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TTU

Texas Tech 34 at TCU 35

TCU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Will Hammond pass complete to Josh Kelly for a loss of 5 yards Josh Kelly fumbled, recovered by TTU Caleb Douglas Jordan Brown fumbled, recovered by TCU Caleb Fox
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:21: Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 13 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK) — TTU win probability +13.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:33: Will Hammond run for 4 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +14.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:07: Jeremy Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +13.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:42: Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +23.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 84 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +35.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 7:55TTU 4th & 6 at TCU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:45TTU 4th & 6 at TCU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10TTU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 11
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:09TTU 4th & 4 at TCU 4, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:34TCU 4th & 20 at TCU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:49TCU 4th & 2 at TTU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−1.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:17TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:07TTU 4th & 12 at TCU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:36TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:36TTU 4th & 14 at TCU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:13TTU 4th & 3 at TCU 6, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−1.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:46TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−4.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:41TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−3.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−5.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:29TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−4.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:48TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:31TCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:44TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:21TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:33TTU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:07TCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:42TCU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:10TCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0262% → 64%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.9%
Savion Williams run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.9%
Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
62.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 6 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
62.1%
Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
62.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 8 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
62.3%
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
62.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 8 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+35
63.8%
Savion Williams run for 35 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3937% → 36%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
63.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for no gain to the TTU 18Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
63.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 9 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
63.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
63.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 18 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
63.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
63.3%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Tahj BrooksSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+1
63.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 1 yd to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
64.2%
Jack Burgess punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:4864% → 65%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
64.3%
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+3
64.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 3 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+13
64.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 13 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
64.8%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
64.8%
Trent Battle run for 1 yd to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-7
64.7%
Josh Hoover sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 16Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 16
OWN 16
+5
64.5%
(05:16) Craw,Ethan punt 32 yards to the TCU48 PENALTY TTU Running Into The Kicker (Low,Trent) 5 yards from TCU16 to TCU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
64.5%
Ethan Craw punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0336% → 38%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
64.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 1 yd to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
64.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+9
64.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 9 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
63.7%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
63.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
64.3%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
62.5%
Gino Garcia 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
67.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1033% → 32%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
67.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+9
67.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 9 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 45Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
67.6%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Johncarlos Miller IISimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
68.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 5
50
0
68.3%
Jack Burgess punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-7
68.8%
Josh Hoover sacked by Harvey Dyson III for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 4 Josh Hoover fumbled, recovered by TTU Harvey Dyson III , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4733% → 38%
Q2 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
66.8%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 4Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
66.9%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Micah HudsonSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.7%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
62.4%
Reese Burkhardt run for 4 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:2763% → 62%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
63.3%
(13:07) Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short left to Williams,Savion caught at TCU21, for 20 yards to the TCU45 (Lewis,Chapman; Rodriguez,Jacob) PENALTY TCU Holding (Dabney,Drake) 10 yards from TCU25 to TCU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
63.1%
Savion Williams run for 3 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
63.0%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-3
62.3%
Josh Hoover sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
61.8%
Ethan Craw punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:4238% → 45%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
61.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+44
60.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 44 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:4758% → 58%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.5%
Jeremy Payne run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
58.8%
Jeremy Payne run for 7 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
58.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 12 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.4%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to DJ RogersSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
59.2%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+8
57.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 8 yds to the TTU 39Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+2
58.1%
Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the TTU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2145% → 44%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
55.3%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TTU 42Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
54.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 43Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
54.8%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
56.3%
Jack Burgess punt for 41 yds , JP Richardson returns for no gain to the TCU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2456% → 55%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
55.5%
Josh Hoover run for 12 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.7%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to JP RichardsonSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
55.3%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2948% → 44%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
52.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-5
51.9%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Porcher,Sterling) 5 yards from TCU27 to TCU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
52.2%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
53.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+50
55.8%
Reese Burkhardt 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2255% → 54%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Savion Williams run for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
54.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 5 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
54.7%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Blake NowellSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
53.9%
Ethan Craw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 2:5546% → 47%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
54.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
53.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 5 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-5
53.4%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Buchanan,Ty) 5 yards from TTU33 to TTU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+25
53.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 25 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
49.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Tahj BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
49.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
48.4%
Behren Morton run for 1 yd to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
48.0%
Behren Morton pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-5
48.7%
Behren Morton sacked by Zachary Chapman for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
52.6%
Jack Burgess punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3253% → 52%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
53.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
53.9%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
52.3%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short right to Williams,Savion caught at TCU30, for 6 yards to the TCU33 (Stevenson,Marquez) PENALTY TCU Illegal Shift 5 yards from TCU27 to TCU22. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:2148% → 63%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 22Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
52.5%
Will Hammond pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+12
52.1%
Will Hammond run for 12 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
49.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+36
49.0%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 36 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
35.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 13 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)Similar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
37.3%
PENALTY TCU Roughing The Passer (Camara,Abe) 15 yards from TTU35 to TTU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0438% → 36%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
37.9%
Josh Hoover run for 4 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
37.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 1 yd to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
36.4%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:2765% → 83%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
50
0
35.3%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
50
+5
35.0%
J'Koby Williams run for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
35.0%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 6 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
34.3%
Will Hammond run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+13
34.0%
J'Koby Williams run for 13 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
33.1%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 7 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
32.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
31.5%
Coy Eakin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
31.3%
Will Hammond pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
16.8%
Will Hammond run for 4 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1220% → 34%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.3%
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
20.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
19.6%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass incomplete short right to Williams,Savion thrown to TCU45 PENALTY TTU Face Mask (Jordan,Brenden) 15 yards from TCU27 to TCU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.4%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+19
20.9%
Cam Cook run for 19 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
21.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 12 yds to the TTU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
22.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 6 yds to the TTU 21Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
21.7%
Savion Williams run for 3 yds to the TTU 18Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+17
20.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 17 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.2%
Jeremy Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 6:3971% → 90%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
28.7%
J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the TTU 22Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+5
28.5%
J'Koby Williams run for 5 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
27.9%
J'Koby Williams run for 5 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
27.1%
J'Koby Williams run for 3 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+13
26.4%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
24.3%
Will Hammond run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
23.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
24.1%
PENALTY TTU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TCU42 to TCU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+5
24.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+29
23.3%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 29 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
22.1%
Will Hammond sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+1
19.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+8
19.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
10.4%
Gino Garcia 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2519% → 43%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
19.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
19.3%
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
17.5%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Taylor-Whitfield,Ben) 5 yards from TCU39 to TCU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+52
16.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 52 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
20.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 4 yds to the TTU 10Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+7
19.4%
Savion Williams run for 7 yds to the TTU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
19.1%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short right to Bech,Jack caught at TTU00, for 3 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:48 PENALTY TCU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Rogers,DJ) 5 yards from TTU03 to TTU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
42.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:3874% → 78%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
26.5%
Will Hammond pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
24.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
23.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
19.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
50
+7
17.9%
Will Hammond run for 7 yds to the TTU 43 Will Hammond fumbled, recovered by TTU Will HammondSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
19.8%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
20.4%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 17
OWN 43
+6
22.5%
Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 11 , JP Richardson returns for 6 yds to the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 89 yds · 0:2729% → 65%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
29.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 5 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+84
64.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 84 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26FUMBLE
15 plays · 38 yds · 3:2541% → 47%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
59.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
55.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.1%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
57.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
50
+5
56.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+5
58.7%
Will Hammond run for 5 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.8%
J'Koby Williams run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
56.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 10 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
53.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
52.4%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
53.2%
Will Hammond run for no gain to the TCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:0274% → 81%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
73.6%
Savion Williams run for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.1%
Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+1
76.4%
Savion Williams run for 1 yd to the TCU 35Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+5
74.4%
Savion Williams run for 5 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
81.3%
Ethan Craw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28FUMBLE
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:2328% → 19%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
71.6%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
74.2%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-10
79.4%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Hammond,Will rush right for 9 yards gain to the TTU32 (Deal,Devean) PENALTY TTU Holding (Porcher,Sterling) 10 yards from TTU23 to TTU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 13
-5
80.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Josh Kelly for a loss of 5 yards Josh Kelly fumbled, recovered by TTU Caleb Douglas Jordan Brown fumbled, recovered by TCU Caleb FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:10
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 84 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+35.6
TD · Q4 8:42
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+23.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com