Carson) 5 yards from KU03 to KU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:5892% → 96%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.1%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for no gain to the KU 41Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
94.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 7 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
95.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 31 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
95.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
95.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the ISU 13Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
96.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the ISU 12Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
95.9%
Tabor Allen 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:415% → 22%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+20
95.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 20 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 5 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+28
95.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 28 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
78.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 27 yds for a TD Kansas Penalty, (2 Yards) to the KU 0 (R. Becht Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:0885% → 90%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
86.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 6 yds to the KU 42Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
86.9%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
90.1%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
90.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
90.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
89.9%
Damon Greaves punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ISU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19INT
1 play · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
90.6%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:249% → 7%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.3%
Rocco Becht run for 11 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.3%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-4
91.8%
Rocco Becht sacked by Caleb Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 32Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
92.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds , Trevor Wilson returns for no gain to the KU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5692% → 93%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
91.5%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
92.4%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 20Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
92.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the KU 15 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by ISU Luke GrimmSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
93.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:3710% → 11%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
89.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
91.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the KU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
89.4%
Jaylin Noel 18 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Rocco Becht Pass to Jayden Higgins for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3095% → 97%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
94.7%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
96.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
96.3%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
96.6%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
-1
96.5%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:03
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 27 yds for a TD Kansas Penalty, (2 Yards) to the KU 0 (R. Becht Run For Two-point Conversion)
-17
FG · Q2 1:01
Tabor Allen 47 yd FG GOOD
+11.6
FG · Q2 0:00
Kyle Konrardy 38 yd FG GOOD
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com