Try the model
KU

Kansas 27 at Kansas State 29

KSU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by TEAM at KAN48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:09: Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:29: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +8.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:15: Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:57: Jalon Daniels pass incomplete — KU win probability +14.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:42: Chris Tennant 51 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +26.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:22KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:49KU 4th & 7 at KSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:54KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 49, up 2
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:05KSU 4th & 5 at KU 46, up 2
    Close callWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−2.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    70.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:53KU 4th & 2 at KSU 46, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−6.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:12KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 27, down 2
    Close callPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:23KSU 4th & 8 at KU 9, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−3.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−17.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:27KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:34KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 35, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:07KU 4th & 22 at KU 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−13.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:04KSU 4th & 12 at KU 42, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%−3.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%
    30% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:42KSU 4th & 8 at KU 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−8.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−16.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:00KU 4th & 7 at KU 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:51KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:09KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:13KSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:29KU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:15KSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0929% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
71.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 4 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
71.3%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (Jared Casey) to the KU 28Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
71.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
71.1%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
70.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 42Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
70.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 7 yds Devin Neal fumbled, recovered by KU Devin Neal D. Neal return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
70.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
70.1%
Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the KSU 38Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
69.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+38
67.8%
Sevion Morrison run for 38 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:2968% → 66%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 8 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
68.4%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
67.9%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
68.0%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
67.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 49Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
66.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
66.3%
Simon McClannan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2634% → 36%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
66.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
66.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 11 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
65.6%
Kansas State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jacob Parrish) to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
64.4%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KSU 49Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
64.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
64.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 3 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
64.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 6:3465% → 70%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
64.9%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 5Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
64.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 11Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+15
63.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 15 yds to the KSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
63.6%
Avery Johnson run for 14 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.0%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
63.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
63.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 11 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
64.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the KU 48Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+5
63.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 5 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
63.6%
Dylan Edwards run for 5 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
63.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 13 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
63.9%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KU 24Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
70.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 24 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
69.4%
Devin Neal run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4370% → 78%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
70.3%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
70.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+13
69.8%
Avery Johnson run for 13 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
71.0%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KU 41Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+13
71.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
71.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 25 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
72.1%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the KU 2Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4224% → 34%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
76.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 36 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
74.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 7 yds to the KSU 32Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
73.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
73.9%
(05:02) DANIELS, Jalon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GRIMM, Luke thrown to the KSTATE0, clock 04:56. PENALTY KSTATE Pass Interference on PAYNE, VJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the KSTATE13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
73.9%
(05:02) DANIELS, Jalon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GRIMM, Luke thrown to the KSTATE0, clock 04:56. PENALTY KSTATE Pass Interference on PAYNE, VJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the KSTATE13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
73.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KSU 11Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
74.0%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KSU 10Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
65.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3469% → 68%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
69.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 21 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
71.3%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 44Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+5
69.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 5 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
69.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
67.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 1:0732% → 37%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
67.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+18
66.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 18 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
65.1%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (Quentin Skinner) to the KU 36Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+8
67.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+7
64.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
64.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
64.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 9 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
63.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-49
62.7%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Marques Sigle return for 49 yds to the KSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:1471% → 70%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
71.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
69.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 5 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 5
OPP 46
+42
70.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 42 yds to the KU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4569% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.9%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+54
69.3%
DJ Giddens run for 54 yds to the KU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
72.0%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KU 10Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
80.4%
Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:1823% → 38%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
75.9%
Luke Grimm run for 8 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
75.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 11 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
75.4%
Cole Ballard run for 6 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
75.6%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KSU 34Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+7
77.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
76.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
62.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:2560% → 65%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.6%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
59.0%
Kansas State Penalty, Illegal Snap on HECHT, Sam enforced (Sam Hecht) to the KSU 26Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
57.9%
Avery Johnson run for 9 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
59.9%
Dylan Edwards run for 44 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
65.4%
Avery Johnson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the KU 26 Avery Johnson fumbled, recovered by KU JB Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0345% → 47%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
55.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+15
53.4%
(05:22) DANIELS, Jalon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GRIMM, Luke thrown to the KSTATE30, clock 05:18. PENALTY KSTATE Pass Interference on PARRISH, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the KAN46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
51.7%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
50.2%
Luke Grimm run for 1 yd to the KSU 46Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
50.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
52.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3057% → 54%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
57.4%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 17Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+10
56.6%
DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
56.0%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
54.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:2751% → 56%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
49.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 42 yds to the KSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
44.9%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KSU 8Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
44.4%
Jalon Daniels 8 Yd Run (Tabor Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:1356% → 58%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
56.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 34 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
61.5%
Avery Johnson run for 11 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
63.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 19 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
63.5%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
61.0%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+28
58.2%
Chris Tennant 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5648% → 45%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.5%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
51.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
53.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
55.1%
Damon Greaves punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4756% → 53%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
56.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 3 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
55.7%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 31Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+4
53.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 4 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
53.1%
Simon McClannan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 3:2050% → 51%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
50.1%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+8
49.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 8 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
49.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 6 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-10
46.8%
(08:27) DANIELS, Jalon scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the KAN39 (SIGLE, Marques), clock 08:17. PENALTY KAN Holding on BROWN, Logan enforced 10 yards from the KAN35 to the KAN25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+4
47.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-12
46.9%
Kansas Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on DANIELS, Jalon enforced resulting in a (-12 Yards) to the KU 18Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 22
OWN 17
0
49.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5759% → 50%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
58.8%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
59.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
59.2%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-13
59.3%
Avery Johnson sacked by Marvin Grant for a loss of 13 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 20
50
+8
51.6%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 42Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
50.0%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0562% → 58%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
37.9%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
37.9%
Kansas Penalty, False Start (Bryce Cabeldue) to the KU 39Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+9
41.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 9 yds to the KU 48 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by KSU Brendan Mott B. Mott return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:0260% → 84%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
59.9%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
59.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+6
58.4%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
62.6%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
62.0%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the KU 33Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
57.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+51
83.9%
Chris Tennant 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:4229% → 18%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
70.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
66.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
70.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 3 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 7
OWN 46
-1
82.5%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 45 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by KUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4892% → 96%
Q4 0:48
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
91.6%
Kneel down by TEAM at KAN47 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
92.0%
Kneel down by TEAM at KAN46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:48.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-1
95.7%
Kneel down by TEAM at KAN48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:42
Chris Tennant 51 Yd Field Goal
+26.5
TD · Q3 8:57
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete
-14.2
TD · Q3 13:15
Avery Johnson 10 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com