Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 31 at Cincinnati 24

CIN
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Nippert Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:51 · Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−8.6Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−1.9Pregame prior+4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:37: Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +9.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:29: Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +15.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:29: Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 80 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK) — CIN win probability +14.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:42: Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK) — CIN win probability +30.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 3:30: Tyrin Bradley Jr. 14 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Hayes II Kick) — WVU win probability +32.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:21WVU 4th & 4 at CIN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:06WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:31CIN 4th & 1 at WVU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−1.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:40WVU 4th & 6 at CIN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:44CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:05CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 24, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 24, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:11CIN 4th & 16 at CIN 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:24CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:01WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:16WVU 4th & 8 at CIN 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:36CIN 4th & 11 at WVU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:17CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:31WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:37WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:29WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:29CIN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:42CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:30WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:3542% → 42%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
58.2%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+14
58.2%
Jahiem White run for 14 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
58.2%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+14
58.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 14 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
58.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
58.2%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 40Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+8
58.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 8 yds to the CIN 32Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
58.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:0459% → 63%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
58.4%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 32Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+9
58.2%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
58.4%
West Virginia Penalty, Offsides (Jahiem White) to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
58.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
58.9%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
58.8%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+13
58.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 13 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
58.9%
Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+5
58.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
58.9%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the WVU 12Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
58.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+10
58.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 10 yds to the WVU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.1%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0638% → 37%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.0%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
62.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
62.0%
Nicco Marchiol run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
63.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4INT TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 5:3563% → 60%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
63.1%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+15
63.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 15 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
63.9%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
64.0%
Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
65.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 2 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+14
65.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 14 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
65.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-1
65.3%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+3
64.8%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the WVU 20Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-79
59.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Anthony Wilson Jr. return for 79 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:2459% → 58%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.8%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
59.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
58.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 37 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by WVU Kekoura Tarnue K. Tarnue return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:2744% → 46%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
55.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for 28 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
54.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 2 yds to the CIN 7Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
54.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the CIN 6Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
55.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
54.1%
Michael Hayes II 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5655% → 52%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.9%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 28Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
54.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
52.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds , Preston Fox returns for 9 yds to the WVU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0348% → 46%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
52.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
52.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
52.7%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
53.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 43 yds, downed at the CIN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3653% → 52%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
53.3%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 17Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+5
52.3%
West Virginia Penalty, Offsides (Tyrin Bradley Jr.) to the CIN 22Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
52.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+29
52.0%
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , Preston Fox returns for 29 yds to the CIN 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:2849% → 60%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
50.6%
Jahiem White run for 15 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
49.6%
Jahiem White run for 16 yds to the CIN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
40.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4242% → 39%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
41.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
41.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 20Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+4
40.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 4 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
39.2%
Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3162% → 62%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
38.2%
Rodney Gallagher III run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+5
38.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 6
50
-2
37.2%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 8
OWN 48
-2
38.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 43 yds , Jamoi Mayes returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:2536% → 37%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
36.0%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 8Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+16
35.9%
Corey Kiner run for 16 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
35.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
36.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 5 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+9
36.9%
Evan Pryor run for 9 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:4438% → 34%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
38.2%
Corey Kiner run for 16 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
39.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
39.9%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 39Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-9
38.5%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by T.J. Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 30Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+8
33.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds , Preston Fox returns for 8 yds to the WVU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:4265% → 82%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
34.6%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
34.6%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the CIN 47Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-5
35.0%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Milum) to the WVU 48Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+38
35.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 38 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
34.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the CIN 7Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 3
OPP 7
-1
34.0%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 8Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
18.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0521% → 19%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
21.3%
SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the right complete for 20 yards to PRYOR, Evan caught at the CIN45 and advanced to the CIN47 (SPELLS, Jacolby;FRENCH, Ty), out of bounds. PENALTY CIN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILDER, Phillip enforced 5 yards from the CIN27 to the CIN22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-1
21.0%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 21Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 16
OWN 21
-5
20.9%
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Tony Johnson) to the CIN 16Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 21
OWN 16
+11
20.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
20.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
19.0%
Mason Fletcher punt for 56 yds, downed at the WVU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17INT
6 plays · 61 yds · 3:4282% → 88%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
17.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 20Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
17.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+50
18.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 50 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
15.7%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
15.7%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the CIN 22Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
12.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass intercepted, touchback. Rodney Gallagher III return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
27.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 80 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:2373% → 72%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
27.5%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-1
27.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 24Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+1
28.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the WVU 25Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 yds, downed at the CIN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:1826% → 53%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
25.8%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
26.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
25.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 6 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
27.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+11
27.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
28.9%
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
28.9%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+17
28.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 17 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
22.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
22.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the WVU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
52.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1967% → 65%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
33.2%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the CIN 48Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-8
33.2%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Dontay Corleone and Rob Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the WVU 44Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+9
37.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for 9 yds to the CIN 47Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
34.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, downed at the CIN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:4642% → 10%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
42.1%
Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 13Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+2
42.4%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 15Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
40.6%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
43.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+1
44.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 25Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
42.2%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
9.7%
Tyrin Bradley Jr. 14 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Hayes II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 2:5410% → 12%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
9.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 8 yds to the CIN 33Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
10.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 14 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
11.5%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Sean Martin for a loss of 8 yards to the CIN 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+6
5.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+18
5.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 18 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
6.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 7 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
8.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
8.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+8
7.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+16
7.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 16 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
5.9%
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Xzavier Henderson) to the WVU 11Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
5.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
5.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
4.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
12.4%
Nathan Hawks 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
4.4%
[NH] Kneel down by MARCHIOL, Nicco at CIN49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:30
Tyrin Bradley Jr. 14 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Hayes II Kick)
-32.5
TD · Q4 9:42
Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)
+30
TD · Q3 8:29
Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com