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ASU

Arizona State 42 at Oklahoma State 21

OKST
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.2OKST 1.3%Sesi Vailahi run for 11 yds for a TD(Logan Ward KICK)AWAY 42 - HOME 21 · Q4 4:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:11 · Sesi Vailahi run for 11 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−45.1Score differential−28.7Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor−15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:48: Brennan Presley 1 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick) — OKST win probability +6.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:26: O. Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (L. Ward KICK) — ASU win probability +3.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +12.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:19: Kyson Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +12.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:12: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 36 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — ASU win probability +7.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:50OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:12ASU 4th & 3 at OKST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:40ASU 4th & 9 at OKST 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48OKST 4th & 1 at ASU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−7.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:18ASU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.6%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:28OKST 4th & 5 at ASU 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:23OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 37, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:51ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:23OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:28OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:06OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:23OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:16ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 38, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:21ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:48OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:19ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:12ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:22ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:11OKST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3761% → 61%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 27Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
39.2%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
39.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 12 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
39.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 37Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+11
39.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 11 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+29
39.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 29 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
39.7%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
38.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:3039% → 39%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
39.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
39.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
39.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
39.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 49Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-1
39.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
38.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
38.7%
Hudson Kaak punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:0861% → 62%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
38.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 12 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+29
38.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 29 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
37.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
37.5%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
37.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
37.9%
Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
37.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.1%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
37.2%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
37.8%
Parker Lewis 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:3238% → 39%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
38.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 6 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+7
38.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
39.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
38.5%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Javan Robinson return for no gain to the ASU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -35 yds · 0:5963% → 62%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
36.6%
Arizona State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ASU 33Similar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 25
OWN 33
0
37.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 25
OWN 33
-3
37.7%
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 30Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 28
OWN 30
-17
38.2%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 17 yards to the ASU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 45
OWN 13
0
38.5%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 40 yds, downed at the OKST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:0039% → 46%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
39.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ayo Shotomide-King for 13 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+36
39.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 36 yds to the ASU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
39.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ayo Shotomide-King for 3 yds to the ASU 1Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.5%
Brennan Presley 1 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2954% → 54%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 26Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
46.0%
Arizona State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ASU 21Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
46.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 11 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
46.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 9 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
44.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 42Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
45.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+8
46.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 1
50
+50
45.6%
S. Leavitt pass to C. Skattebo for 50 yds for a TD (P. Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4648% → 50%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
47.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
48.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
51.3%
Brennan Presley run for 5 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
51.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
51.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+6
49.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the ASU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
52.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 26 yds to the ASU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
52.7%
Brennan Presley run for 3 yds to the ASU 5Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
53.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the ASU 2Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.6%
O. Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (L. Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:0656% → 71%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.3%
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the ASU 27Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+30
45.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jake Smith for 30 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
41.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+6
41.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 6 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
40.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 9 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
40.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
39.3%
(01:59) LEAVITT, Sam pass to the left complete for 6 yards to TYSON, Jordyn caught at the OSU27 and advanced to the OSU16, out of bounds, clock 01:54. PENALTY ASU Holding on OMEIRE, Troy enforced 10 yards from the OSU22 to the OSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+8
40.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+3
39.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+11
40.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
38.9%
Jake Smith run for no gain to the OKST 10Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
38.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 9 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
33.5%
(00:02) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at OSU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2134% → 33%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
34.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
34.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
34.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
35.7%
Sesi Vailahi run for 2 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
34.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 37Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
33.1%
Wes Pahl punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jake Smith at the ASU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2768% → 70%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
32.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
31.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
31.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 1 yd to the ASU 32Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
31.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
29.1%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Kody Walterscheid for 0 yards to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
30.1%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Parker Robertson at the OKST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2132% → 30%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
31.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
30.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
29.6%
Wes Pahl punt for 31 yds, downed at the ASU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:0272% → 87%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.9%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
27.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 16 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
26.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
26.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+7
26.0%
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
25.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+24
25.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 24 yds to the OKST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
13.1%
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:2416% → 16%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
16.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
16.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
16.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 12 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
17.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
16.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
16.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
15.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:1486% → 97%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
14.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 6 yds to the ASU 18Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+12
13.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 12 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
12.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
13.1%
Arizona State Penalty, False Start (Leif Fautanu) to the ASU 25Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+10
13.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 10 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
12.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 8 yds to the ASU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
11.5%
Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
10.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Troy Omeire for 5 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
10.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 11 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
2.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 36 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
3.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
2.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
2.8%
Alan Bowman run for 4 yds to the OKST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:3798% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
2.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 14 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
2.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 19 yds to the OKST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.9%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the OKST 1Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.8%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the OKST 1Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.3%
Sesi Vailahi run for 1 yd to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Hudson Kaak punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.4%
Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
0.3%
Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+4
0.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 38Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+37
0.3%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 48 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 37 yds to the ASU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:460% → 1%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
0.2%
Trent Howland run for 11 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
0.2%
Maealiuaki Smith pass complete to Ayo Shotomide-King for 11 yds to the ASU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
0.2%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
0.2%
Maealiuaki Smith run for 5 yds to the ASU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.2%
Maealiuaki Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.2%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the ASU 11Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
1.3%
Sesi Vailahi run for 11 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:4099% → 100%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
0.9%
Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
0.8%
Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
0.8%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.5%
Kyson Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+16
0.5%
Kyson Brown run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+9
0.5%
Kyson Brown run for 9 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-1
0.4%
(00:28) [NH] Kneel down by LEAVITT, Sam at OSU42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q3 5:19
Kyson Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q4 14:12
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 36 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com