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TTU

Texas Tech 23 at Iowa State 22

ISU
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:03 · Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:51: Gino Garcia 44 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +2.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:04: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 20 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +6.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +21.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:11: Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ISU win probability +55.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TTU win probability +60.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 8:33ISU 4th & 10 at TTU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:51TTU 4th & 6 at ISU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:22ISU 4th & 2 at TTU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29TTU 4th & 21 at TTU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:25ISU 4th & 4 at TTU 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38TTU 4th & 19 at TTU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:36ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.9%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:52ISU 4th & 15 at TTU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:23ISU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−17.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:34TTU 4th & 6 at ISU 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.6%−4.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:21ISU 4th & 11 at TTU 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−5.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−8.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:43TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−7.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:29TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:16TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:04ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:56TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:11ISU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.7%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.3%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:20TTU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.5 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.1%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3918% → 19%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
82.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
82.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 4 yds to the TTU 37Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
82.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
82.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+17
82.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 17 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
81.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the ISU 35Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
81.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:4381% → 80%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.1%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offsides (Harvey Dyson III) to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+16
81.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
81.1%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 6
50
+7
80.9%
Carson Hansen run for 7 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
80.8%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+2
80.4%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
80.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 7 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the TTU 31Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
79.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
79.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
79.8%
Kyle Konrardy 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4220% → 25%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the TTU 25Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
79.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 17 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
79.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
78.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 2 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+14
78.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 14 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
77.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 5 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-15
77.3%
(05:15) MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left complete for 25 yards to EAKIN, Coy caught at the ISU1 and advanced to the ISU0, TOUCHDOWN TTU, score nullified by penalty, clock 05:11 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on EAKIN, Coy enforced 15 yards to the ISU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+4
77.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 4 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+10
77.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 10 yds to the ISU 26Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
75.1%
Gino Garcia 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:2975% → 72%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.6%
Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
74.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
74.7%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Jayden Higgins) to the ISU 38Similar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+6
74.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+24
73.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 24 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
74.6%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 35Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 13
OPP 35
-5
73.5%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 40Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 18
OPP 40
-4
72.9%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 39 Rocco Becht fumbled, recovered by ISU Rocco Becht R. Becht return for 5 ydsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 39
+15
72.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 15 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
72.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:5228% → 29%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
71.8%
Behren Morton sacked by J.R. Singleton for a loss of 6 yards to the TTU 18Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 16
OWN 18
-5
71.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Bralyn Lux) to the TTU 13Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 21
OWN 13
+4
71.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 4 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 17
OWN 17
-4
71.5%
Behren Morton sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TTU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
71.5%
Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:5772% → 72%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
71.7%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
71.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+28
71.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 28 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
72.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
72.2%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the TTU 19Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
71.1%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the TTU 19Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
72.4%
Kyle Konrardy 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4629% → 30%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
71.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
70.9%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 31Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+7
71.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 7 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
70.0%
Jack Burgess punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5671% → 74%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
70.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 17Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
70.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
73.2%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
73.8%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted A.J. McCarty return for no gain to the ISU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:4933% → 30%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
67.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
67.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-9
67.9%
Behren Morton sacked by Joey Petersen for a loss of 9 yards to the TTU 47Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
70.1%
Jack Burgess punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5672% → 70%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
72.0%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 10Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 15
OWN 10
-1
71.6%
Rocco Becht sacked by Jacob Rodriguez for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 9Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+8
70.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 8 yds to the ISU 17Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
69.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cameran Brown at the TTU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3330% → 30%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 25Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Behren Morton pass intercepted Darien Porter return for no gain to the ISU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2172% → 71%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
71.4%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
71.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
70.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cameran Brown at the TTU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:5227% → 27%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
73.3%
Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
72.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
73.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
72.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 12 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
70.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
71.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-2
73.4%
Behren Morton pass intercepted Myles Purchase return for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:2472% → 81%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
50
+14
72.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
72.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 16 yds to the TTU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
73.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
80.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 20 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FUMBLE
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:5075% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
77.2%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
77.5%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
76.6%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
75.3%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
77.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the TTU 48Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+18
76.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 18 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
77.7%
(10:43) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to HIGGINS, Jayden caught at the TTU27 and advanced to the TTU20 (LEWIS, Chapman), clock 10:37. PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HUFFORD, Jarrod enforced 5 yards from the TTU30 to the TTU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+6
76.8%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
77.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 7 yds to the TTU 22Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-10
76.8%
Iowa State Penalty, Illegal Block (Carson Brown) to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+18
75.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 18 yds Gabe Burkle fumbled, recovered by TTU Chapman Lewis C. Lewis return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1327% → 25%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
73.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 15Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-2
73.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 13Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
74.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
74.9%
Jack Burgess punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the TTU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4976% → 71%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
76.3%
Carson Hansen run for 14 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.5%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
76.3%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
75.1%
Rocco Becht sacked by Jacob Rodriguez for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 37Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
71.4%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 35 yds, downed at the TTU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 98 yds · 3:4828% → 58%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
72.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+3
72.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
71.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
72.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+15
72.9%
Iowa State Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Onyedim) to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
70.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
70.4%
Behren Morton run for 8 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
68.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
67.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+25
66.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 25 yds to the ISU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
64.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
63.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
42.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:3246% → 56%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
46.0%
Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
48.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
49.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
48.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
49.6%
(00:06) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the left complete for 20 yards to NOEL, Jaylin caught at the TTU32 and advanced to the TTU28 (LUX, Bralyn), clock 00:00. PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HUFFORD, Jarrod enforced 5 yards from the TTU48 to the ISU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+11
46.3%
Abu Sama III run for 11 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+15
49.2%
(14:30) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NOEL, Jaylin thrown to the TTU12, clock 14:26. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on JORDAN, Brenden enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the TTU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
51.3%
Abu Sama III run for 26 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
50.7%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Stevo Klotz) to the TTU 5Similar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.5%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the TTU 5Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
50.1%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the TTU 3Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
55.7%
Kyle Konrardy 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:4441% → 50%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
57.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
57.9%
Behren Morton run for 2 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
56.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
54.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 14 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
51.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
49.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the ISU 39Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
48.9%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the ISU 39Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-5
50.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ISU 44Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
50.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:0557% → 46%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
57.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
58.6%
Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
60.0%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
57.3%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the TTU 32Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
56.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-1
53.0%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+51
45.7%
Kyle Konrardy 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3455% → 51%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
45.0%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
44.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
47.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+13
49.3%
Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 13 yds to the ISU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:2035% → 91%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
34.7%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 36Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+23
34.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 23 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
38.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 13
OPP 44
0
34.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+44
90.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 1:4618% → 87%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
82.4%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Ty Buchanan) to the TTU 24Similar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+16
83.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 40Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
81.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
83.0%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Rogers) to the TTU 35Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+8
85.2%
Behren Morton run for 8 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+8
84.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
80.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 14 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
74.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
72.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+13
72.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 13 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
78.1%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Rogers) to the ISU 5Similar
Q4 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
13.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · -16 yds · 0:1628% → 13%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
28.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
14.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
12.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:20
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-60.5
TD · Q4 2:11
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+55.7
TD · Q3 1:56
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
-21.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com