Try the model
UTAH

Utah 14 at Houston 17

HOU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · TDECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:15 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 23 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−18.2Pregame prior−1.8Garbage-time factor−5.9Score differential−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:54: Stephon Johnson 21 Yd pass from Zeon Chriss (Jack Martin Kick) — HOU win probability +6.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:05: Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 35 — HOU win probability +5.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:57: pass incomplete to Munir McClain — UTAH win probability +11.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:01: Micah Bernard 14 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick) — UTAH win probability +16.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:29: Jack Martin kickoff for 64 yds , Dijon Stanley return for 17 yds to the UTAH 18 — UTAH win probability +6.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:21HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:06HOU 4th & 5 at UTAH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59UTAH 4th & 3 at HOU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40HOU 4th & 11 at HOU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:36HOU 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−6.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:38UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:39UTAH 4th & 2 at HOU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    54.7%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:20UTAH 4th & 3 at HOU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:04HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:10UTAH 4th & 2 at HOU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.5
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:07UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:54HOU 4th & 1 at UTAH 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−13.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:24UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 11, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:43HOU 4th & 24 at HOU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−5.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:15UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:41HOU 4th & 11 at HOU 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:15UTAH 4th & 9 at HOU 38, up 8
    Close callPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:15HOU 4th & 6 at UTAH 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−3.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:59UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:01HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 34, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−2.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:00HOU 4th & 5 at UTAH 25, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%−3.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:28UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:54HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:01UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3442% → 43%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
42.1%
J'Marion Burnette run for 13 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.2%
pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IVSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
42.3%
J'Marion Burnette run for 1 yd to the HOU 38Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+2
42.4%
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the HOU 40Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
42.6%
Liam Dougherty punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:4757% → 58%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
42.6%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+71
41.9%
Brant Kuithe 71 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:2242% → 42%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
42.0%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Mekhi Mews for a 1ST down Utah Penalty, Defensive holding (Smith Snowden) to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
42.0%
Houston Penalty, false start (Devan Williams) to the HOU 30Similar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+7
41.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 7 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
42.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
42.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
50
-2
42.3%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 48Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+3
42.0%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 3 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
41.9%
Liam Dougherty punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 4:0359% → 60%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
41.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Mycah Pittman for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 19Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+12
41.4%
Micah Bernard run for 12 yds to the UTAH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
40.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 15 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
40.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
40.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+2
40.2%
Isaac Wilson run for 2 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
40.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds to the HOU 0, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1341% → 40%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.1%
pass incomplete to Jayden YorkSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
41.1%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 19Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
40.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for no gain to the HOU 19Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
40.3%
Liam Dougherty punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6Uncategorized
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:2960% → 61%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
39.6%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-3
39.4%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Brandon Mack for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 49 Isaac Wilson fumbled, recovered by UTAH Isaac Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
39.5%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Latreveon McCutchin for 0 yards to the HOU 49, Isaac Wilson fumbled, recovered by HOU Keith Cooper Jr. at the HOU 49, return for 22 yards to the UTAH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1343% → 41%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
42.5%
J'Marion Burnette run for 11 yds to the UTAH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
42.5%
for a 1ST down Utah Penalty, illegal use of hands (Tevita Fotu) to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
42.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
42.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 5 yds to the UTAH 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.9%
Burnette,J'Marion rush middle (Vakalahi,Dallas).Similar
Q2 14:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.1%
Chriss,Zeon rush middle , fumble by Chriss,Zeon recovered by HOU Chriss,Zeon, Chriss,Zeon rush (Hall,Johnathan;Vaughn,Zemaiah). Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by HOU Zeon Chriss Chriss,Zeon rush middle , fumble by Chriss,Zeon recovered by HOU Chriss,Zeon, Chriss,Zeon rush (Hall,Johnathan;Vaughn,Zemaiah).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5360% → 59%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
40.0%
pass incomplete to Dallen BentleySimilar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
40.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 2Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
40.5%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian Singer, broken up by Zeon ChrissSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+15
40.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 36 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 15 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:3443% → 49%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
42.6%
J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
42.6%
Chriss,Zeon rush middle (Fotu,Tevita).Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
49.2%
Stephon Johnson 21 Yd pass from Zeon Chriss (Jack Martin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10MISSED FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 7:2954% → 54%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
46.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-5
45.5%
Utah Penalty, false start (Falcon Kaumatule) to the UTAH 22Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+22
46.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 22 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
45.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 4
50
+4
44.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
44.5%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the HOU 45Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
43.7%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the HOU 42Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
43.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+3
45.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 3 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
43.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the HOU 29 Utah Penalty, Offensive holding (Mycah Pittman) to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 14
OPP 39
+11
44.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 11 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
43.8%
pass incomplete to Daidren ZippererSimilar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
45.6%
Cole Becker 46 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:1150% → 49%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
50.0%
pass incomplete to Mekhi MewsSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
49.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+4
49.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
51.2%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 2 yds to the HOU 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
51.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the HOU 43Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-10
51.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for no gain to the HOU 43 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Tank Jenkins) to the HOU 33Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+8
48.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the HOU 41Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
49.2%
Liam Dougherty punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:4853% → 55%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
46.8%
pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+21
47.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 21 yds to the UTAH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
44.4%
pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
45.1%
pass incomplete to Luca CaldarellaSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+15
46.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 15 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
43.2%
pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
43.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
43.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 5 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+52
45.2%
Cole Becker 52 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
51.0%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5353% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.3%
pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Munir McClain for 7 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
48.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:0653% → 53%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+54
52.5%
J'Marion Burnette run for 54 yds to the UTAH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
55.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the UTAH 4Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
55.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the UTAH 1Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.4%
pass incomplete to Maliq CarrSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
52.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2551% → 49%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
48.7%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 8Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+3
49.2%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 11Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
50.2%
pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+3
51.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 3 yds to the HOU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:3254% → 49%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 43Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-22
54.9%
Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 22 yards to the HOU 21 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by HOU Zeon ChrissSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 29
OWN 21
+5
49.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 5 yds to the HOU 26Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 24
OWN 26
0
49.3%
Liam Dougherty punt for 40 yds , Dorian Singer returns for no gain to the UTAH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1952% → 49%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
48.0%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Dorian Singer, broken up by Jeremiah WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
48.5%
pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
50.1%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Landen King, broken up by Kentrell WebbSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
51.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:0352% → 55%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
52.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 19 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
54.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 4 yds to the HOU 42Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
55.8%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 43Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
54.7%
Zeon Chriss pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:5657% → 73%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
43.5%
pass incomplete to Munir McClainSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
44.0%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the HOU 14Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
43.5%
Utah Penalty, delay of game (Taeshaun Lyons) to the HOU 8Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
27.1%
Micah Bernard 14 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2027% → 25%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 20Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
26.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 24Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
25.3%
pass incomplete to Jonah WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
24.6%
Liam Dougherty punt for 51 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 13 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:1477% → 78%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
23.3%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 37Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
24.1%
pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+13
25.5%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
50
+6
21.8%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the HOU 44Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
21.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
20.8%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Dorian Singer for 2 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
20.7%
Utah Penalty, false start (Solatoa Moea'i) to the HOU 42Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 13
OPP 42
-3
20.9%
Brandon Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+7
22.4%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
21.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 5:4324% → 27%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
24.0%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to J'Marion Burnette for 7 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
23.3%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 5 yds to the HOU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
22.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 17 yds to the HOU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
24.9%
J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
24.9%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 15 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
26.5%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
25.9%
pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IVSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+1
25.3%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the UTAH 35Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+7
23.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the UTAH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
27.0%
Joseph Manjack IV 28 Yd pass from Zeon Chriss (Jack Martin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2483% → 87%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
16.9%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 17Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
14.7%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Munir McClain, broken up by A.J. HaulcySimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+4
15.4%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
13.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5117% → 14%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.9%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 5 yds to the HOU 30Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
16.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the HOU 31Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
14.6%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
13.6%
Liam Dougherty punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:5590% → 95%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
9.9%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 7 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
9.0%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
8.2%
Brandon Rose run for 3 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
6.5%
Brandon Rose run for 3 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
5.3%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
4.8%
Brandon Rose pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 27FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:5510% → 9%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
10.4%
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
12.8%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
11.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
12.2%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
11.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
12.5%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the UTAH 29Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
12.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+2
10.7%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
8.8%
Jack Martin 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+91.2
TD · Q3 5:01
Micah Bernard 14 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick)
-16.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:57
pass incomplete to Munir McClain
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com