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OKST

Oklahoma State 28 at Baylor 38

BAY
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.6BAY 65.4%Isaiah Hankins 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 5:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:55 · Isaiah Hankins 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+13.7Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:18: Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +15.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:32: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 33 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +14.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:55: Sawyer Robertson run for 41 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +17.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:51: Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds for a TD (Ollie Gordon II pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +29.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:06: Dawson Pendergrass run for 55 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +15.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:42BAY 4th & 4 at OKST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00OKST 4th & 27 at BAY 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55BAY 4th & 7 at OKST 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:11OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:24BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:51OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:06OKST 4th & 23 at OKST 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:47BAY 4th & 26 at BAY 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−4.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:35OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:49OKST 4th & 8 at BAY 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:28BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:14OKST 4th & 25 at BAY 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:41OKST 4th & 4 at BAY 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:53OKST 4th & 2 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:30OKST 4th & 10 at BAY 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:42BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:28BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:32BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:55BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:51OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    16.4%−2.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:06BAY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:1566% → 66%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
66.1%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 16Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+38
66.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 38 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
66.2%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
66.2%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
66.2%
Bryson Washington run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
66.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
65.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:3634% → 35%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
65.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 15
OWN 35
-2
65.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+56
66.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 56 yds to the BAY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
65.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the BAY 8Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
65.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the BAY 7Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-5
65.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BAY 12Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-16
65.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Alan Bowman) to the BAY 28Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 27
OPP 28
+45
65.5%
Logan Ward 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3FG
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:5465% → 65%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
65.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
64.9%
Sawyer Robertson run for 5 yds to the BAY 18Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+53
64.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 53 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
65.6%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+7
65.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
65.1%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
65.4%
Dawson Pendergrass run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 19Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
65.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+6
64.7%
Sawyer Robertson run for 6 yds to the OKST 13Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
65.4%
Isaiah Hankins 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:3635% → 35%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
65.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
64.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
64.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 23Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-7
65.0%
BOWMAN, Alan pass short to the left complete for 7 yards to PRESLEY, Brennan caught at the OSU28 and advanced to the OSU30 (BOBBY, Devyn), clock 04:08. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on SHETTRON, Talyn enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the OSU12 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-3
65.1%
Alan Bowman run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 9Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 21
OWN 9
+21
65.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 50 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 21 yds to the OKST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1366% → 64%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
66.2%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
66.3%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
63.5%
(01:46) GORDON II, Ollie rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the OSU36 (LEMEAR, Devin), clock 01:43. PENALTY BU Offsides on REED, Chateau enforced 5 yards from the OSU31 to the OSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:5937% → 39%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 5
OWN 36
-3
62.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+16
63.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
62.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 26 yds to the BAY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
61.0%
BOWMAN, Alan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHETTRON, Talyn thrown to the BU0, clock 14:26. PENALTY BU Pass Interference on THORNTON JR., LeVar enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the BU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
61.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the BAY 1 fumbled, recovered by BAY Steve Linton S. Linton return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7TD
4 plays · 99 yds · 1:3564% → 71%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+48
63.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 48 yds to the BAY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+39
65.4%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 39 yds to the OKST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
71.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 12 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1731% → 40%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
69.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
68.4%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+21
68.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 21 yds to the BAY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
67.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the BAY 35Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
66.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the BAY 33Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+33
60.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 33 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3964% → 74%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
64.1%
Richard Reese run for 24 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
66.1%
(08:46) ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass to the left incomplete intended for BALDWIN, Monaray thrown to the OSU39, clock 08:42. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on HYLTON, Kobe enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the OSU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
66.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 23 yds to the OKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
66.5%
Bryson Washington run for 1 yd to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+8
66.4%
Sawyer Robertson run for 8 yds to the OKST 6Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
65.6%
(07:11) WASHINGTON, Bryson rush up the middle for no gain to the OSU6 (RUCKER, Trey;HYLTON, Kobe), clock 07:08. PENALTY OSU Offsides on JOHNSON, Jaleel enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the OSU6 to the OSU3 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.4%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Matthew Klopfenstein for 1 yd for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2829% → 27%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.3%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
72.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
72.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 49 yds, downed at the BAY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2672% → 71%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
72.3%
Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the BAY 35Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+18
73.1%
Sawyer Robertson run for 28 yds to the OKST 37 Baylor Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BAY 31Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
72.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
71.5%
Nate Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
70.8%
(03:38) WILLIAMS, Palmer punt 50 yards to the OSU19, PRESLEY, Brennan returned 12 yards to the OSU31 (WHITE, Josh), out of bounds, clock 03:35. PENALTY Before the snap, BU Illegal Formation OSU Roughing the Kicker on CLEVELAND, Landyn , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
70.8%
Palmer Williams punt for 33 yds, downed at the OKST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:0329% → 47%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
70.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jake Schultz for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
69.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
69.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+6
71.3%
Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
69.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the BAY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
67.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the BAY 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
66.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
67.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the BAY 18Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+16
68.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the BAY 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.1%
Bryson Washington run for 7 yds to the BAY 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:4341% → 38%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
59.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-13
60.8%
Alan Bowman sacked by Matt Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the OKST 8Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 23
OWN 8
0
62.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the OKST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 2:1466% → 60%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
65.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 8 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-15
66.0%
(13:40) PENDERGRASS, Dawson rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the OSU38 (WALTERSCHEID, Kody), clock 13:35. PENALTY BU Personal Foul on TRIGG, Michael enforced 15 yards from the OSU39 to the BU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 17
OWN 46
-9
63.5%
Sawyer Robertson sacked by Kody Walterscheid for a loss of 9 yards to the BAY 37Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 26
OWN 37
0
61.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for no gain to the BAY 37Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 26
OWN 37
-2
59.9%
Palmer Williams punt for 50 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0841% → 39%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
59.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
59.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 18
-5
60.0%
(10:29) BOWMAN, Alan pass deep to the right complete for 46 yards to CABBINESS, Cale caught at the OSU42 and advanced to the BU36 (GORDON JR., Corey), clock 10:18. PENALTY OSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BIRMINGHAM, Cole enforced 5 yards from the OSU18 to the OSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+6
60.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
61.3%
Hudson Kaak punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:5764% → 80%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
64.3%
Sawyer Robertson run for 12 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
65.5%
Bryson Washington run for 12 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
79.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 33 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:3526% → 33%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
74.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for 6 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+6
73.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
74.0%
Sesi Vailahi run for 5 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+9
73.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+47
73.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 47 yds to the BAY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
69.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the BAY 9Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
69.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the BAY 2Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-5
71.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the BAY 7Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-2
71.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for a loss of 2 yards to the BAY 9Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
67.2%
Logan Ward 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1071% → 69%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
71.4%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the BAY 16Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
71.2%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the BAY 18Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
70.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+1
69.0%
Palmer Williams punt for 57 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:0831% → 29%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
69.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 25Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+13
69.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 13 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
67.7%
(00:09) BOWMAN, Alan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Brennan thrown to the BU45, clock 00:06. PENALTY BU Pass Interference on BOBBY, Devyn enforced 15 yards to the BU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
64.6%
Brennan Presley run for no gain to the BAY 47Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
65.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+15
67.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 15 yds to the BAY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
63.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the BAY 31Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-10
63.1%
(13:30) BOWMAN, Alan pass short to the right complete for 9 yards to VAILAHI, Sesi caught at the BU29 and advanced to the BU22 (THOMAS, Keaton), clock 13:25. PENALTY OSU Holding on KAWECKI, Austin enforced 10 yards from the BU31 to the BU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 19
OPP 41
-6
67.3%
Alan Bowman sacked by Treven Ma'ae for a loss of 6 yards to the BAY 47Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 25
OPP 47
0
69.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 25
OPP 47
0
71.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, downed at the BAY 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 3:1672% → 92%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
71.5%
Bryson Washington run for 16 yds to the BAY 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
72.3%
Bryson Washington run for 9 yds to the BAY 30Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
74.2%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
73.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 17 yds to the BAY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
75.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 17 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
77.6%
(09:45) PENDERGRASS, Dawson rush to the right for a gain of 34 yards to the OSU0, TOUCHDOWN BU, score nullified by penalty, clock 09:44 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY BU Holding on BARRINGTON, Campbell enforced 10 yards from the OSU34 to the OSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+3
75.0%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+41
92.0%
Sawyer Robertson run for 41 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:039% → 40%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 2 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
89.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+8
88.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the BAY 42Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
87.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-2
88.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the BAY 44Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+10
90.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the BAY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
89.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 8 yds to the BAY 26Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
89.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 4 yds to the BAY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
89.6%
BOWMAN, Alan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STRIBLING, De'Zhaun thrown to the BU0, clock 05:17. PENALTY BU Pass Interference on JENKINS, Caden enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
89.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 4 yds to the BAY 3Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds for a TD (Ollie Gordon II pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3975% → 94%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.3%
Sawyer Robertson run for 4 yds to the BAY 29Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
78.0%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 32Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
78.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 13 yds to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
94.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 55 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:276% → 6%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
93.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 11 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
93.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+2
92.9%
Sesi Vailahi run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 2
50
+9
93.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 9 yds to the BAY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
92.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
92.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 10
OPP 41
-14
93.7%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted LeVar Thornton Jr. return for 14 yds to the BAY 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:5295% → 97%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.3%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
95.5%
Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the BAY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
96.5%
Richard Reese run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
50
-2
96.8%
(00:29) [NH] Kneel down by ROBERTSON, Sawyer at BU48 (team loss of 2), clock 00:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:51
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds for a TD (Ollie Gordon II pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)
-29.6
TD · Q4 8:55
Sawyer Robertson run for 41 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+17.1
TD · Q4 3:06
Dawson Pendergrass run for 55 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com