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KSU

Kansas State 19 at Houston 24

HOU
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:50 · Simon McClannan punt for 40 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 12 yds to the HOU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior−9.5Home team on offense−9.5Garbage-time factor−3.8Score differential−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Donovan Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +4.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:48: DJ Giddens run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant PAT BLOCKED) — KSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:09: Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:58: Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +21.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 2:31: Zeon Chriss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +50.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:12KSU 4th & 4 at HOU 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:19HOU 4th & 14 at HOU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:19KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:11HOU 4th & 2 at KSU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:03KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37HOU 4th & 4 at KSU 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:32KSU 4th & 3 at HOU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−6.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:05HOU 4th & 15 at HOU 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:13KSU 4th & 6 at HOU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:21HOU 4th & 1 at KSU 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−5.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:53HOU 4th & 12 at HOU 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00KSU 4th & 16 at HOU 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−3.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−8.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 25, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:04KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 43, up 2
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:36HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 46, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:49KSU 4th & 13 at KSU 16, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−12.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45HOU 4th & 2 at KSU 46, up 5
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56HOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:48KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:09KSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:58HOU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:31HOU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:4875% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 3 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
25.2%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
25.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 6 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
25.7%
Dylan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 35Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
26.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 12 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
26.1%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the HOU 48Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
26.3%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
26.5%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+6
26.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 6 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
27.0%
DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the HOU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
27.0%
Houston Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (A.J. Haulcy) to the HOU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
27.0%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the HOU 5Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
27.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
27.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
27.5%
Chris Tennant 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:4828% → 28%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the HOU 25Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
27.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 10 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
28.7%
J'Marion Burnette run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 37Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-2
28.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 35Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-1
28.2%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 34Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
28.2%
Liam Dougherty punt for 49 yds, downed at the KSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:5271% → 69%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
29.2%
Dylan Edwards run for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 11Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 16
OWN 11
-1
29.6%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 10Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 17
OWN 10
-1
30.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 9Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
30.6%
Simon McClannan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:1631% → 36%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
30.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 1 yd to the HOU 48Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
31.0%
DJ Butler run for 5 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
31.3%
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+44
31.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 44 yds to the KSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.8%
Donovan Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4866% → 64%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
34.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
34.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 15Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
35.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+4
36.1%
Simon McClannan punt for 48 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 4 yds to the HOU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 5:1636% → 44%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
35.8%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for no gain to the HOU 41Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
35.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 6 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+33
36.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 33 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
38.3%
J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the KSU 18Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+8
38.8%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jonah Wilson for 8 yds to the KSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
39.4%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Austin Moore and Desmond Purnell for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 14Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+8
39.6%
Joseph Manjack IV pass complete to Zeon Chriss for 8 yds to the KSU 6Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
39.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the KSU 4Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
44.1%
Jack Martin 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
17 plays · 71 yds · 6:3857% → 64%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
43.3%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
43.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+10
44.6%
(07:50) JOHNSON, Avery pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GIDDENS, DJ thrown to the HOU36, clock 07:43. PENALTY HOU Holding on HAULCY, A.J. enforced 10 yards from the KSU33 to the KSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
43.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 3 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
43.2%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
50
+8
43.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 8 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
43.9%
Dylan Edwards run for 12 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
43.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
43.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the HOU 24Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+1
45.2%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the HOU 23Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+6
47.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 6 yds to the HOU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
44.6%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HOU 22Similar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+5
45.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 5 yds to the HOU 17Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
45.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the HOU 14Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+12
45.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 12 yds to the HOU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.1%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:0343% → 47%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
43.1%
DJ Butler run for 28 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
46.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to DJ Butler for 4 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-12
46.7%
Zeon Chriss sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the HOU 48 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by KSU Desmond Purnell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:2862% → 77%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
38.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 26 yds to the HOU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
36.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
37.2%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the HOU 21Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+14
38.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 14 yds to the HOU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
23.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
27.8%
(00:09) [NH] Kneel down by CHRISS, Zeon at HOU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:04.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5430% → 29%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.3%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 29Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
30.7%
Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the HOU 29Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
29.9%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Jordan Riley for a loss of 9 yards to the HOU 20Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+33
28.5%
Liam Dougherty punt for 33 yds , Ty Bowman returns for no gain to the KSU 38 , returns for no gain to the KSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:4674% → 73%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
26.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 13 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
25.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the HOU 45Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+6
25.8%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
25.7%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the HOU 39Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
25.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 9 yds to the HOU 30Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-5
25.9%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 35Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-10
26.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the HOU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5133% → 31%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
33.4%
DJ Butler run for no gain to the HOU 45Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
32.3%
DJ Butler run for 1 yd to the HOU 46Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+8
29.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 8 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-1
31.1%
Donovan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2776% → 72%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
24.3%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
24.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-4
24.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 45Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+12
28.5%
Simon McClannan punt for 40 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 12 yds to the HOU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:4829% → 27%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
29.2%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 12 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
30.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 42Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
31.7%
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
33.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 46Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
29.7%
DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the HOU 48Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+1
28.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 1 yd to the HOU 49Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
27.2%
Liam Dougherty punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:5075% → 80%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+61
25.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 61 yds to the HOU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
20.7%
(01:15) GIDDENS, DJ rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the HOU20 (MACK, Brandon), out of bounds, clock 01:11. PENALTY KSU Illegal Block in the Back on JOHNSON, Keagan enforced 10 yards from the HOU23 to the HOU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+4
20.9%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the HOU 29Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 16
OPP 29
0
21.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 16
OPP 29
0
22.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 29
+47
20.0%
Chris Tennant 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5019% → 17%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.7%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 6 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
19.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 28Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
17.8%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 25Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
16.7%
Liam Dougherty punt for 65 yds, downed at the KSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:2580% → 80%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
19.9%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 12Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-18
20.2%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Jeremiah Wilson return for 18 yds to the KSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:1822% → 44%
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
22.4%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the KSU 6Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
22.4%
DJ Butler run for 5 yds to the KSU 1Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5465% → 64%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.8%
Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
33.6%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
33.5%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
32.3%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
32.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 2 yds DJ Giddens fumbled, recovered by KSUSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
35.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:2940% → 34%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
39.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
40.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
40.8%
(06:48) QB Keeper CHRISS, Zeon rush up the middle for no gain to the HOU37 (ILALIO, Damian), clock 06:43. PENALTY KSU Offsides on MOORE, Austin enforced 5 yards from the HOU37 to the HOU42 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
43.0%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 45Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
43.7%
Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the HOU 45Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
39.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the HOU 46Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
33.9%
Liam Dougherty punt for 35 yds, downed at the KSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4871% → 60%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
28.6%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 18Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
28.2%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 18Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+3
28.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 3 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 8
OWN 21
-5
29.9%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Ty Bowman) to the KSU 16Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
29.9%
Simon McClannan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 44Similar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
39.9%
(02:43) CHRISS, Zeon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WILSON, Jonah thrown to the KSU32, clock 02:38. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on GARBER, Keenan enforced 15 yards to the KSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
90.3%
Zeon Chriss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:3825% → 27%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
74.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
70.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
72.0%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
73.1%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Michael Batton return for no gain to the HOU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5694% → 89%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
94.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
89.8%
Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the HOU 49Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
87.7%
Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+13
88.6%
Liam Dougherty punt for 45 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 13 yds to the KSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:3525% → 35%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
74.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
74.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 11 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
75.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 17 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+19
71.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 19 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
65.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
65.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:31
Zeon Chriss run for 41 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
+50.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+34.7
TD · Q4 10:58
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
+21.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com