Try the model
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:45 · Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−34.7Score differential−21.0Garbage-time factor−12.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:21: Jadon Jackson 60 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:14: Marques Sigle 43 Yd Interception Return (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:38: Hudson Clement 7 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Michael Hayes II Kick) — WVU win probability +3.8 pts (now 45%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:38: Garrett Oakley 16 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +15.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:48: Will Anciaux 1 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 12:40WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:03KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:52WVU 4th & 7 at KSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:22WVU 4th & 1 at KSU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−1.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−9.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:55KSU 4th & 5 at WVU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:05WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:45WVU 4th & 5 at KSU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:19KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 23, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:40WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 27, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:14WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:56WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 33, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 0:21KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:14KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:38WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:38KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:48KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:09KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:22WVU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:51KSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.6%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
50.6%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
50.6%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the WVU34 (SIGLE, Marques), out of bounds. PENALTY WVU Holding on RIMAC, Tomas enforced 10 yards from the WVU29 to the WVU19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+8
50.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 8 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
50.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 2 yds to the KSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5749% → 49%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
51.0%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 19Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
51.0%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 20Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
51.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 9 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
51.5%
Simon McClannan punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2451% → 52%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
51.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
51.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
51.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 44Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
51.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
52.0%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Jack Fabris return for no gain to the KSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 5:1649% → 49%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
51.3%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 36Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+5
51.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 5 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
51.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 7 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
50.9%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
50
0
50.8%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
50
+18
51.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 18 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
50.6%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
50.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+4
50.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 4 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
50.9%
Chris Tennant 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:1151% → 53%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.6%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
50.7%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon thrown to the KST45. PENALTY KST Pass Interference on STIGER, Nickendre enforced 15 yards to the WVU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
51.8%
Garrett Greene run for 28 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
52.7%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the KSU 26Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
52.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
52.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
53.2%
Michael Hayes II 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:2648% → 55%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
51.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 24 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
45.0%
Jadon Jackson 60 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7INT TD
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0747% → 40%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
46.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
46.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 2 yds to the WVU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+10
45.9%
GREENE, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon thrown to the WVU35. PENALTY KST Pass Interference on MCCALISTER, Colby enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the WVU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
46.8%
DONALDSON JR., CJ rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the WVU41 (MOORE, Austin). PENALTY WVU Holding on YATES, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the WVU34 to the WVU24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+9
46.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+2
46.5%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-43
39.6%
Marques Sigle 43 Yd Interception Return (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 6:2940% → 45%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
39.7%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
40.2%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
40.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
40.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+14
40.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 14 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
41.1%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the KSU 44Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
41.1%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
41.5%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the KSU 25Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
41.5%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the KSU 20Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+10
41.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 10 yds to the KSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
41.5%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the KSU 10Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
41.5%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the KSU 7Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.3%
Hudson Clement 7 Yd pass from Garrett Greene (Michael Hayes II Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2958% → 59%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
41.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 17 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
40.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
40.5%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
40.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
40.7%
Simon McClannan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 89 yds · 4:4742% → 40%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
41.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 9Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+10
41.7%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 10 yds to the WVU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+34
42.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 34 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
45.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for no gain to the KSU 47Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
44.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+18
43.3%
Garrett Greene run for 18 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
44.7%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the KST24 (MOORE, Austin), out of bounds. PENALTY WVU Holding on RIMAC, Tomas enforced 10 yards from the KST29 to the KST39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+11
42.0%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
44.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 3 yds to the KSU 25Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+13
43.1%
QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the KST24 (PURNELL, Desmond). PENALTY KST Face mask on PURNELL, Desmond enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the KST24 to the KST12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
44.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the KSU 9Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-2
44.5%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 11Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+8
41.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 8 yds to the KSU 3Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
39.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
37.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at KST2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:1763% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
37.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
35.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 8 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-1
35.3%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
36.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 7 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
35.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
35.2%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
35.7%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+11
36.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 11 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
34.8%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
34.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 5 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
19.3%
Garrett Oakley 16 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3323% → 21%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
23.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 24Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
23.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
22.7%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 24Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+9
21.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 54 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 9 yds to the KSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:1780% → 95%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
19.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 11 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
18.8%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
18.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+53
18.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 53 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.9%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the WVU 1Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.1%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the WVU 1Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.9%
Will Anciaux 1 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:578% → 6%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
7.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 32Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+10
7.3%
Kansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Damian Ilalio) to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
7.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+12
7.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 12 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
8.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the KSU 41Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
8.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
8.2%
MARCHIOL, Nicco pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the KST4 (After official review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY KST Roughing the Passer on NEWSOM, Asa WVU Holding on WEIDMAN, Sullivan , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
8.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
5.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:3696% → 99%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
3.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 18 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
3.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
3.3%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+9
3.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
3.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 24 yds to the WVU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
3.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
3.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
3.2%
JOHNSON, Avery pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Jayce thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Holding on JOSEPH, Jaheem enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the WVU7 to the WVU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.1%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the WVU 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:411% → 3%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.6%
DONALDSON JR., CJ rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WVU32 (RILEY, Jordan). PENALTY KST Offsides on FABRIS, Jack enforced 5 yards from the WVU31 to the WVU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
0.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+16
0.6%
Kansas State Penalty, Face mask (16 yards) (Rex Van Wyhe) to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
0.7%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 20 yds to the KSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
0.7%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 29Similar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Traylon Ray for 12 yds for a TD (Nicco Marchiol pass to Kole Taylor for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0198% → 98%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
1.9%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 23Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
1.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
1.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
1.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 48 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the WVU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:392% → 2%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
2.3%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
2.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
2.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 12
OWN 27
-2
1.9%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Brendan Mott and Chiddi Obiazor for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.4%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
0.2%
DJ Giddens run for 18 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 12 yds · 3:500% → 0%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
0.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-1
0.2%
Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 24 Jaylen Anderson fumbled, recovered by WVU Treylan Davis T. Davis return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
0.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 5 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+2
0.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the WVU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for 4 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-7
0.2%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Jordan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 28Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+5
0.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 5 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
0.1%
Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+29
0.1%
Joe Jackson run for 29 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.1%
Kneel down by TEAM at WVU2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:38
Garrett Oakley 16 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)
-15.5
TD · Q3 4:48
Will Anciaux 1 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)
-13.2
TD · Q1 0:21
Jadon Jackson 60 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com