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WVU

West Virginia 31 at Arizona 26

ARIZ
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:55 · Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 4 yds to the ARIZ 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense−12.3Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−2.5Pregame prior+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:34: Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:55: Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +11.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:59: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +13.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:31: Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +14.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:35: Noah Fifita run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +21.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 8:09WVU 4th & 9 at ARIZ 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:31WVU 4th & 2 at ARIZ 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:55WVU 4th & 3 at ARIZ 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−7.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:49ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:55WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:59ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:38WVU 4th & 3 at ARIZ 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−2.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:59WVU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−2.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−10.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:33ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:46WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:11ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16ARIZ 4th & 7 at WVU 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−1.0
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:08WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 25, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:31WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:34ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:55WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:59WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:18ARIZ Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:31WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:52ARIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:35ARIZ Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 6:5141% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
59.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
59.4%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+15
59.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 15 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
59.2%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+6
59.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
59.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Treylan Davis for 8 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+7
59.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
58.9%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 5
OPP 23
-10
58.8%
(10:59) WHITE, Jahiem rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the ARIZ19 (BROWN, Taye), clock 10:54. PENALTY WVU Holding on HUBBARD, Ja'Quay enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ23 to the ARIZ33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+6
58.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for 6 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
58.8%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-5
58.9%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+5
59.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 5 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
58.8%
Michael Hayes II 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:3159% → 60%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
58.7%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+28
59.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 28 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
59.5%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+16
59.8%
Quali Conley run for 16 yds to the WVU 19 Quali Conley fumbled, recovered by WVU Garnett Hollis Jr. G. Hollis Jr. return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:5041% → 49%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
58.6%
Jahiem White run for 9 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+24
58.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 24 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
57.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
57.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+15
57.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 15 yds to the ARIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
56.9%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+15
57.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 15 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
56.8%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
56.3%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+1
56.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 14Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+14
51.4%
Leighton Bechdel run for 14 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:5652% → 59%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 3 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
51.5%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
50.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 7 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
51.5%
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
50.8%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+19
50.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 19 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
50.7%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the WVU 38Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+14
50.0%
Tetairoa McMillan pass complete to Noah Fifita for 14 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
51.1%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the WVU 24Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
50.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the WVU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
50.4%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the WVU 13Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
50.1%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+6
48.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.3%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3845% → 59%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.6%
(07:33) MARCHIOL, Nicco pass to the left complete for 6 yards to DONALDSON JR, CJ caught at the WVU20 and advanced to the WVU31 (BROWN, Taye), out of bounds, clock 07:27. PENALTY ARIZ Offsides on KENNEDY, Chase enforced 5 yards from the WVU25 to the WVU30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
53.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
53.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
53.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+55
53.2%
Jahiem White run for 55 yds to the ARIZ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
50.9%
Preston Fox run for no gain to the ARIZ 8Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
50.7%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
51.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 3Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0443% → 41%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 6 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
43.5%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
41.3%
Noah Fifita run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
41.3%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5158% → 60%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
41.9%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 6 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+15
40.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for 15 yds to the WVU 40 Nicco Marchiol fumbled, recovered by WVU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
39.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
38.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 3 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
39.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for no gain to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+4
40.5%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 4 yds to the ARIZ 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:3338% → 37%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
38.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
38.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+7
37.2%
Noah Fifita run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
37.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
37.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+6
36.8%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5739% → 35%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
38.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 6 yds to the ARIZ 18Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-12
38.5%
Noah Fifita sacked by Tj Jackson Ii and TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+2
36.1%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 8Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 14
OWN 8
0
34.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:5365% → 81%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
35.4%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-10
34.7%
(12:18) WHITE, Jahiem rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the ARIZ35 (SMITH, Genesis;BROWN, Taye), clock 12:12. PENALTY WVU Holding on RIMAC, Tomas enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ38 to the ARIZ48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+6
35.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 6 yds to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+5
34.8%
(11:06) MARCHIOL, Nicco pass to the left complete for 4 yards to DONALDSON JR, CJ caught at the WVU47 and advanced to the ARIZ38 (KARNLEY, Emmanuel), out of bounds, clock 11:00. PENALTY ARIZ Offsides on LOLESIO, Dominic enforced 5 yards from the ARIZ42 to the ARIZ37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
34.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+8
35.7%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Robinson for 8 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
33.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+5
33.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
33.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+20
19.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:2421% → 19%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
21.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 13 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
21.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 4 yds to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-10
21.8%
(06:50) FIFITA, Noah scrambles to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the WVU43, End of Play, clock 06:42. PENALTY ARIZ Holding on MIRANDA, Roberto enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ42 to the ARIZ32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
19.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+6
19.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 6 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
19.0%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 46 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the WVU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3483% → 84%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
16.7%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+1
16.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 19Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
15.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
16.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2418% → 29%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
17.8%
Quali Conley run for 18 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
19.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
19.0%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 48Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+23
17.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 23 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
19.4%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
29.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:4676% → 95%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
24.4%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Chase Kennedy for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU 19Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
24.6%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 7 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
22.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 17 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
20.2%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
5.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:378% → 16%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
8.0%
Quali Conley run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
8.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
7.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
8.2%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+7
7.2%
Chris Hunter run for 7 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
7.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-5
7.0%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (Noah Fifita) to the WVU 47Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
6.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+1
6.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+17
5.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
6.8%
Noah Fifita sacked by Hammond Russell IV for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 34Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
6.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+34
15.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:4490% → 92%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
9.7%
(08:52) WHITE, Jahiem rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the WVU37 (LUTTRELL, Jack), out of bounds, clock 08:45. PENALTY WVU Holding on TAYLOR, Kole enforced 10 yards from the WVU25 to the WVU15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
9.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 4 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-1
9.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 18Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
9.0%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for no gain to the ARIZ 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:2710% → 34%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
9.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 16 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+49
10.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 49 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
13.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
13.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
11.8%
(04:56) FIFITA, Noah pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the WVU0, clock 04:51. PENALTY WVU Holding on HOLLIS JR, Garnett enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the WVU6 to the WVU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
13.2%
Tetairoa McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.4%
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18END OF GAME
13 plays · 19 yds · 4:0281% → 94%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
19.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
17.3%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
14.6%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
12.3%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 37Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
11.9%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 2 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
12.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for 9 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
7.8%
(01:59) Kneel down by TEAM at WVU46 (team loss of 2), clock 01:51.Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
5.9%
(01:01) Kneel down by TEAM at WVU45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:56.Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-1
5.6%
(00:32) Kneel down by TEAM at WVU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:35
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+21.3
TD · Q4 13:31
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q3 7:59
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com